Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Dec 2024
Villa Good Value to Cause Citizens Problems
If you agree with our verdict that Aston Villa can avoid defeat against Man City, then you can back the home team with a +0.25 goal start at +106. This means our Asian Handicap stake is split equally between 0 and +0.5.
8 Wins in Last 10 H2H Clashes for Man City
Aston Villa have secured back-to-back home wins. Their last game was on the road and a 2-1 defeat occurred against Nottingham Forest at City Ground. Unai Emery's men enjoyed 50% possession and had two shots on target, while Jhon Duran scored the goal.
Manchester City were beaten 2-1 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Manchester United at Etihad Stadium. The Citizens recorded 50% possession and managed three shots on goal, while Josko Gvardiol was on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Man City beat Villa at home when the teams last met. It was a 4-1 scoreline at Etihad Stadium. The previous 10 H2H games have involved eight Man City triumphs, one Villa win and one draw.
Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. Villa have had 49.8% possession, 417.4 passes and 8.0 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts, while being awarded 3.8 corners.
Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Jhon Duran has 2. John McGinn and Youri Tielemans are the leading assists makers with 2, while goalie Emiliano Martinez has kept 2 clean sheets.
Manchester City – Last 10 League GamesMan City have won 4, lost 5 and drawn 1, averaging 16.7 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. Pep Guardiola's team average 62.1% possession, 595.9 passes, 8.9 corners in their favour and 2.8 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts.
Josko Gvardiol and Erling Haaland have top scored with 3 goals, while Jeremy Doku is next on 2. Bernardo Silva, Matheus Nunes and Jeremy Doku have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Ederson Moraes has 1 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana, John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, Jhon Duran.
Manchester City confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Stefan Ortega (GK), Manuel Akanji, John Stones, Josko Gvardiol, Rico Lewis, Mateo Kovacic, Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden, Ilkay Gundogan, Jack Grealish, Erling Haaland.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips
We’re backing Aston Villa at +106 in this Premier League game with a +0.25 goal start. We think that the home team will have the edge and we can therefore feel confident of a return with this bet.
The football betting tips are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the action might play out.
Key Aston Villa vs Manchester City league stats:
Villa +0.25 Probability
The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 48.5% prospect of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
If you want a viable alternative to backing Villa on the Asian Handicap, then the Winning Margin market could be up your street. Choose from a range of options.

Correct Score Prediction
Aston Villa are available to back at +1150 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Odds
Bookies favourites Manchester City are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Premier League game and the +120 about them triumphing means a 45% chance of winning based on their current betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +210 about Aston Villa.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored.
You can find hundreds of markets for every Premier League match, with the leading football betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your bets.







- Premier League: 03/04 2024 Man City 4 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 06/12 2023 Aston Villa 1 Man City 0
- Premier League: 12/02 2023 Man City 3 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 03/09 2022 Aston Villa 1 Man City 1
- Premier League: 22/05 2022 Man City 3 Aston Villa 2
- Premier League: 01/12 2021 Aston Villa 1 Man City 2
- Premier League: 21/04 2021 Aston Villa 1 Man City 2
- Premier League: 20/01 2021 Man City 2 Aston Villa 0
- EFL Cup: 01/03 2020 Aston Villa 1 Man City 2
- Premier League: 12/01 2020 Aston Villa 1 Man City 6


- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 62.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 62.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Aston Villa this season are Ollie Watkins (7), Jhon Duran (6), Morgan Rogers (4)
- Top Assistors for Aston Villa this season are Youri Tielemans (4), Ollie Watkins (3), Jacob Ramsey (2)
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Villa vs City team news.
Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Premier League squads.
Aston Villa Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Manchester City Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Aston Villa Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Manchester City Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Aston Villa Substitutes
- 5Tyrone Mings
- 6Ross Barkley
- 10Emiliano Buendia
- 11Ollie Watkins
- 20Kosta Nedeljkovic
- 22Ian Maatsen
- 25Robin Olsen
- 26Lamare Bogarde
- 31Leon Bailey
Manchester City Substitutes
- 2Kyle Walker
- 6Nathan Ake
- 11Jeremy Doku
- 17Kevin De Bruyne
- 26Savinho
- 33Scott Carson
- 66Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
- 75Nico O'Reilly
- 87James McAtee
Previous Aston Villa Lineups
Previous Manchester City Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Man United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Nott’m Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Wolverhampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Man United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Nott’m Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Wolverhampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |

















