Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Mar 2025

Heat Should Shine In This Game

The Heat should secure a comfortable victory and a wager on the spread could be the best way forward. Back this selection off -10 to cover the line against the Hornets at -110.

8 Wins for Heat in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Charlotte Hornets have lost five straight road games. In their previous appearance, they recorded a 105-102 home win over Brooklyn Nets at Spectrum Center. Miles Bridges scored 26 points, with Nick Smith Jr. getting 19 and Moussa Diabate 16.

Miami Heat have lost their last three games, most recently suffering a 114-109 home defeat to Chicago Bulls at Kaseya Center. On the points front, Bam Adebayo recorded 22, Andrew Wiggins 22 and Tyler Herro 21.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Heat and the Hornets saw the former win. It was a 98-94 scoreline at Spectrum Center. The Heat have beaten the Hornets in the past six matchups. They’ve also claimed 8 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L

View Full Standings

The Hornets have 1 win and 9 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 101.2 points, 46.6 rebounds, 24.2 assists, 7.2 steals and 4.1 blocks while shooting 40.8% from the field and 75.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 120.8 points and 48.7 rebounds per contest.

Miles Bridges is averaging 25.3 points, 8.6 rebounds, 4.1 assists and 2.8 (36.8%) 3-pointers made.

The Heat have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 111.3 points, 41.8 rebounds, 27.6 assists, 7.2 steals and 3.5 blocks per game while shooting 47.7% from the field and 83.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 109.6 points and 42.9 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 22.9 points and 9.3 rebounds, Tyler Herro 6.4 assists and Duncan Robinson 2.9 (40.8%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Charlotte Hornets lineup: Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, DaQuan Jeffries, Mark Williams, Josh Green.

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell.

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

The best betting angle could be Heat against the spread. You can land -110 that the market leaders are able to cover the -10 line and they are more than capable in this NBA showdown.

Sportsgambler.com boast basketball expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our NBA predictions and we make sure that the most important stats are on hand.

Key Hornets vs Heat stats:

• The +10 line hasn’t been covered by Hornets in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +10 line hasn’t been covered by Hornets in 7 of their last 10 games.

Heat -10 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Best Bet

Heat -10 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 20.5 Points -103

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has averaged 26.8 points in the past 5 games. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the line looks attractive, with -103 available that it’s covered.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-103

Under 20.5

-132

Assists

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

+104

Rebounds

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-100

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LaMelo Ball Under 22.5 Points -105

LaMelo Ball (Hornets) has recorded an average of 17.33 points in the past 6 games. This is a telling statistic and we’re happy to back him to fall short of the line once again, with odds of -105 available.

Latest LaMelo Ball Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 22.5

-127

Under 22.5

-105

Assists

Over 6.5

-115

Under 6.5

-115

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-152

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Correct Score Prediction

Hornets 105 - 118 Heat

Let’s roll the dice and try the Heat to enjoy a 118-105 winning scoreline here. There are massive odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Heat Big Favorites With the Books

Miami Heat are -417 favorites and that means a 81% chance of winning this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. At +330, Charlotte Hornets are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 9.5, while total points comes in at 217. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. The Over 217 selection is available to back at -110.

The Heat can be backed in lots of ways and that includes Race to 20 Points where they are -185 favorites. The Hornets are +150 should you think they’ll make this total first instead.

The betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Hornets

+330

Heat

-417

Point Spread

Hornets +9.5

-112

Heat -9.5

-108

Total Points

Under 217

-110

Over 217

-110

Tyler Herro Favorite to Get Most Points

Tyler Herro is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -118 that he goes Over 23.5 points and -114 when it comes to Under.

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 23.5

-118

Under 23.5

-114

LaMelo Ball (Hornets)

Over 22.5

-127

Under 22.5

-105

Miles Bridges (Hornets)

Over 21.5

-125

Under 21.5

-108

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 20.5

-103

Under 20.5

-132

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-118

Mark Williams (Hornets)

Over 13.5

-109

Under 13.5

-122

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 11.5

-105

Under 11.5

-127

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

+102

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-118

Josh Green (Hornets)

Over 5.5

-122

Under 5.5

-109

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-120

LaMelo Ball (Hornets)

Over 6.5

-115

Under 6.5

-115

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-139

Miles Bridges (Hornets)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-133

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

+104

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-114

Mark Williams (Hornets)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-172

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-115

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-100

Mark Williams (Hornets)

Over 10.5

+112

Under 10.5

-149

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-135

Miles Bridges (Hornets)

Over 7.5

-105

Under 7.5

-127

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-159

LaMelo Ball (Hornets)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-152

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-135

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+112

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 2.5

+139

Under 2.5

-182

Josh Green (Hornets)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-147

Micro Betting

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Charlotte Hornets Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 229.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 221.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 241.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 241.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 109.60 pts and allowed 120.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 104.30 pts and allowed 117.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 228.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 222.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 241.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 241.5 at Home: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.40 pts and allowed 117.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 109.90 pts and allowed 112.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.20 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.20 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.60 (74.4%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.4, Offensive 10.80, Defensive 34.60
• Assists: 24.80
• Blocks: 3.30
• Steals: 6.00
• Turnovers : 15.40
• Personal Fouls: 18.40

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.90 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.50 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 15.00 (78.13%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.6, Offensive 11.10, Defensive 34.50
• Assists: 25.30
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 16.40
• Personal Fouls: 15.70

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.80 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.20 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 13.80 (72.63%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.4, Offensive 11.70, Defensive 34.70
• Assists: 26.00
• Blocks: 4.20
• Steals: 6.90
• Turnovers : 15.10
• Personal Fouls: 18.20

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.70 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 13.60 (77.71%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.3, Offensive 10.70, Defensive 33.60
• Assists: 24.00
• Blocks: 3.60
• Steals: 7.30
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 16.10

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

22 Andrew Wiggins

45 Davion Mitchell

Charlotte Hornets Confirmed Lineup

0 Miles Bridges

1 LaMelo Ball

3 DaQuan Jeffries

5 Mark Williams

10 Josh Green

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak