Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2025

We can expect to see a strong showing from Newcastle +1.25 on the Asian Handicap. Claim a price of -105, with this pick seeing bettors divide their money between +1 and +1.5 for the encounter against Melbourne Victory.

Melbourne Victory won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. It was on the road against Macarthur at Campbelltown Stadium. Arthur Diles' men had 50% possession and five shots on target, with Ryan Teague and Kasey Bos scoring one goal each.

Newcastle Jets have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at McDonald Jones Stadium, they were turned over 1-0 by Western Sydney. The New South Wales team recorded one shot on goal and had 40% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Newcastle beat Melbourne at home when the teams last met. It was a 3-0 scoreline at McDonald Jones Stadium. There have been four wins apiece and two draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Melb Victory	4	1	1	2	4	7	-3	4:7	4
10	Newcastle Jets	4	1	0	3	8	12	-4	8:12	3

View Full Table

Victory have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. The Boys in Blue have averaged 56.7% possession and 6.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.8 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 8.8 attempts and 3.8 corners.

Nishan Velupillay and Nikolaos Vergos are the top scorers with 4 goals each, while Zinedine Machach has 3. Nishan Velupillay is the leading assists maker on 4.

Newcastle have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. Robert Stanton's side have averaged 49.8% possession, 4.7 corners awarded and 6.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.8 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts.

Eli Adams is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, Lachlan Rose is on 4 and Clayton Taylor on 3. Clayton Taylor has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Jack Duncan (GK), Joshua Inserra, Roderick Miranda, Lachlan Jackson, Kasey Bos, Ryan Teague, Zinedine Machach, Jordi Valadon, Daniel Arzani, Nikolaos Vergos, Nishan Velupillay.

Newcastle Jets confirmed lineup (4-1-3-2): Ryan Scott (GK), Thomas Aquilina, Phillip Cancar, Mark Natta, Daniel Wilmering, Callum Timmins, Kota Mizunuma, Charles M'Mombwa, Clayton Taylor, Eli Adams, Lachlan Rose.

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction & Betting Tips

Newcastle are an attractive wager at +1.25 for this A-League clash. There’s every chance that the underdogs can keep the scoreline close with this Asian Handicap wager and there is a price of -105 available.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in all of their last 5 games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 5 consecutive games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 3 consecutive games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 2 consecutive games against Victory.

According to the bookies, our pick has a 51.3% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling goals depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

Our Match Prediction

Newcastle Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Victory 1 - 1 Newcastle

Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +850. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lachlan Rose to Score +280

Lachlan Rose (Newcastle) has scored at least one goal in seven consecutive A-League away games. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +280 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Lachlan Rose Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+750

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Corners Prediction

Under 11.5 Corners -150

We’ve not seen the 11.5 Total Corners line covered in four consecutive Newcastle games. We’re happy to back the -150 when it comes to the teams falling short of the Total Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Victory

Total

9.80 6.00 3.80

Home

10.20 6.10 4.10

Away

11.30 6.40 4.90

Newcastle

Total

11.20 4.70 6.50

Home

9.50 6.10 3.40

Away

13.50 4.50 9.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-139

Victory Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-120

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-250

X

+650

2

+220

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Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With an estimated 68% chance of winning, the bookies are taking no chances with their -208 betting odds about Melbourne Victory triumphing in this A-League match. The market suggests that Newcastle Jets are least likely to win at +410.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite.

The Draw No Bet market is popular for A-League matches, with the football betting sites offering Melbourne Victory at -455 and Newcastle Jets are priced at +280 for the win.

Full-Time Result

1

-208

X

+390

2

+410

Half-Time Result

1

-106

X

+180

2

+335

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-588

X2

+145

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+280

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-128

2 Hcp +1

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+220

Over 2.5

-313

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-244

No

+163

Favourite Nikos Vergos is +380 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

+180

Anytime

+380

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+180

Anytime

+540

Bruno Fornaroli (Victory)

First

+215

Anytime

+360

Zinedine Machach (Victory)

First

+215

Anytime

+600

Daniel Arzani (Victory)

First

+215

Anytime

+600

Jing Reec (Victory)

First

+230

Anytime

+540

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+230

Anytime

+1500

Alexander Badolato (Victory)

First

+245

Anytime

+750

Justin Vidic (Newcastle)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Eli Adams (Newcastle)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Clayton Taylor (Newcastle)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Luka Kolic (Victory)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Ben Gibson (Newcastle)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Oscar Fryer (Newcastle)

First

+340

Anytime

+950

Fabian Monge (Victory)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Alex Nunes (Newcastle)

First

+390

Anytime

+1200

Lachlan Rose (Newcastle)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Ryan Teague (Victory)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Alexander Menelaou (Victory)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Lachlan Bayliss (Newcastle)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Thomas Aquilina (Newcastle)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Matthew Scarcella (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Callum Timmins (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Adama Traoré (Victory)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Kosta Grozos (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Brendan Hamill (Victory)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Victory vs Newcastle team news.

The A-League squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Melbourne Victory Team Page Newcastle Jets Team Page

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