Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

We’re Expecting Thunder to Cover the Spread

NBA Playoffs - Western Conference Semifinal: Dallas Mavericks (50-32, fifth in the Western Conference) host Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25, first in the Western Conference). Game 3. The series is tied 1-1.

Our betting prediction is that the Thunder will be able to cover the spread against the Mavericks, with +2.5 looking favorable for our wager. Take the -110 that is currently available.

7 Wins for Thunder in Past 10 H2H Matchups

Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks clashed at Paycom Center two nights ago, with the Mavs recording a 119-110 victory.

PJ Washington had 29 points and 11 rebounds for the Mavs, Luka Doncic registered 29 points and 10 rebounds, while Tim Hardaway Jr. scored 17 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander racked up 33 points and 12 rebounds for the Thunder, with Jalen Williams recording 20 points and Chet Holmgren 11.

The Thunder have won seven of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

The Thunder have 9 wins and 1 loss in the past 10 games. They are averaging 114.7 points, 46.5 rebounds, 26.6 assists, 8.7 steals and 6.0 blocks while shooting 48.9% from the field and 78.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 95.9 points and 45.1 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 27.5 points and 5.5 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 8.1 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 2.3 (46.9%) 3-pointers made.

The Mavs have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 103.1 points, 42.7 rebounds, 21.5 assists, 6.9 steals and 5.9 blocks per game while shooting 43.9% from the field and 72.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 107.1 points and 44.3 rebounds.

Luka Doncic is averaging 22.7 points, 6.9 rebounds and 7.3 assists, while Kyrie Irving has an average of 2.5 (45.5%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams.

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, PJ Washington, Derrick Jones Jr., Luka Doncic.

Expert NBA Analysis

Our team of expert NBA handicappers monitor the current injuries. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Thunder vs Mavericks stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 7 of their last 10 games against Thunder.

Our best wager is OKC Thunder at +2.5 on the spread. A win or narrow defeat would mean our bet at odds of -110 lands a really nice return for this NBA contest.

There's always the option to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how risky or safe you want to play things.

Thunder +2.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction

Thunder +2.5 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Props

Top Pick: Luguentz Dort Over 9.5 Points -115

Luguentz Dort (Thunder) has scored Over 9.5 points in 5 straight games on the road. He looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and you’re able to back this pick at odds of -115.

Current Luguentz Dort Lines and Odds

9.5 Points

Over -120

Under -109

4.5 Rebounds

Over +120

Under -159

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 107 - 104 Mavericks

For a fun wager, consider backing the Thunder to claim a 107-104 victory. Although it’s a speculative bet, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Mavs Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

With the sportsbooks giving them a 56% probability of winning this NBA game, Dallas Mavericks might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -125 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Oklahoma City Thunder are trading at +105.

The spread is currently 2, with the total points line at 216.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those who wager Under 216.5 can get -110.

The Mavs can be backed in lots of ways and that includes Race to 20 Points where they are -120 favorites. The Thunder are -110 should you think they’ll make this total first instead.

If you’re planning to place a basketball wager, visit the betting sites and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Thunder

+105

Mavericks

-125

Point Spread

Thunder +2

-110

Mavericks -2

-110

Total Points

Under 216.5

-110

Over 216.5

-110

Luka Dončić Favorite to Score the Most Points

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Luka Dončić is available at -115 to rack up Over 30.5 points. If you want to go Under, then the same odds are available.

Player Points

Luka Dončić (Mavericks)

Over 30.5

-115

Under 30.5

-115

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 29.5

-116

Under 29.5

-114

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 23.5

-104

Under 23.5

-127

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

-102

Under 20.5

-128

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

-122

Under 15.5

-109

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 13.5

-119

Under 13.5

-111

Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)

Over 11.5

-115

Under 11.5

-115

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-109

Derrick Jones Jr. (Mavericks)

Over 8.5

-133

Under 8.5

+102

Tim Hardaway Jr. (Mavericks)

Over 8.5

+102

Under 8.5

-135

Dereck Lively II (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

+123

Under 6.5

-172

Josh Giddey (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-133

Under 5.5

-100

Player Assists

Luka Dončić (Mavericks)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-116

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

+115

Under 6.5

-152

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-143

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-161

Under 4.5

+123

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-185

Josh Giddey (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-182

Player Rebounds

Luka Dončić (Mavericks)

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-125

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-104

Under 8.5

-127

Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-128

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

+102

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-149

Dereck Lively II (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-147

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-108

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+108

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-159

Derrick Jones Jr. (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-172

Josh Giddey (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-100

Tim Hardaway Jr. (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-167

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Live Streaming

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup

11 Kyrie Irving

21 Daniel Gafford

25 PJ Washington

55 Derrick Jones Jr.

77 Luka Doncic

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

3 Josh Giddey

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

NBA Standings Select Season 2023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

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