Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Oct 2024
Can Red Devils Make it a Close Game?
Man United have a strong chance against Aston Villa and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -105 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.
7 Wins for United in Last 10 H2H Encounters
Aston Villa drew away from home in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Ipswich Town at Portman Road. Unai Emery's team had three shots on target and boasted 56% possession, while Morgan Rogers and Ollie Watkins each scored one goal.
Manchester United were beaten their previous game, losing 3-0 at home to Tottenham Hotspur at Old Trafford. The Red Devils finished with just 38% possession and had two shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was United who came out on top when they last played Villa. At Villa Park, a 2-1 win was recorded. United have four straight wins against Villa. They’ve also claimed 7 victories in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.
Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Villa have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. The Birmingham side have averaged 47.6% possession, 425.0 passes and 3.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 2.0 goals from 5.0 shots on goal, 12.6 attempts and 4.1 corners.
Top scorer Jhon Duran has found the net 6 times, Ollie Watkins 4, with Morgan Rogers and Amadou Onana both scoring 2. The leading assistor is Ollie Watkins with 3.
Manchester United – Last 10 League GamesUnited have won 4, lost 5 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.0 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 52.4% possession, 501.8 passes, 5.9 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while Erik ten Hag's men have conceded 1.5 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts.
Rasmus Hoejlund and Amad Diallo have 2 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Marcus Rashford on 1. Bruno Fernandes and Amad Diallo have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Andre Onana has 4 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-4-1-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Leon Bailey, Ross Barkley, Youri Tielemans, Jaden Philogene-Bidace, Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins.
Manchester United confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Andre Onana (GK), Noussair Mazraoui, Harry Maguire, Jonny Evans, Diogo Dalot, Kobbie Mainoo, Christian Eriksen, Alejandro Garnacho, Bruno Fernandes, Marcus Rashford, Rasmus Hoejlund.
Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips
Man United +0.25 at -105 have the look of a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We give them a good chance of landing a victory in this Premier League clash and it’s therefore a pick we’ll back with confidence.
The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.
Key Aston Villa vs Manchester United league stats:
United +0.25 Probability
The bookies are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

Correct Score Prediction
A 2-1 win in favor of Man Utd can be backed at odds of +850. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Aston Villa vs Manchester United Odds







- Premier League: 11/02 2024 Aston Villa 1 Man United 2
- Premier League: 26/12 2023 Man United 3 Aston Villa 2
- Premier League: 30/04 2023 Man United 1 Aston Villa 0
- EFL Cup: 10/11 2022 Man United 4 Aston Villa 2
- Premier League: 06/11 2022 Aston Villa 3 Man United 1
- Premier League: 15/01 2022 Aston Villa 2 Man United 2
- FA Cup: 10/01 2022 Man United 1 Aston Villa 0
- Premier League: 25/09 2021 Man United 0 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 09/05 2021 Aston Villa 1 Man United 3
- Premier League: 01/01 2021 Man United 2 Aston Villa 1


- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 7.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Aston Villa this season are Jhon Duran (4), Ollie Watkins (4), Amadou Onana (2)
- Top Assistors for Aston Villa this season are Lucas Digne (2), Morgan Rogers (2), Ollie Watkins (2)
Aston Villa vs Manchester United Lineups & Team News
It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Villa vs United team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.
The Premier League squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.
Aston Villa Confirmed Lineup 4-4-1-1
Manchester United Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Aston Villa Confirmed Lineup 4-4-1-1
Manchester United Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Aston Villa Substitutes
- 3Diego Carlos
- 9Jhon Duran
- 10Emiliano Buendia
- 18Joe Gauci
- 20Kosta Nedeljkovic
- 22Ian Maatsen
- 26Lamare Bogarde
- 50Sil Swinkels
- 72Kadan Young
Manchester United Substitutes
- 1Altay Bayindir
- 2V. Nilsson Lindeloef
- 4Matthijs de Ligt
- 6Lisandro Martinez
- 11Joshua Zirkzee
- 16Amad
- 18Casemiro
- 21Antony
- 25Manuel Ugarte
Previous Aston Villa Lineups
Previous Manchester United Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Man United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Nott’m Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Wolverhampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Man United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Nott’m Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Wolverhampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |

















