The NASCAR Southern 500 is happening this Labor Day Weekend at Darlington.
Tyler Reddick and Denny Hamlin are the drivers that prediction market traders are backing to win the 367-lap 500-mile race.
Kalshi and Polymarket have up to $30 in combined bonuses available to use for the event.

The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs start this weekend, with the best prediction market sites for the Southern 500 offering trading credit bonuses to get you revved up for the intense auto action at the historic Darlington Raceway, South Carolina.
Traders on these platforms are actively participating by locking in their YES/NO shares in live Cook Out Southern 500 winner event contracts. Heading into the Labor Day Weekend, Denny Hamlin leads the Cup Series standings and has an ~17-18% chance of winning this race event on Kalshi and Polymarket. Here’s how you can claim your bonuses and start predicting.
The Cook Out Southern 500 is one of NASCAR’s crown jewel races, and it’s going down this Labor Day Weekend at the 1.366-mile Darlington Raceway in Darlington, South Carolina. The official start of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs has drawn a lot of interest from traders on sports prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, which, in addition to offering access to live contracts, also offer trading credit bonuses, usable on the event and available to new traders.
Denny Hamlin rolls onto the Darlington Raceway track leading the Cup Series Standings with 2100 points, followed closely by Ryan Blaney (2075 points) and Tyler Reddick (2065 points), who wrap up the top three. Traders on Kalshi are backing Hamlin to win the Sunday event at 17%. His implied chance on Polymarket is also fairly the same (18%). Tyler Reddick at 15% on Kalshi and 18% on Polymarket is also in the conversation. Hamlin has an impressive historical record at the track, as does Reddick, who won the Spring Cup Race at this venue in March.
Traders are also closely following Chase Briscoe’s development ahead of the race, and he’s currently priced at ¢12 on both platforms. From our coverage, you probably know about our Kalshi promo code for Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin and are wondering if there are such offers for the Southern 500. Next up, we look at current offers you can claim on Polymarket and Kalshi. But first, here’s a snapshot of the latest standings:
| Cook Out Southern 500 Winner? | Kalshi Pricing & Implied Chance | Polymarket Pricing & Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | ¢ 18 (17%) | ¢18 (18%) |
| Tyler Reddick | ¢14 (15%) | ¢18 (18%) |
| Chase Briscoe | ¢12 (12%) | ¢12 (12%) |
Kicking things off is Polymarket with a $20 trading credits bonus when you deposit and trade $10, as detailed in our Polymarket review. The offer is available to all new players, and the bonus is credited to your account immediately after the qualifying trade is validated. With your bonus now available, proceed to make your picks by leaning into our analysis and your own to make your prediction. For this event, Tyler Reddick, who won a race here earlier this year after leading for 77 laps, looks like a savvy pick and at 18% implied chance, represents value.
To get you in on the Darlington Raceway action this weekend, Kalshi, one of the most recognizable prediction market brands and a CFTC-regulated platform, offers you $10 in trading credits when you deposit and trade $10 in your account. From our Kalshi review, you know that Kalshi offers a variety of live contracts you can trade on the platform.
Likewise, for the Southern 500 on September 6th, you can use your Kalshi bonus to trade the winner, top finishers, and race specials event contracts. Currently, Hemlin leads the predictions (17%) because of the stellar regular season he’s had and his daring driving technique. Come Sunday, should he be willing to get the Darlington Stripe, this pick may prove to be a hidden value.
This weekend, the fastest stock cars manned by some of the world’s best drivers line up on the Darlington Raceway asphalt. Danny Hemlin and Tyler Reddick are backed to win on the best prediction market sites for the Southern 500, and there are trading bonuses of up to $30 on Kalshi and Polymarket for new traders. Click any of our banners to get started.
