Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Go Over the Total and Cheer on Points

NBA Playoffs – First Round East: No. 1 Boston Celtics (64-18, 37-4 home) host No. 8 Miami Heat (46-36, 24-17 away) in the first game of the series.

There’s juice available when it comes to backing Over 209 points between the Heat and the Celtics. Our prediction is priced up at -109 which looks well worth taking.

Celtics Beat Heat When Teams Last Met

Miami Heat claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 112-91 win occurred against Chicago Bulls at Kaseya Center. Tyler Herro scored 24 points, with Jaime Jaquez Jr. getting 21 and Kevin Love 16.

Boston Celtics won their last game 132-122, making it successive victories. This was a home win at TD Garden against Washington Wizards. Payton Pritchard landed 38 points and 12 assists. He combined 4 three-pointers, 11 two-pointers and 4 free throws.

The Celtics won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 110-106 triumph when facing the Heat at Kaseya Center. The Celtics have racked up three straight victories over the Heat. On the head-to-head front, they have won 6 of the past 10.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Nikola Jovic, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin.

Boston Celtics lineup: Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White.

Expert NBA Analysis

The NBA predictions are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.

Key Heat vs Celtics stats:

• The 209 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Heat games on the road.
• The 209 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Heat games.
• The 209 line has been covered in 19 of the last 20 Celtics games at home.
• The 209 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Celtics games at home.
• The 209 line has been covered in the last 4 Celtics games at home.
• The 209 line has been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

We think that 209 is a generous total for Over backers in this NBA contest. Take the -109 that we see the teams combine to good effect.

There’s a chance to secure bigger odds when you bet on the Totals. The top sportsbooks allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.

Over 209 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.1% chance of winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Heat vs Celtics Prediction

Over 209 Points @ -109 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Props

Top Pick: Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 14.5 Points -110

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Heat) has covered the 14.5 points total in 4 straight games. We think this is the pick of the prop bets, with odds of -110 available when it comes to backing him on Player Points.

Current Jaime Jaquez Jr. Lines and Odds

14.5 Points

Over -111

Under -119

4.5 Rebounds

Over -109

Under -122

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Correct Score Prediction

Heat 103 - 112 Celtics

There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Celtics to enjoy a 112-103 winning scoreline.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Have Celtics as Heavy Favorites

Boston Celtics have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -1111 favorites for this NBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 92% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami Heat are trading at +700.

14 is where the spread lies, with total points being 209.5 right now. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 209.5 at -110.

Wagering on the Race to 20 Points allows bettors to back favorites Celtics at -270. On the flip side, the Heat are +210 should you think they’ll get to this total first.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have lots of options.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Heat

+700

Celtics

-1111

Point Spread

Heat +14

-110

Celtics -14

-110

Total Points

Under 209.5

-110

Over 209.5

-110

Jayson Tatum Favorite to Get Most Points

The favorite to land the most baskets is Jayson Tatum. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 25.5 points and there is -125 for him to go Under.

Player Points

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 25.5

-105

Under 25.5

-125

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 23.5

-108

Under 23.5

-122

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 22.5

-118

Under 22.5

-112

Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics)

Over 18.5

-102

Under 18.5

-130

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 17.5

-127

Under 17.5

-104

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Heat)

Over 14.5

-111

Under 14.5

-119

Terry Rozier (Heat)

Over 13.5

-125

Under 13.5

-106

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 12.5

-111

Under 12.5

-119

Jrue Holiday (Celtics)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-118

Caleb Martin (Heat)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-120

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-110

Player Assists

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 5.5

+117

Under 5.5

-156

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-139

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-152

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+112

Jrue Holiday (Celtics)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-135

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-175

Terry Rozier (Heat)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-112

Caleb Martin (Heat)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-164

Player Rebounds

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-133

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-132

Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics)

Over 7.5

+104

Under 7.5

-137

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-149

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 5.5

-135

Under 5.5

+102

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Heat)

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-122

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 4.5

+105

Under 4.5

-139

Jrue Holiday (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+107

Caleb Martin (Heat)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-132

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-149

Terry Rozier (Heat)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-143

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Live Streaming

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics Confirmed Lineup

0 Jayson Tatum

4 Jrue Holiday

7 Jaylen Brown

8 Kristaps Porzingis

9 Derrick White

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

5 Nikola Jovic

11 Jaime Jaquez Jr.

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

16 Caleb Martin

NBA Standings Select Season 2023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

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