Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

We’re Confident the Best Bet is Under 6.5

The Maple Leafs and the Lightning don’t look capable of passing the 6.5 goal line. It leads us to make an Unders prediction, with odds of -115 currently on offer.

Leafs H2H Record Includes 7 Wins in 10

Toronto Maple Leafs have been defeated in their previous three games. On the road, they recently suffered a 5-2 loss against Florida Panthers at Amerant Bank Arena. Mitchell Marner and Noah Gregor scored one goal each.

Tampa Bay Lightning were defeated last time, making it three losses on the spin. Amalie Arena saw them beaten 4-2 at home to Buffalo Sabres. Erik Cernak and Steven Stamkos scored one goal apiece.

The Lightning triumphed 4-1 when they last played the Leafs. This head-to-head was played at Scotiabank Arena. The Leafs have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Starting Goalies

Martin Jones (Confirmed)

W-L-OTL: 11-8-1 GAA: 2.87 SV%: .902 SO: 2

Matt Tomkins (Confirmed)

W-L-OTL: 3-2-0 GAA: 3.33 SV%: .892 SO: 0

Expert NHL Analysis

Injuries are taken into account by the hockey handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our NHL forecasts are also shaped by the latest form, with the team, player and goalie stats playing a big part before picks are made.

Key Maple Leafs vs Lightning stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Maple Leafs games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lightning games at home.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Lightning games this season.

There are betting odds of -115 available when it comes to backing Unders in this NHL clash. It looks too good an opportunity to pass up and we need %line_under_text% goals or less to be scored.

There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. Betting on Match Winner & Total Goals provides a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

Under 6.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -115 Watch Live Bet Now

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Props

Top Pick: Mitchell Marner Over 0.5 Assists -150

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs) has recorded at least one assist in 6 straight games. Using this stat, we can therefore back him at -150 when it comes to a Player Assists bet which looks like a value pick.

Current Mitchell Marner Lines and Odds

Goals

Anytime +185

First +1150

0.5 Assists

Over -160

Under +120

2.5 Shots

Over -115

Under -125

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Lightning

We’re predicting the Maple Leafs to land a 3-2 victory and this is available at +1200. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Score

Maple Leafs

Lightning

1-0

Maple Leafs

+8000

Lightning

+8000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Lightning

+5000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+2200

Lightning

+2200

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4000

Lightning

+4000

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2200

Lightning

+2000

3-2

Maple Leafs

+1200

Lightning

+1100

4-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Lightning

+5000

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2200

Lightning

+1800

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1600

Lightning

+1400

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1100

Lightning

+1100

5-0

Maple Leafs

+8000

Lightning

+6500

5-1

Maple Leafs

+3500

Lightning

+3000

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2000

Lightning

+1600

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2000

Lightning

+1800

5-4

Maple Leafs

+1800

Lightning

+1800

6-0

Maple Leafs

+12500

Lightning

+10000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+6000

Lightning

+4000

6-2

Maple Leafs

+4000

Lightning

+3500

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3000

Lightning

+2500

6-4

Maple Leafs

+4000

Lightning

+3500

6-5

Maple Leafs

+4000

Lightning

+4000

Any Other Score

Maple Leafs

+600

Lightning

+600

View More

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Think Lightning Likeliest to Win

With the sportsbooks giving them a 57% probability of winning this game, Tampa Bay Lightning might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -130 Moneyline betting odds. Toronto Maple Leafs are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +110.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. Having a bet on Totals is one of the most popular NHL wagers. If you’re going for Over 6.5, then the odds are -130.

Those wanting to back the Lightning to win the Race to 3 Goals betting can get odds of -100 that the favorites oblige. If you want to back the Leafs, then odds of +125 can be found.

Consider every angle when placing your National Hockey League bets. The betting sites have hundreds of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a selection which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+110

Lightning

-130

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+165

Tie

+325

Lightning

+120

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-210

Lightning -1.5

+175

Total Goals

Under 6.5

+110

Over 6.5

-130

Auston Matthews Favorite to Find the Net First

Those interested in Auston Matthews to light the lamp at anytime are able to get -147. There is the chance to back the favorite to score the first goal at odds of +540.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

-147

Anytime

+540

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

-106

Anytime

+650

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+125

Anytime

+850

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+132

Anytime

+850

Steven Stamkos (Lightning)

First

+150

Anytime

+950

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+175

Anytime

+1100

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

First

+185

Anytime

+1150

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+185

Anytime

+1150

Anthony Duclair (Lightning)

First

+210

Anytime

+1200

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+270

Anytime

+1500

Tyler Bertuzzi (Maple Leafs)

First

+275

Anytime

+1500

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+295

Anytime

+1600

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+310

Anytime

+1700

Michael Eyssimont (Lightning)

First

+320

Anytime

+1700

Conor Sheary (Lightning)

First

+320

Anytime

+1700

Player Assists

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

-160

Under 0.5

+120

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

-150

Under 0.5

+110

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-125

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-130

Steven Stamkos (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-140

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-190

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-210

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-240

Tyler Bertuzzi (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-250

Player Shots

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-130

Steven Stamkos (Lightning)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-140

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-125

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides an interesting rollercoaster ride for NHL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Live Streaming

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It’s great to enjoy thousands of sporting events on an annual basis. Watch the action and get audio commentary too.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

NHL Standings

Division Conference League

Metropolitan	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 NY Rangers	82	55	23	4	114	0.695	43	51	282	229	53	30-11-0	25-12-4	4-3	7-3	2W
2 Carolina	82	52	23	7	111	0.677	44	50	279	216	63	27-10-4	25-13-3	2-5	7-3	1L
3 NY Islanders	82	39	27	16	94	0.573	29	38	246	263	-17	21-10-10	18-17-6	1-5	8-2	2W
4 Washington	82	40	31	11	91	0.555	32	36	220	257	-37	22-12-7	18-19-4	4-5	4-6	3W
5 Pittsburgh	82	38	32	12	88	0.537	32	36	255	251	4	23-14-4	15-18-8	2-3	6-4	1L
6 Philadelphia	82	38	33	11	87	0.53	30	34	235	261	-26	20-17-4	18-16-7	4-3	2-8	1L
7 New Jersey	82	38	39	5	81	0.494	33	38	264	283	-19	17-21-3	21-18-2	0-2	3-7	2L
8 Columbus	82	27	43	12	66	0.402	21	24	237	300	-63	17-19-5	10-24-7	3-2	4-6	1W

East Atlantic	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Florida	82	52	24	6	110	0.671	42	49	268	200	68	26-13-2	26-11-4	3-2	6-4	4W
2 Boston	82	47	20	15	109	0.665	36	43	267	224	43	24-11-6	23-9-9	4-3	6-4	2L
3 Toronto	82	46	26	10	102	0.622	33	41	303	263	40	22-15-4	24-11-6	5-2	5-5	4L
4 Tampa Bay	82	45	29	8	98	0.598	37	42	291	268	23	25-11-5	20-18-3	3-1	5-5	1W
5 Detroit	82	41	32	9	91	0.555	27	38	278	274	4	23-13-5	18-19-4	3-1	5-5	3W
6 Buffalo	82	39	37	6	84	0.512	33	37	246	244	2	21-19-1	18-18-5	2-1	5-5	1W
7 Ottawa	82	37	41	4	78	0.476	25	32	255	281	-26	21-18-2	16-23-2	5-0	5-5	1W
8 Montreal	82	30	36	16	76	0.463	20	26	236	289	-53	16-20-5	14-16-11	4-8	2-8	4L

East Central	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Dallas	82	52	21	9	113	0.689	40	48	298	234	64	26-11-4	26-10-5	4-2	8-2	2W
2 Winnipeg	82	52	24	6	110	0.671	46	52	259	199	60	27-11-3	25-13-3	0-1	8-2	8W
3 Colorado	82	50	25	7	107	0.652	42	48	304	254	50	31-9-1	19-16-6	2-2	4-6	1W
4 Nashville	82	47	30	5	99	0.604	38	44	269	248	21	23-16-2	24-14-3	3-0	4-6	1L
5 St Louis	82	43	33	6	92	0.561	31	38	239	250	-11	25-14-2	18-19-4	5-2	5-5	1L
6 Minnesota	82	39	33	10	87	0.53	32	36	251	263	-12	20-15-6	19-18-4	3-3	4-6	1L
7 Arizona	82	36	41	5	77	0.47	28	34	256	274	-18	22-19-0	14-22-5	2-0	6-4	1W
8 Chicago	82	23	53	6	52	0.317	17	22	179	290	-111	16-21-4	7-32-2	1-1	2-8	6L

West Pacific	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Vancouver	82	50	23	9	109	0.665	44	50	279	223	56	27-9-5	23-14-4	0-2	5-5	1L
2 Edmonton	82	49	27	6	104	0.634	39	47	294	237	57	28-9-4	21-18-2	2-1	4-6	2L
3 LA Kings	82	44	27	11	99	0.604	37	42	256	215	41	22-12-7	22-15-4	2-5	6-4	1W
4 Vegas	82	45	29	8	98	0.598	34	41	267	245	22	27-12-2	18-17-6	4-2	6-4	1L
5 Calgary	82	38	39	5	81	0.494	32	38	253	271	-18	21-19-1	17-20-4	0-4	5-5	1W
6 Seattle	82	34	35	13	81	0.494	28	31	217	236	-19	17-18-6	17-17-7	3-4	4-6	1W
7 Anaheim	82	27	50	5	59	0.36	21	26	204	295	-91	12-26-3	15-24-2	1-2	3-7	1W
8 San Jose	82	19	54	9	47	0.287	14	18	181	331	-150	11-25-5	8-29-4	1-5	3-7	3L

Eastern	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 NY Rangers	82	55	23	4	114	0.695	43	51	282	229	53	30-11-0	25-12-4	4-3	7-3	2W
2 Carolina	82	52	23	7	111	0.677	44	50	279	216	63	27-10-4	25-13-3	2-5	7-3	1L
3 Florida	82	52	24	6	110	0.671	42	49	268	200	68	26-13-2	26-11-4	3-2	6-4	4W
4 Boston	82	47	20	15	109	0.665	36	43	267	224	43	24-11-6	23-9-9	4-3	6-4	2L
5 Toronto	82	46	26	10	102	0.622	33	41	303	263	40	22-15-4	24-11-6	5-2	5-5	4L
6 Tampa Bay	82	45	29	8	98	0.598	37	42	291	268	23	25-11-5	20-18-3	3-1	5-5	1W
7 NY Islanders	82	39	27	16	94	0.573	29	38	246	263	-17	21-10-10	18-17-6	1-5	8-2	2W
8 Washington	82	40	31	11	91	0.555	32	36	220	257	-37	22-12-7	18-19-4	4-5	4-6	3W
9 Detroit	82	41	32	9	91	0.555	27	38	278	274	4	23-13-5	18-19-4	3-1	5-5	3W
10 Pittsburgh	82	38	32	12	88	0.537	32	36	255	251	4	23-14-4	15-18-8	2-3	6-4	1L
11 Philadelphia	82	38	33	11	87	0.53	30	34	235	261	-26	20-17-4	18-16-7	4-3	2-8	1L
12 Buffalo	82	39	37	6	84	0.512	33	37	246	244	2	21-19-1	18-18-5	2-1	5-5	1W
13 New Jersey	82	38	39	5	81	0.494	33	38	264	283	-19	17-21-3	21-18-2	0-2	3-7	2L
14 Ottawa	82	37	41	4	78	0.476	25	32	255	281	-26	21-18-2	16-23-2	5-0	5-5	1W
15 Montreal	82	30	36	16	76	0.463	20	26	236	289	-53	16-20-5	14-16-11	4-8	2-8	4L
16 Columbus	82	27	43	12	66	0.402	21	24	237	300	-63	17-19-5	10-24-7	3-2	4-6	1W

Western	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Dallas	82	52	21	9	113	0.689	40	48	298	234	64	26-11-4	26-10-5	4-2	8-2	2W
2 Winnipeg	82	52	24	6	110	0.671	46	52	259	199	60	27-11-3	25-13-3	0-1	8-2	8W
3 Vancouver	82	50	23	9	109	0.665	44	50	279	223	56	27-9-5	23-14-4	0-2	5-5	1L
4 Colorado	82	50	25	7	107	0.652	42	48	304	254	50	31-9-1	19-16-6	2-2	4-6	1W
5 Edmonton	82	49	27	6	104	0.634	39	47	294	237	57	28-9-4	21-18-2	2-1	4-6	2L
6 Nashville	82	47	30	5	99	0.604	38	44	269	248	21	23-16-2	24-14-3	3-0	4-6	1L
7 LA Kings	82	44	27	11	99	0.604	37	42	256	215	41	22-12-7	22-15-4	2-5	6-4	1W
8 Vegas	82	45	29	8	98	0.598	34	41	267	245	22	27-12-2	18-17-6	4-2	6-4	1L
9 St Louis	82	43	33	6	92	0.561	31	38	239	250	-11	25-14-2	18-19-4	5-2	5-5	1L
10 Minnesota	82	39	33	10	87	0.53	32	36	251	263	-12	20-15-6	19-18-4	3-3	4-6	1L
11 Calgary	82	38	39	5	81	0.494	32	38	253	271	-18	21-19-1	17-20-4	0-4	5-5	1W
12 Seattle	82	34	35	13	81	0.494	28	31	217	236	-19	17-18-6	17-17-7	3-4	4-6	1W
13 Arizona	82	36	41	5	77	0.47	28	34	256	274	-18	22-19-0	14-22-5	2-0	6-4	1W
14 Anaheim	82	27	50	5	59	0.36	21	26	204	295	-91	12-26-3	15-24-2	1-2	3-7	1W
15 Chicago	82	23	53	6	52	0.317	17	22	179	290	-111	16-21-4	7-32-2	1-1	2-8	6L
16 San Jose	82	19	54	9	47	0.287	14	18	181	331	-150	11-25-5	8-29-4	1-5	3-7	3L

	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 NY Rangers	82	55	23	4	114	0.695	43	51	282	229	53	30-11-0	25-12-4	4-3	7-3	2W
2 Dallas	82	52	21	9	113	0.689	40	48	298	234	64	26-11-4	26-10-5	4-2	8-2	2W
3 Carolina	82	52	23	7	111	0.677	44	50	279	216	63	27-10-4	25-13-3	2-5	7-3	1L
4 Winnipeg	82	52	24	6	110	0.671	46	52	259	199	60	27-11-3	25-13-3	0-1	8-2	8W
5 Florida	82	52	24	6	110	0.671	42	49	268	200	68	26-13-2	26-11-4	3-2	6-4	4W
6 Vancouver	82	50	23	9	109	0.665	44	50	279	223	56	27-9-5	23-14-4	0-2	5-5	1L
7 Boston	82	47	20	15	109	0.665	36	43	267	224	43	24-11-6	23-9-9	4-3	6-4	2L
8 Colorado	82	50	25	7	107	0.652	42	48	304	254	50	31-9-1	19-16-6	2-2	4-6	1W
9 Edmonton	82	49	27	6	104	0.634	39	47	294	237	57	28-9-4	21-18-2	2-1	4-6	2L
10 Toronto	82	46	26	10	102	0.622	33	41	303	263	40	22-15-4	24-11-6	5-2	5-5	4L
11 Nashville	82	47	30	5	99	0.604	38	44	269	248	21	23-16-2	24-14-3	3-0	4-6	1L
12 LA Kings	82	44	27	11	99	0.604	37	42	256	215	41	22-12-7	22-15-4	2-5	6-4	1W
13 Tampa Bay	82	45	29	8	98	0.598	37	42	291	268	23	25-11-5	20-18-3	3-1	5-5	1W
14 Vegas	82	45	29	8	98	0.598	34	41	267	245	22	27-12-2	18-17-6	4-2	6-4	1L
15 NY Islanders	82	39	27	16	94	0.573	29	38	246	263	-17	21-10-10	18-17-6	1-5	8-2	2W
16 St Louis	82	43	33	6	92	0.561	31	38	239	250	-11	25-14-2	18-19-4	5-2	5-5	1L
17 Washington	82	40	31	11	91	0.555	32	36	220	257	-37	22-12-7	18-19-4	4-5	4-6	3W
18 Detroit	82	41	32	9	91	0.555	27	38	278	274	4	23-13-5	18-19-4	3-1	5-5	3W
19 Pittsburgh	82	38	32	12	88	0.537	32	36	255	251	4	23-14-4	15-18-8	2-3	6-4	1L
20 Minnesota	82	39	33	10	87	0.53	32	36	251	263	-12	20-15-6	19-18-4	3-3	4-6	1L
21 Philadelphia	82	38	33	11	87	0.53	30	34	235	261	-26	20-17-4	18-16-7	4-3	2-8	1L
22 Buffalo	82	39	37	6	84	0.512	33	37	246	244	2	21-19-1	18-18-5	2-1	5-5	1W
23 New Jersey	82	38	39	5	81	0.494	33	38	264	283	-19	17-21-3	21-18-2	0-2	3-7	2L
24 Calgary	82	38	39	5	81	0.494	32	38	253	271	-18	21-19-1	17-20-4	0-4	5-5	1W
25 Seattle	82	34	35	13	81	0.494	28	31	217	236	-19	17-18-6	17-17-7	3-4	4-6	1W
26 Ottawa	82	37	41	4	78	0.476	25	32	255	281	-26	21-18-2	16-23-2	5-0	5-5	1W
27 Arizona	82	36	41	5	77	0.47	28	34	256	274	-18	22-19-0	14-22-5	2-0	6-4	1W
28 Montreal	82	30	36	16	76	0.463	20	26	236	289	-53	16-20-5	14-16-11	4-8	2-8	4L
29 Columbus	82	27	43	12	66	0.402	21	24	237	300	-63	17-19-5	10-24-7	3-2	4-6	1W
30 Anaheim	82	27	50	5	59	0.36	21	26	204	295	-91	12-26-3	15-24-2	1-2	3-7	1W
31 Chicago	82	23	53	6	52	0.317	17	22	179	290	-111	16-21-4	7-32-2	1-1	2-8	6L
32 San Jose	82	19	54	9	47	0.287	14	18	181	331	-150	11-25-5	8-29-4	1-5	3-7	3L

NHL Predictions

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