Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Feb 2025

High-Scoring Contest Anticipated

You can get -110 that there are Over 220.5 points and there’s lots of juice in those odds. The Celtics and the Heat should be able to keep the score ticking for our prediction to win.

Celtics H2H Record Includes 8 Wins in 10

Boston Celtics have won five road games on the spin, triumphing 131-104 in their previous appearance. This was against New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden. Jayson Tatum scored 40 points, with Payton Pritchard getting 25 and Derrick White 17.

Miami Heat were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 102-86 reverse against Brooklyn Nets at Barclays Center. Terry Rozier was able to score 20 points, with Bam Adebayo getting 18 and Tyler Herro 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Celtics beat the Heat when the teams last met. It was a 108-89 scoreline at TD Garden. The Celtics have triumphed in their previous four meetings against the Heat. On the head-to-head front, it has been 8 wins out of 10.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Celtics have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 116.8 points, 42.5 rebounds, 27.6 assists, 6.6 steals and 5.6 blocks while shooting 46.7% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 111.3 points and 43.8 rebounds per contest.

Jayson Tatum is averaging 24.0 points, 6.4 assists and 3.5 (38.0%) 3-pointers made, while Jaylen Brown averages 6.1 rebounds.

The Heat have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 109.1 points, 46.2 rebounds, 27.7 assists, 5.8 steals and 4.1 blocks per game while shooting 45.4% from the field and 80.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 112.9 points and 46.2 rebounds.

Tyler Herro is averaging 19.5 points and 7.2 assists, while Bam Adebayo has an average of 11.1 rebounds and Duncan Robinson 2.9 (39.7%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics lineup: Jayson Tatum, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Al Horford.

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

The total line of 220.5 points looks pretty low and we can take advantage by backing the Overs at -110. We can see these NBA competitors combining to go bigger.

The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing basketball picks. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we can make the best NBA predictions.

Key Celtics vs Heat stats:

• The 220.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Celtics games.
• The 220.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Celtics games.
• The 220.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Celtics games.
• The 220.5 line has been covered in all of the last 5 Heat games at home.
• The 220.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Heat games at home.
• The 220.5 line has been covered in the last 8 Heat games at home.

Over 220.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are ways to boost the odds on an Over wager and some bettors go down the Bet Builder route. It’s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.

Best Bet

Over 220.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 16.5 Points -106

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has covered the 16.5 points total in 7 straight games. We think that the line looks really appealing at -106 for this Player Points wager as we’re expecting him to cover this total.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-127

Under 17.5

-106

Assists

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-120

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Jayson Tatum Under 7.5 Rebounds +112

Jayson Tatum (Celtics) has failed to cover the Under 7.5 line in 9 of the past 10 games. Let’s stick with this betting trend and back him to go under the Player Rebounds line at odds of +112.

Latest Jayson Tatum Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

-128

Under 25.5

-104

Assists

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-149

Under 7.5

+112

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Correct Score Prediction

Celtics 117 - 107 Heat

The Celtics to win by a 117-107 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Celtics Favorites to Win According to the Books

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Boston Celtics are -244 favorites to win and that means a 71% chance of landing a victory. Miami Heat are the underdogs at +200 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

6 is where the spread lies, with total points being 214.5 right now. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you fancy Over 214.5, this outcome can be backed at -112.

If you’re keen on the Celtics reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -160 to oblige. Conversely, the Heat can be backed at +130 to make this total first.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Celtics

-244

Heat

+200

Point Spread

Celtics -6

-112

Heat +6

-108

Total Points

Under 214.5

-108

Over 214.5

-112

Jayson Tatum Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Jayson Tatum is the market leader to land the most baskets. He is priced at -128 to score Over 25.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -104.

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 25.5

-128

Under 25.5

-104

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-118

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 22.5

-110

Under 22.5

-120

Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics)

Over 20.5

-130

Under 20.5

-103

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 18.5

-109

Under 18.5

-120

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 18.5

-108

Under 18.5

-123

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 17.5

-127

Under 17.5

-106

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-127

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 11.5

-120

Under 11.5

-110

Al Horford (Celtics)

Over 8.5

-133

Under 8.5

-100

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-156

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-110

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-108

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

+102

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-110

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+123

Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics)

Over 2.5

+109

Under 2.5

-141

Al Horford (Celtics)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-182

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-120

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-141

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 7.5

-149

Under 7.5

+112

Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics)

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

-100

Al Horford (Celtics)

Over 6.5

+120

Under 6.5

-159

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-106

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-154

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-120

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-104

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 3.5

-175

Under 3.5

+128

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Boston Celtics Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 219.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 216.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 216.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.00 pts and allowed 109.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 113.20 pts and allowed 106.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 217.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 219.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 216.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 216.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.60 pts and allowed 108.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 108.40 pts and allowed 110.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 23.70 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 17.70 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 13.50 (82.82%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.4, Offensive 12.70, Defensive 30.70
• Assists: 25.10
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 8.00
• Turnovers : 11.60
• Personal Fouls: 16.00

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 22.40 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 18.40 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 13.20 (79.04%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.9, Offensive 9.70, Defensive 34.20
• Assists: 27.10
• Blocks: 5.50
• Steals: 6.50
• Turnovers : 10.30
• Personal Fouls: 17.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.60 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.90 (80.54%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.3, Offensive 8.50, Defensive 31.80
• Assists: 28.20
• Blocks: 3.50
• Steals: 8.20
• Turnovers : 12.50
• Personal Fouls: 15.20

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.70 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.10 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 12.70 (78.88%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.2, Offensive 8.00, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 28.60
• Blocks: 3.50
• Steals: 7.30
• Turnovers : 11.10
• Personal Fouls: 13.90

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

13 Bam Adebayo

18 Alec Burks

22 Andrew Wiggins

45 Davion Mitchell

Boston Celtics Confirmed Lineup

0 Jayson Tatum

8 Kristaps Porzingis

9 Derrick White

30 Sam Hauser

42 Al Horford

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak