Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Points to Flow Between Nuggets and Wolves

NBA Playoffs - Western Conference Semifinal: Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26, third in the Western Conference) host Denver Nuggets (57-25, second in the Western Conference). Game 6. The Nuggets lead the series 3-2.

We’re confident that Over 203 is the value play at -110. We’re expecting the Nuggets and the Timberwolves to rack up the points, so we’ll have a bet on the totals.

Nuggets Overcame Wolves in Previous Matchup

Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves met two nights ago, with the Nuggets enjoying a 112-97 victory at Ball Arena.

Nikola Jokic had 40 points and 13 assists for the Nuggets, Aaron Gordon registered 18 points and 10 rebounds, while Kentavious Caldwell-Pope scored 16 points. Karl-Anthony Towns recorded 23 points for the Wolves, Anthony Edwards scored 18, with Rudy Gobert totaling 18 points and 11 rebounds.

The Nuggets have enjoyed three consecutive victories against the Wolves. They’ve landed 6 wins from the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Nuggets are averaging 106.6 points, 42.3 rebounds, 26.3 assists, 7.2 steals and 3.9 blocks while shooting 47.7% from the field and 82.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 103.8 points and 39.4 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.8 points, 13.3 rebounds and 9.5 assists, while Michael Porter Jr. averages 3.1 (44.9%) 3-pointers made.

The Wolves have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 108.5 points, 41.2 rebounds, 24.6 assists, 6.9 steals and 4.7 blocks per game while shooting 48.5% from the field and 78.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 106.1 points and 35.5 rebounds.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.8 points, 5.8 assists and 2.7 (40.9%) 3-pointers made, while Rudy Gobert has an average of 9.3 rebounds.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Karl-Anthony Towns.

Expert NBA Analysis

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the most important stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Nuggets vs Timberwolves stats:

• The 203 line has been covered in all of the last 5 Nuggets games on the road.
• The 203 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Nuggets games on the road.
• The 203 line has been covered in the last 7 Nuggets games on the road.
• The 203 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Wolves games at home.
• The 203 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Wolves games.
• The 203 line has been covered in the last 3 Wolves games.
• The 203 line has been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

These teams are capable of scoring more than 203 points in this NBA contest. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -110.

If you want to go Over on the Totals at a bigger price, then you can combine this pick with other selections in a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the potential return.

Over 203 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction

Over 203 Points @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Props

Mike Conley Over 2.5 Rebounds -115

Mike Conley (Wolves) has had Over 2.5 rebounds in 8 of the past 9 games. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs bet and we’re more than happy to take the -115 available.

Current Mike Conley Lines and Odds

10.5 Points

Over -128

Under -104

6.5 Assists

Over +108

Under -143

2.5 Rebounds

Over -116

Under -114

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

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Aaron Gordon Over 13.5 Points -102

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets) has an average of 18.2 points in the past 5 games on the road. On this basis, we are happy to back Overs at -102 when it comes to his Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.

Current Aaron Gordon Lines and Odds

13.5 Points

Over -104

Under -127

4.5 Assists

Over +128

Under -172

6.5 Rebounds

Over -104

Under -127

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 106 - 104 Timberwolves

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 106-104 win for the Nuggets. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Predicting a Tight Affair

There are betting odds of -125 about Minnesota Timberwolves winning, with Denver Nuggets currently available at +105. In the eyes of the leading NBA sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 56% likely to claim a victory.

The current spread is 2 and total points is 206. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to wager Over 206, there are odds of -110.

You can back the Wolves to make a fast start and hit the 20-point mark first. The favorites are -135 to achieve this, with the Nuggets +105 to win the race to this total.

The betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Nuggets

+105

Timberwolves

-125

Point Spread

Nuggets +2

-110

Timberwolves -2

-110

Total Points

Under 206

-110

Over 206

-110

Anthony Edwards Favorite to Score the Most Points

The favorite to land the most baskets is Anthony Edwards. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 30.5 points and there is -127 for him to go Under.

Player Points

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 30.5

-105

Under 30.5

-127

Nikola Jokić (Nuggets)

Over 29.5

-111

Under 29.5

-119

Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)

Over 20.5

-106

Under 20.5

-123

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 19.5

-116

Under 19.5

-114

Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

-120

Under 13.5

-110

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

-104

Under 13.5

-127

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 11.5

-122

Under 11.5

-109

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-104

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-116

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-120

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets)

Over 7.5

-135

Under 7.5

+102

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-133

Under 5.5

-100

Player Assists

Nikola Jokić (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-141

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

+108

Under 6.5

-143

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+115

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-103

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-172

Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

+105

Player Rebounds

Nikola Jokić (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-100

Under 12.5

-133

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 11.5

-141

Under 11.5

+106

Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)

Over 7.5

-104

Under 7.5

-127

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-104

Under 6.5

-127

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

-105

Under 5.5

-125

Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+114

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-103

Under 4.5

-128

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-125

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-147

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-135

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-114

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-116

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

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Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup

3 Jaden McDaniels

5 Anthony Edwards

10 Mike Conley

27 Rudy Gobert

32 Karl-Anthony Towns

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

1 Michael Porter Jr.

5 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

50 Aaron Gordon

NBA Standings Select Season 2024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	4	1	0.8	125.8	114.4	11.4	2-0	2-1	1-0	4-1	4-1	1L
Knicks	2	2	0.5	113	111.8	1.2	1-1	1-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	1W
Nets	2	3	0.4	118	117.6	0.4	1-1	1-2	0-0	1-2	2-3	1W
76ers	1	3	0.25	107.3	114.5	-7.2	0-2	1-1	0-1	1-3	1-3	1L
Raptors	1	4	0.2	116	124	-8	1-2	0-2	1-0	1-2	1-4	3L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	5	0	1	125.6	107.4	18.2	2-0	3-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Bulls	3	2	0.6	113.4	116.2	-2.8	1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	3-2	2W
Pacers	2	3	0.4	115.4	120.2	-4.8	1-1	1-2	1-0	2-3	2-3	1W
Bucks	1	3	0.25	114	119	-5	0-1	1-2	0-1	1-3	1-3	3L
Pistons	1	4	0.2	106.2	110.6	-4.4	0-2	1-2	0-2	1-4	1-4	1W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	3	2	0.6	112.2	107.8	4.4	2-0	1-2	1-0	3-1	3-2	1L
Heat	2	2	0.5	106	109	-3	1-2	1-0	1-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Hornets	2	2	0.5	118.5	119.3	-0.8	1-1	1-1	0-2	1-2	2-2	1W
Wizards	2	2	0.5	118	124	-6	1-2	1-0	2-0	2-2	2-2	2W
Hawks	2	3	0.4	117.6	123.6	-6	2-1	0-2	1-2	2-2	2-3	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	4	0	1	112.3	94.8	17.5	2-0	2-0	1-0	2-0	4-0	4W
Timberwolves	2	2	0.5	111.5	111.5	0	1-1	1-1	0-0	1-2	2-2	1L
Nuggets	2	2	0.5	115.5	118.8	-3.3	0-2	2-0	0-1	0-2	2-2	2W
Trail Blazers	2	3	0.4	107.2	112.8	-5.6	1-2	1-1	0-0	2-3	2-3	1W
Jazz	0	4	0	102	119	-17	0-3	0-1	0-0	0-4	0-4	4L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	4	1	0.8	119.8	99.4	20.4	2-1	2-0	0-1	4-1	4-1	2W
Suns	3	1	0.75	113.8	110.8	3	2-0	1-1	2-1	3-1	3-1	2W
Lakers	3	2	0.6	115.8	117.8	-2	3-0	0-2	2-1	3-1	3-2	2L
Clippers	2	2	0.5	109.8	107.5	2.3	0-2	2-0	1-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Kings	2	2	0.5	116.5	110.5	6	1-1	1-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	2W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	3	1	0.75	113	109.8	3.2	2-0	1-1	1-0	3-1	3-1	2W
Rockets	2	2	0.5	111.3	107	4.3	1-1	1-1	2-1	2-1	2-2	1W
Pelicans	2	3	0.4	105.2	113.4	-8.2	1-0	1-3	0-0	1-3	2-3	3L
Grizzlies	2	3	0.4	117.4	121.6	-4.2	1-2	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-3	2L
Spurs	1	3	0.25	103	109.3	-6.3	1-1	0-2	1-2	1-3	1-3	2L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	5	0	1	125.6	107.4	18.2	2-0	3-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Celtics	4	1	0.8	125.8	114.4	11.4	2-0	2-1	1-0	4-1	4-1	1L
Bulls	3	2	0.6	113.4	116.2	-2.8	1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	3-2	2W
Magic	3	2	0.6	112.2	107.8	4.4	2-0	1-2	1-0	3-1	3-2	1L
Knicks	2	2	0.5	113	111.8	1.2	1-1	1-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	1W
Heat	2	2	0.5	106	109	-3	1-2	1-0	1-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Hornets	2	2	0.5	118.5	119.3	-0.8	1-1	1-1	0-2	1-2	2-2	1W
Wizards	2	2	0.5	118	124	-6	1-2	1-0	2-0	2-2	2-2	2W
Hawks	2	3	0.4	117.6	123.6	-6	2-1	0-2	1-2	2-2	2-3	3L
Nets	2	3	0.4	118	117.6	0.4	1-1	1-2	0-0	1-2	2-3	1W
Pacers	2	3	0.4	115.4	120.2	-4.8	1-1	1-2	1-0	2-3	2-3	1W
Bucks	1	3	0.25	114	119	-5	0-1	1-2	0-1	1-3	1-3	3L
76ers	1	3	0.25	107.3	114.5	-7.2	0-2	1-1	0-1	1-3	1-3	1L
Raptors	1	4	0.2	116	124	-8	1-2	0-2	1-0	1-2	1-4	3L
Pistons	1	4	0.2	106.2	110.6	-4.4	0-2	1-2	0-2	1-4	1-4	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	4	0	1	112.3	94.8	17.5	2-0	2-0	1-0	2-0	4-0	4W
Warriors	4	1	0.8	119.8	99.4	20.4	2-1	2-0	0-1	4-1	4-1	2W
Suns	3	1	0.75	113.8	110.8	3	2-0	1-1	2-1	3-1	3-1	2W
Mavericks	3	1	0.75	113	109.8	3.2	2-0	1-1	1-0	3-1	3-1	2W
Lakers	3	2	0.6	115.8	117.8	-2	3-0	0-2	2-1	3-1	3-2	2L
Clippers	2	2	0.5	109.8	107.5	2.3	0-2	2-0	1-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Timberwolves	2	2	0.5	111.5	111.5	0	1-1	1-1	0-0	1-2	2-2	1L
Kings	2	2	0.5	116.5	110.5	6	1-1	1-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	2W
Nuggets	2	2	0.5	115.5	118.8	-3.3	0-2	2-0	0-1	0-2	2-2	2W
Rockets	2	2	0.5	111.3	107	4.3	1-1	1-1	2-1	2-1	2-2	1W
Trail Blazers	2	3	0.4	107.2	112.8	-5.6	1-2	1-1	0-0	2-3	2-3	1W
Pelicans	2	3	0.4	105.2	113.4	-8.2	1-0	1-3	0-0	1-3	2-3	3L
Grizzlies	2	3	0.4	117.4	121.6	-4.2	1-2	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-3	2L
Spurs	1	3	0.25	103	109.3	-6.3	1-1	0-2	1-2	1-3	1-3	2L
Jazz	0	4	0	102	119	-17	0-3	0-1	0-0	0-4	0-4	4L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	5	0	1	125.6	107.4	18.2	2-0	3-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Thunder	4	0	1	112.3	94.8	17.5	2-0	2-0	1-0	2-0	4-0	4W
Celtics	4	1	0.8	125.8	114.4	11.4	2-0	2-1	1-0	4-1	4-1	1L
Warriors	4	1	0.8	119.8	99.4	20.4	2-1	2-0	0-1	4-1	4-1	2W
Suns	3	1	0.75	113.8	110.8	3	2-0	1-1	2-1	3-1	3-1	2W
Mavericks	3	1	0.75	113	109.8	3.2	2-0	1-1	1-0	3-1	3-1	2W
Lakers	3	2	0.6	115.8	117.8	-2	3-0	0-2	2-1	3-1	3-2	2L
Bulls	3	2	0.6	113.4	116.2	-2.8	1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	3-2	2W
Magic	3	2	0.6	112.2	107.8	4.4	2-0	1-2	1-0	3-1	3-2	1L
Hornets	2	2	0.5	118.5	119.3	-0.8	1-1	1-1	0-2	1-2	2-2	1W
Wizards	2	2	0.5	118	124	-6	1-2	1-0	2-0	2-2	2-2	2W
Kings	2	2	0.5	116.5	110.5	6	1-1	1-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	2W
Nuggets	2	2	0.5	115.5	118.8	-3.3	0-2	2-0	0-1	0-2	2-2	2W
Knicks	2	2	0.5	113	111.8	1.2	1-1	1-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	1W
Timberwolves	2	2	0.5	111.5	111.5	0	1-1	1-1	0-0	1-2	2-2	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	111.3	107	4.3	1-1	1-1	2-1	2-1	2-2	1W
Clippers	2	2	0.5	109.8	107.5	2.3	0-2	2-0	1-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Heat	2	2	0.5	106	109	-3	1-2	1-0	1-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Nets	2	3	0.4	118	117.6	0.4	1-1	1-2	0-0	1-2	2-3	1W
Hawks	2	3	0.4	117.6	123.6	-6	2-1	0-2	1-2	2-2	2-3	3L
Grizzlies	2	3	0.4	117.4	121.6	-4.2	1-2	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-3	2L
Pacers	2	3	0.4	115.4	120.2	-4.8	1-1	1-2	1-0	2-3	2-3	1W
Trail Blazers	2	3	0.4	107.2	112.8	-5.6	1-2	1-1	0-0	2-3	2-3	1W
Pelicans	2	3	0.4	105.2	113.4	-8.2	1-0	1-3	0-0	1-3	2-3	3L
Bucks	1	3	0.25	114	119	-5	0-1	1-2	0-1	1-3	1-3	3L
76ers	1	3	0.25	107.3	114.5	-7.2	0-2	1-1	0-1	1-3	1-3	1L
Spurs	1	3	0.25	103	109.3	-6.3	1-1	0-2	1-2	1-3	1-3	2L
Raptors	1	4	0.2	116	124	-8	1-2	0-2	1-0	1-2	1-4	3L
Pistons	1	4	0.2	106.2	110.6	-4.4	0-2	1-2	0-2	1-4	1-4	1W
Jazz	0	4	0	102	119	-17	0-3	0-1	0-0	0-4	0-4	4L

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