Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Mar 2025

Celtics ATS Look the Value Bet

The Celtics should claim a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward. Back this pick off -7.5 to cover the line against the Heat at -110.

9 Victories for Celtics in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Boston Celtics were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Oklahoma City Thunder by a 118-112 scoreline at TD Garden. Jayson Tatum scored 33 points, with Derrick White getting 22 and Al Horford 18.

Miami Heat were beaten 119-104 at Kaseya Center in their last game. This loss at home to LA Clippers was their fifth straight defeat. On the points front, Tyler Herro recorded 31, Andrew Wiggins 22 and Duncan Robinson 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Celtics won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 103-85 triumph when facing the Heat at Kaseya Center. The Celtics have five straight wins against the Heat. They’ve also claimed 9 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W

View Full Standings

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Celtics are averaging 114.0 points, 43.4 rebounds, 25.1 assists, 8.0 steals and 5.0 blocks while shooting 46.5% from the field and 82.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 109.9 points and 43.4 rebounds per matchup.

Jayson Tatum is averaging 24.1 points, 7.6 rebounds and 5.7 assists, while Derrick White averages 4.6 (44.7%) 3-pointers made.

The Heat have won 3 and lost 7 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 108.6 points, 40.3 rebounds, 28.2 assists, 8.2 steals and 3.5 blocks per game while shooting 47.3% from the field and 80.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 108.9 points and 42.4 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.5 points and 9.5 rebounds, Tyler Herro 5.5 assists and Duncan Robinson 3.4 (43.6%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics lineup: Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White, Luke Kornet, Al Horford.

Miami Heat lineup: Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Duncan Robinson.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

We’re backing Celtics against the spread in this NBA matchup. It could be shrewd to wager the favorites to cover the attractive -7.5 line, with odds of -110 on offer.

Our NBA picks are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.

Key Celtics vs Heat stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Celtics in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Celtics in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 5 consecutive games against Celtics.

Celtics -7.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the selection you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Best Bet

Celtics -7.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Derrick White Over 4.5 Assists -111

Derrick White (Celtics) has totaled Over 4.5 assists in 4 straight games. There’s an opportunity to enjoy a Player Assists bet which is priced at -111 that he is able to cover the line.

Latest Derrick White Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-106

Under 17.5

-122

Assists

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-110

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Jayson Tatum Over 29.5 Points -105

Jayson Tatum (Celtics) has scored Over 29.5 points in 3 straight games. We think that he can therefore cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points at betting odds of -105.

Latest Jayson Tatum Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 28.5

-108

Under 28.5

-120

Assists

Over 6.5

-128

Under 6.5

-101

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-104

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Correct Score Prediction

Celtics 118 - 106 Heat

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Celtics to record a 118-106 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Celtics Made Favorites by the Books

The sportsbooks have Boston Celtics at -333 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 77% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. The market suggests that Miami Heat are least likely to win at +270.

The spread is currently 8, with the total points line at 215. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you want to back Over 215, it’s -110.

Those wanting to back the Celtics to win the Race to 20 betting can get odds of -180 that the favorites oblige. If you want to back the Heat, then odds of +145 can be found.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless and it’s great to have so many alternatives.

Moneyline

Celtics

-333

Heat

+270

Point Spread

Celtics -8

-112

Heat +8

-108

Total Points

Under 215

-110

Over 215

-110

Jayson Tatum Favorite to Get Most Points

Jayson Tatum is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -108 that he goes Over 28.5 points and -120 when it comes to Under.

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 28.5

-108

Under 28.5

-120

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 23.5

-116

Under 23.5

-111

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 22.5

-123

Under 22.5

-108

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 18.5

-104

Under 18.5

-128

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 17.5

-118

Under 17.5

-114

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 17.5

-106

Under 17.5

-122

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-112

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 7.5

-109

Under 7.5

-122

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 6.5

-104

Under 6.5

-128

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 6.5

-128

Under 6.5

-101

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

-159

Under 5.5

+118

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-145

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-114

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+118

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+110

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

+102

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

+105

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-104

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-130

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 5.5

-145

Under 5.5

+111

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-137

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-118

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-110

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-145

Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Boston Celtics Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 219.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 216.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 216.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.00 pts and allowed 109.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 113.20 pts and allowed 106.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 217.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 219.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 216.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 216.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.60 pts and allowed 108.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 108.40 pts and allowed 110.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 23.70 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 17.70 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 13.50 (82.82%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.4, Offensive 12.70, Defensive 30.70
• Assists: 25.10
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 8.00
• Turnovers : 11.60
• Personal Fouls: 16.00

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 22.40 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 18.40 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 13.20 (79.04%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.9, Offensive 9.70, Defensive 34.20
• Assists: 27.10
• Blocks: 5.50
• Steals: 6.50
• Turnovers : 10.30
• Personal Fouls: 17.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.60 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.90 (80.54%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.3, Offensive 8.50, Defensive 31.80
• Assists: 28.20
• Blocks: 3.50
• Steals: 8.20
• Turnovers : 12.50
• Personal Fouls: 15.20

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.70 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.10 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 12.70 (78.88%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.2, Offensive 8.00, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 28.60
• Blocks: 3.50
• Steals: 7.30
• Turnovers : 11.10
• Personal Fouls: 13.90

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

11 Jaime Jaquez Jr.

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

22 Andrew Wiggins

55 Duncan Robinson

Boston Celtics Confirmed Lineup

0 Jayson Tatum

4 Jrue Holiday

9 Derrick White

40 Luke Kornet

42 Al Horford

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak