Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Mar 2025

Side With Warriors to Cover the Spread

Our prediction is for the Warriors to cover the attractive -5 line in their meeting with the Nuggets. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -112 is available on the spread.

Nuggets Are 9 From 10 on the H2H

Denver Nuggets lost when they last took to the court. At Ball Arena, they were turned over 126-123 at home to Washington Wizards. Nikola Jokic scored 40 points, with Jamal Murray getting 24 and Russell Westbrook 22.

Golden State Warriors were winners for the seventh straight time in their last game. Landing a 97-94 home victory against New York Knicks at Chase Center. Stephen Curry was able to score 28 points, with Moses Moody getting 18 and Jimmy Butler 11.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Nuggets won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 119-115 victory was registered against the Warriors at Ball Arena. It’s been eight victories on the bounce for the Nuggets when playing the Warriors. On the head-to-head front, they have won 9 of the past 10.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	2	1	0.667	125	126.3	-1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W

View Full Standings

The Nuggets have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 120.6 points, 44.1 rebounds, 30.0 assists, 7.4 steals and 5.1 blocks while shooting 49.6% from the field and 76.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 122.2 points and 45.1 rebounds per matchup.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points, 14.0 rebounds and 9.7 assists, while Jamal Murray averages 2.5 (38.5%) 3-pointers made.

The Warriors have won 9 and lost 1 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 119.4 points, 45.5 rebounds, 31.4 assists, 9.4 steals and 5.0 blocks per game while shooting 47.1% from the field and 83.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 108.3 points and 42.3 rebounds.

Stephen Curry is averaging 28.4 points and 4.9 (42.2%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green has an average of 7.3 rebounds and 6.4 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Hunter Tyson, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler, Quinten Post, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Get with Warriors with a -5 spread. We like this pick and are backing the favorites at odds of -112 to enjoy a solid victory in this NBA showdown.

The NBA picks stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each franchise. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.

Key Nuggets vs Warriors stats:

• The -5 line has been covered by Warriors in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -5 line has been covered by Warriors in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Warriors -5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.9% likelihood of this pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine the Warriors on the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

Best Bet

Warriors -5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jamal Murray Over 20.5 Points -119

Jamal Murray (Nuggets) has averaged 25.6 points in the past 5 games on the road. We are therefore going to choose a Player Points prop bet at odds of -119 which will hopefully see this him cover the line.

Latest Jamal Murray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-119

Under 20.5

-109

Assists

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-115

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

+103

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Jimmy Butler Over 6.5 Assists -108

Jimmy Butler (Warriors) has totaled Over 6.5 assists in 3 straight games. We’re sweet on him covering the Player Assists line once again, with odds of -108 on offer that this happens.

Latest Jimmy Butler Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Assists

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-120

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-110

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 112 - 119 Warriors

The Warriors might be able to claim a win and we’re siding with a 119-112 scoreline in their favor. A small stake can provide a big return and there are tasty odds available.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest Warriors Victory

With a 82% chance of securing victory, Golden State Warriors are favorites for this NBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -455. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +360 about Denver Nuggets.

The spread is calculated to be 10, while total points comes in at 233. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 233 can find odds of -108 available.

Those wanting to back the Warriors to win the Race to 20 betting can get odds of -190 that the favorites oblige. If you want to back the Nuggets, then odds of +155 can be found.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball bets. The betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Nuggets

+360

Warriors

-455

Point Spread

Nuggets +10

-110

Warriors -10

-110

Total Points

Under 233

-108

Over 233

-112

Nikola Jokic Favorite to Score the Most Points

Nikola Jokic is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -111 that he goes Over 29.5 points and -116 when it comes to Under.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 29.5

-111

Under 29.5

-116

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 26.5

-103

Under 26.5

-125

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 20.5

-119

Under 20.5

-109

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 17.5

-110

Under 17.5

-118

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-109

Under 14.5

-119

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-103

Under 14.5

-125

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-100

Quinten Post (Warriors)

Over 9.5

-101

Under 9.5

-128

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-104

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 6.5

+107

Under 6.5

-139

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-120

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-135

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-115

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-145

Under 2.5

+112

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+126

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-135

Under 12.5

+105

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-102

Under 6.5

-127

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-110

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-135

Quinten Post (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-154

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-109

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

+103

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-123

Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets Stats

Golden State Warriors Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 224.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 232.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 110.00 pts and allowed 113.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 106.80 pts and allowed 117.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 215.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 218.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 232.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 106.30 pts and allowed 109.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 109.20 pts and allowed 109.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.50 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.60 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.20 (78.37%)
• Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 34.80
• Assists: 22.20
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 7.60
• Turnovers : 14.90
• Personal Fouls: 20.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.00 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.10 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.50 (79.55%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.1, Offensive 12.80, Defensive 32.30
• Assists: 23.40
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 6.50
• Turnovers : 15.60
• Personal Fouls: 19.00

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 22.50 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.10 (78.8%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.9, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 26.70
• Assists: 22.80
• Blocks: 3.80
• Steals: 8.30
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 21.10

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 24.00 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.20 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.60 (81.94%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.6, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 27.00
• Assists: 26.00
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 21.30

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup

4 Moses Moody

10 Jimmy Butler

21 Quinten Post

23 Draymond Green

30 Stephen Curry

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

1 Michael Porter Jr.

4 Russell Westbrook

5 Hunter Tyson

8 Peyton Watson

32 Aaron Gordon

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	2	0	1	112	103	9	2-0	0-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
76ers	2	0	1	121	118.5	2.5	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Raptors	1	1	0.5	127	120	7	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Celtics	0	2	0	105.5	111	-5.5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L
Nets	0	2	0	120.5	133.5	-13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-2	0-2	2L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bucks	2	0	1	127.5	118	9.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Bulls	2	0	1	112.5	104.5	8	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Cavaliers	1	1	0.5	121	121.5	-0.5	0-0	1-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Pistons	1	1	0.5	113	113	0	0-0	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-1	1W
Pacers	0	2	0	119	134.5	-15.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-2	2L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hornets	1	1	0.5	128.5	121	7.5	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Hawks	1	2	0.333	109.7	120.7	-11	0-2	1-0	1-0	1-1	1-2	1L
Heat	1	1	0.5	133.5	119.5	14	0-0	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-1	1W
Magic	1	2	0.333	110	114	-4	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Wizards	1	1	0.5	118.5	120	-1.5	0-0	1-1	0-0	0-1	1-1	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	3	0	1	127.7	119.7	8	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	3-0	3W
Jazz	1	1	0.5	116.5	106.5	10	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Timberwolves	1	1	0.5	114	121	-7	0-0	1-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Trail Blazers	1	1	0.5	126.5	118.5	8	1-1	0-0	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	2	1	0.667	125	126.3	-1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Lakers	1	1	0.5	118.5	114.5	4	1-1	0-0	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Clippers	1	1	0.5	118.5	115.5	3	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Kings	1	1	0.5	110.5	112	-1.5	1-0	0-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Suns	1	2	0.333	111	126	-15	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	2	0	1	122.5	104	18.5	0-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Grizzlies	2	1	0.667	123.3	123.7	-0.4	2-1	0-0	1-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Mavericks	0	2	0	99.5	121	-21.5	0-2	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-2	2L
Pelicans	0	2	0	119	124	-5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L
Rockets	0	2	0	117.5	120	-2.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-2	2L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bucks	2	0	1	127.5	118	9.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Knicks	2	0	1	112	103	9	2-0	0-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Bulls	2	0	1	112.5	104.5	8	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Hornets	1	1	0.5	128.5	121	7.5	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
76ers	2	0	1	121	118.5	2.5	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Raptors	1	1	0.5	127	120	7	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Hawks	1	2	0.333	109.7	120.7	-11	0-2	1-0	1-0	1-1	1-2	1L
Magic	1	2	0.333	110	114	-4	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Heat	1	1	0.5	133.5	119.5	14	0-0	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-1	1W
Cavaliers	1	1	0.5	121	121.5	-0.5	0-0	1-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Wizards	1	1	0.5	118.5	120	-1.5	0-0	1-1	0-0	0-1	1-1	1W
Pistons	1	1	0.5	113	113	0	0-0	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-1	1W
Pacers	0	2	0	119	134.5	-15.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-2	2L
Celtics	0	2	0	105.5	111	-5.5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L
Nets	0	2	0	120.5	133.5	-13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-2	0-2	2L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	2	0	1	122.5	104	18.5	0-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Thunder	3	0	1	127.7	119.7	8	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	3-0	3W
Warriors	2	1	0.667	125	126.3	-1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Lakers	1	1	0.5	118.5	114.5	4	1-1	0-0	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Jazz	1	1	0.5	116.5	106.5	10	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Clippers	1	1	0.5	118.5	115.5	3	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Kings	1	1	0.5	110.5	112	-1.5	1-0	0-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Suns	1	2	0.333	111	126	-15	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Timberwolves	1	1	0.5	114	121	-7	0-0	1-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Trail Blazers	1	1	0.5	126.5	118.5	8	1-1	0-0	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Grizzlies	2	1	0.667	123.3	123.7	-0.4	2-1	0-0	1-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Mavericks	0	2	0	99.5	121	-21.5	0-2	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-2	2L
Pelicans	0	2	0	119	124	-5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L
Rockets	0	2	0	117.5	120	-2.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-2	2L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	2	0	1	112.5	104.5	8	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Bucks	2	0	1	127.5	118	9.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Knicks	2	0	1	112	103	9	2-0	0-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Thunder	3	0	1	127.7	119.7	8	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	3-0	3W
76ers	2	0	1	121	118.5	2.5	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Spurs	2	0	1	122.5	104	18.5	0-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Warriors	2	1	0.667	125	126.3	-1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Grizzlies	2	1	0.667	123.3	123.7	-0.4	2-1	0-0	1-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Hornets	1	1	0.5	128.5	121	7.5	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Cavaliers	1	1	0.5	121	121.5	-0.5	0-0	1-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Pistons	1	1	0.5	113	113	0	0-0	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-1	1W
Clippers	1	1	0.5	118.5	115.5	3	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Lakers	1	1	0.5	118.5	114.5	4	1-1	0-0	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Heat	1	1	0.5	133.5	119.5	14	0-0	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-1	1W
Timberwolves	1	1	0.5	114	121	-7	0-0	1-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Trail Blazers	1	1	0.5	126.5	118.5	8	1-1	0-0	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Kings	1	1	0.5	110.5	112	-1.5	1-0	0-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Raptors	1	1	0.5	127	120	7	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Jazz	1	1	0.5	116.5	106.5	10	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Wizards	1	1	0.5	118.5	120	-1.5	0-0	1-1	0-0	0-1	1-1	1W
Hawks	1	2	0.333	109.7	120.7	-11	0-2	1-0	1-0	1-1	1-2	1L
Magic	1	2	0.333	110	114	-4	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Suns	1	2	0.333	111	126	-15	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Celtics	0	2	0	105.5	111	-5.5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L
Nets	0	2	0	120.5	133.5	-13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-2	0-2	2L
Mavericks	0	2	0	99.5	121	-21.5	0-2	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-2	2L
Rockets	0	2	0	117.5	120	-2.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-2	2L
Pacers	0	2	0	119	134.5	-15.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-2	2L
Pelicans	0	2	0	119	124	-5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak