We’re Expecting Bills to Cover the Line

Wager on the Bills with a -6.5 spread when they face Commanders. We’re confident they can cover this appealing line at odds of -110.

Teams’ Previous H2H Saw 43-21 Bills Victory

Bills won their previous game, beating Raiders at home. It was a 38-10 win at Highmark Stadium. Bills 450 yards total gain included 267 passing and 183 rushing yards. They scored 5 touchdowns and picked up 29 first downs.

Commanders won their last game 35-33, making it back-to-back successes. This was a road victory at Empower Field at Mile High against Broncos. Commanders gained a total of 388 yards, comprising 266 passing and 122 rushing yards. They scored 4 TD’s. 2 passing and 2 rushing touchdown.

It was Bills who came out on top when they last played Commanders. At Highmark Stadium, a 43-21 win was recorded.

Expert NFL Analysis

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making NFL picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Bills vs Commanders stats:

The -6.5 line has been covered by Bills in 5 of their last 10 games.
The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Commanders in 2 of their last 5 games.

It’s great to see the favorites given a -6.5 line on the spread at -110 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in this NFL contest.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the selection you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

-6.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Bills vs Commanders Prediction

Bills -6.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Published 01:43, 22 September 2023

Bills vs Commanders Bet Builder Tips

Spread Bills -6.5

Totals Under 43

Highest Scoring Half First Half

Our same game parlay pick is Bills -6.5 on the spread, under 43 and the first half to be highest-scoring.

The bet builder option is great for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Bet Boosts

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Bills vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Sportsbooks Giving Bills Plenty of Respect

Sportsbooks’ favorites Buffalo Bills are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -240 about them triumphing means a 71% chance based on their current Money Line betting odds. For those wanting to back Washington Commanders, you will find +200 about the underdogs.

5.5 is the spread and 44 is the total points line. The beauty of Totals is that it’s a simple two-way market. Those that want to back Under 44 can find odds of -110 available.

You can get odds of -115 if you want to back Commanders to have the first Coaches Challenge. There are also options to bet on this franchise to commit the First Accepted Penalty and to call the First Timeout.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on the National Football League, you can feast on hundreds of markets. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Player Props

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player markets that focus on performance rather than the game result.

Stefon Diggs Favorite to Score First TD

Favorite Stefon Diggs is now available at +650 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last TD.

Stefon Diggs (BUF Bills)

James Cook (BUF Bills)

Josh Allen (BUF Bills)

Brian Robinson (WAS Commanders)

Jahan Dotson (WAS Commanders)

Terry McLaurin (WAS Commanders)

Gabriel Davis (BUF Bills)

Dawson Knox (BUF Bills)

Latavius Murray (BUF Bills)

Dalton Kincaid (BUF Bills)

Damien Harris (BUF Bills)

Antonio Gibson (WAS Commanders)

Logan Thomas (WAS Commanders)

John Bates (WAS Commanders)

Sam Howell (WAS Commanders)

Curtis Samuel (WAS Commanders)

Cole Turner (WAS Commanders)

Khalil Shakir (BUF Bills)

Deonte Harty (BUF Bills)

Dyami Brown (WAS Commanders)

Trent Sherfield (BUF Bills)

Byron Pringle (WAS Commanders)

Quintin Morris (BUF Bills)

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NFL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Drive Result. Check out the live team, score and player props and see if you can find an angle.

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Last 5 & H2H

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Last 5 Games

Commanders

NFL: 17/09 Broncos 33 Commanders35
NFL: 10/09 Commanders 20 Cardinals16
NFL: 08/01 Commanders 26 Cowboys6
NFL: 01/01 Commanders 10 Browns24
NFL: 24/12 49ers 37 Commanders20

Head to Head

Bills vs Commanders

NFL: 26/09 2021 Bills 43 Commanders 21
NFL: 03/11 2019 Bills 24 Commanders 9

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

-6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
-6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

+6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
+6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 47.40 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 43: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 43 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.20 pts and allowed 20.20 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 25.30 pts and allowed 20.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 41.70 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 36.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 43: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 43 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.70 pts and allowed 20.00 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 18.00 pts and allowed 18.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 369.90 Yds. Allowed 300.40 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 134.20 Yds. Allowed 104.80 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 235.70 Yds. Allowed 195.60 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.20. Allowed 17.80
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.50
Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 4.10
Penalty Yards: Lost 40.40 Yds. Gained 32.40 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 334.00 Yds. Allowed 281.10 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 138.50 Yds. Allowed 112.50 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 195.50 Yds. Allowed 168.60 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.10. Allowed 16.00
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.50
Total Penalties: Committed 5.60. Committed by opponents 5.10
Penalty Yards: Lost 44.30 Yds. Gained 47.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

Total Yards: Gained 391.40 Yds. Allowed 306.60 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 137.60 Yds. Allowed 108.70 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 253.80 Yds. Allowed 197.90 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.00 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.30. Allowed 19.00
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.90. Committed by opponents 1.30
Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 3.90
Penalty Yards: Lost 39.30 Yds. Gained 33.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

Total Yards: Gained 316.00 Yds. Allowed 287.00 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 123.20 Yds. Allowed 99.50 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 192.80 Yds. Allowed 187.50 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.70. Allowed 16.80
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 0.80
Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 6.50
Penalty Yards: Lost 43.30 Yds. Gained 58.80 Yds

Team News

Buffalo Bills @ Washington Commanders Lineups

Washington Commanders

Manager:

Ron Rivera

2

Dyami Brown

3

Byron Pringle

4

Curtis Samuel

5

Tress Way

6

Joey Slye

12

Jacoby Brissett

13

Emmanuel Forbes Jr.

20

Jartavius Martin

23

Christopher Rodriguez Jr.

24

Antonio Gibson

34

Christian Holmes

36

Danny Johnson

39

Jeremy Reaves

40

Alexander Armah

47

Khaleke Hudson

50

Andre Jones

51

David Mayo

53

Ricky Stromberg

54

Camaron Cheeseman

69

Tyler Larsen

78

Cornelius Lucas

83

Jamison Crowder

91

John Ridgeway

92

Abdullah Anderson

95

Casey Toohill

96

James Smith-Williams

Buffalo Bills

Manager:

Sean McDermott

2

Tyler Bass

8

Sam Martin

9

Kyle Allen

10

Khalil Shakir

11

Deonte Harty

16

Trent Sherfield

20

Taylor Rapp

22

Damien Harris

25

Tyrel Dodson

28

Latavius Murray

30

Dane Jackson

33

Siran Neal

39

Cameron Lewis

41

Reggie Gilliam

42

Dorian Williams

44

Tyler Matakevich

57

A.J. Epenesa

59

Kingsley Jonathan

69

Reid Ferguson

71

Ryan Bates

74

Ryan Van Demark

76

David Edwards

85

Quintin Morris

90

Shaq Lawson

97

Jordan Phillips

99

Tim Settle

Washington Commanders Substitutes

1 Jahan Dotson
8 Brian Robinson Jr.
14 Sam Howell
17 Terry McLaurin
22 Darrick Forrest
25 Benjamin St-Juste
29 Kendall Fuller
31 Kamren Curl
35 Percy Butler
52 Jamin Davis
57 Cody Barton
63 Nick Gates
71 Andrew Wylie
72 Charles Leno Jr.
76 Samuel Cosmi
77 Saahdiq Charles
85 Cole Turner
87 John Bates
90 Montez Sweat
93 Jonathan Allen
94 Da'Ron Payne
99 Chase Young

Buffalo Bills Substitutes

4 James Cook
7 Taron Johnson
13 Gabriel Davis
14 Stefon Diggs
17 Josh Allen
21 Jordan Poyer
23 Micah Hyde
27 Tre'Davious White
43 Terrel Bernard
47 Christian Benford
50 Gregory Rousseau
56 Leonard Floyd
58 Matt Milano
60 Mitch Morse
64 O'Cyrus Torrence
66 Connor McGovern
73 Dion Dawkins
79 Spencer Brown
86 Dalton Kincaid
88 Dawson Knox
91 Ed Oliver
92 DaQuan Jones

Buffalo Bills Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Terrel Bernard

Leg

Spencer Brown

Shoulder

Zach Davidson

Undisclosed

Tommy Doyle

Knee

Leonard Floyd

Ankle

Nyheim Hines

Knee

Micah Hyde

Hamstring

Dawson Knox

Back

Von Miller

Knee - ACL

Brandon Shell

Undisclosed

Justin Shorter

Hamstring

Baylon Spector

Hamstring

Washington Commanders Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Troy Apke

Shoulder

David Bada

Triceps

Curtis Brooks

Undisclosed

Braeden Daniels

Shoulder

Brandon Dillon

Undisclosed

Jartavius Martin

Concussion

Phidarian Mathis

Calf

Dax Milne

Groin

Efe Obada

Knee

Daron Payne

Ankle

Armani Rogers

Achilles

Kaden Smith

Undisclosed

Logan Thomas

Concussion

Shaka Toney

Suspension

Drew White

Knee

Previous Buffalo Bills Lineups

17 Sep NFL

Raiders 10-38 Bills

Confirmed Lineups

11 Sep NFL

Bills 16-22 Jets

Confirmed Lineups

22 Jan NFL Playoffs

Bengals 27-10 Bills

Confirmed Lineups

15 Jan NFL Playoffs

Dolphins 31-34 Bills

Confirmed Lineups

08 Jan NFL

Patriots 23-35 Bills

Confirmed Lineups

24 Dec NFL

Bills 35-13 Bears

Confirmed Lineups

17 Dec NFL

Dolphins 29-32 Bills

Confirmed Lineups

11 Dec NFL

Jets 12-20 Bills

Confirmed Lineups

01 Dec NFL

Bills 24-10 Patriots

Confirmed Lineups

24 Nov NFL

Bills 28-25 Lions

Confirmed Lineups

Previous Washington Commanders Lineups

17 Sep NFL

Commanders 35-33 Broncos

Confirmed Lineups

10 Sep NFL

Cardinals 16-20 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

08 Jan NFL

Cowboys 6-26 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

01 Jan NFL

Browns 24-10 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

24 Dec NFL

Commanders 20-37 49ers

Confirmed Lineups

18 Dec NFL

Giants 20-12 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

04 Dec NFL

Commanders 20-20 Giants

Confirmed Lineups

27 Nov NFL

Falcons 13-19 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

20 Nov NFL

Commanders 23-10 Texans

Confirmed Lineups

14 Nov NFL

Commanders 32-21 Eagles

Confirmed Lineups

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC North	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC South	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC West	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Broncos	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chargers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC East	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cowboys	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Giants	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Eagles	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC North	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC South	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Falcons	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Panthers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Saints	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Buccaneers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC West	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC Conference	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Broncos	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chargers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC Conference	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cowboys	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Giants	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Eagles	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Falcons	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Panthers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Saints	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Buccaneers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFL Team	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Falcons	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Panthers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Cowboys	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Broncos	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chargers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Saints	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Giants	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Eagles	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Buccaneers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-