Baylor vs Duke Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Mar 2025

Massive Duke Win Could Be On the Cards

No. 9 Baylor Bears (20-14, 11-11 Big 12) play No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (32-3, 22-1 ACC) in this East Region second round matchup at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina.

Our prediction is that Duke will beat Baylor by a significant margin. With this in mind, let’s go for them on the spread at -11.5 which is currently available at odds of -120.

78-70 Victory for Duke in Pair’s Last Matchup

Baylor Bears won 75-72 against Mississippi State Bulldogs in their previous game.

Duke Blue Devils won 93-49 against Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers in their last game.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Duke won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 78-70 victory was registered against Baylor.

Baylor vs Duke Prediction & Picks

We have decided to go for the big favorites against the spread in order to get the best value. Duke should be able to cover an appealing -11.5 line at -120 for this college matchup.

Injuries can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Baylor vs Duke stats:

• The -11.5 line has been covered by Duke in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -11.5 line has been covered by Duke in 13 of their last 20 games.

Duke -11.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 54.6% prospect of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a good way to go. Back Duke against the spread in a combination with other selections.

Best Bet

Duke -11.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Khaman Maluach Over 9.5 Points +167

Khaman Maluach (Duke) is available at +167 to rack up Over 9.5 points. We’ll place a bet that he is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

Latest Khaman Maluach Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 7.5

-135

Under 7.5

+104

Assists

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-137

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

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Kon Knueppel Under 2.5 Assists +106

Kon Knueppel (Duke) is available at +106 to finish with Under 2.5 assists. There are a number of reasons that suggest he will fall short of the total when it comes to Player Assists.

Latest Kon Knueppel Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-120

Assists

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-102

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-119

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Correct Score Prediction

Baylor 62 - 78 Duke

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then Duke to enjoy a 78-62 win could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

Baylor vs Duke Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Have Duke as Heavy Favorites

You might not get rich backing Duke at -833. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 89% chance of winning this college game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +550 about Baylor.

The spread is currently 11.5, with the total points line at 145.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. There’s the chance to back Under 145.5 at -110.

You can back Duke to make a fast start and hit the 20-point mark first. The favorites are -351 to achieve this, with Baylor +240 to win the race to this total.

The betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college basketball games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Baylor

+550

Duke

-833

Point Spread

Baylor +11.5

-104

Duke -11.5

-118

Total Points

Under 145.5

-110

Over 145.5

-110

Cooper Flagg Favorite to Get Most Points

Cooper Flagg is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -110 that he goes Over 19.5 points and -118 when it comes to Under.

Cooper Flagg (Duke)

Over 19.5

-110

Under 19.5

-118

Norchad Omier (Baylor)

Over 15.5

-115

Under 15.5

-112

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-120

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor)

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-123

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 12.5

-130

Under 12.5

-100

Robert Wright III (Baylor)

Over 9.5

+110

Under 9.5

-143

Langston Love (Baylor)

Over 8.5

+105

Under 8.5

-135

Sion James (Duke)

Over 7.5

-135

Under 7.5

+104

Khaman Maluach (Duke)

Over 7.5

-135

Under 7.5

+104

Jalen Celestine (Baylor)

Over 6.5

+107

Under 6.5

-139

Cooper Flagg (Duke)

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-119

Robert Wright III (Baylor)

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-135

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-102

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor)

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

+140

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Sion James (Duke)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

+103

Norchad Omier (Baylor)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-132

Khaman Maluach (Duke)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-137

Norchad Omier (Baylor)

Over 10.5

+106

Under 10.5

-137

Cooper Flagg (Duke)

Over 7.5

-102

Under 7.5

-127

Khaman Maluach (Duke)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor)

Over 5.5

+117

Under 5.5

-152

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-119

Sion James (Duke)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-152

Jalen Celestine (Baylor)

Over 4.5

+135

Under 4.5

-175

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

+120

Robert Wright III (Baylor)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

+110

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Baylor Stats

Duke Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 137.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.40 pts and allowed 67.80 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.00 pts and allowed 63.50 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Boston College	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Notre Dame	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia Tech	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Syracuse	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Stanford	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
SMU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Pittsburgh	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
North Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
California	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
NC State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Miami	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Louisville	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Duke	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Clemson	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Wake Forest	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak