Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Mar 2025

We’re Expecting Rockets to Cover the Line

It’s great to see the Rockets with a -7 line on the spread at -108 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory against the Nuggets.

128-108 Rockets Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

Denver Nuggets have been beaten in successive games and the latest was on the road at Moda Center. Portland Trail Blazers claimed a 128-109 win. Aaron Gordon scored 23 points, with Russell Westbrook getting 18 and Michael Porter Jr. 17.

Houston Rockets won last time out by a 102-98 scoreline. On the road against Miami Heat at Kaseya Center, they made it nine wins on the spin. On the points front, Fred VanVleet recorded 37, Amen Thompson 18 and Jabari Smith 11.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Rockets are bidding for a third successive victory against the Nuggets. They previously won 114-106 and 128-108 at Ball Arena. Both teams have won five games when it comes to the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W

View Full Standings

The Nuggets have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 118.8 points, 42.7 rebounds, 29.8 assists, 8.0 steals and 5.2 blocks while shooting 49.3% from the field and 77.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 122.5 points and 43.0 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 21.4 points and 9.5 rebounds, Russell Westbrook 6.7 assists and Aaron Gordon 2.0 (60.6%) 3-pointers.

The Rockets have won 9 and lost 1 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 117.7 points, 51.9 rebounds, 25.0 assists, 8.4 steals and 4.6 blocks per game while shooting 47.5% from the field and 69.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 107.0 points and 37.9 rebounds.

Jalen Green is averaging 19.2 points and 2.9 (32.6%) 3-pointers made, while Alperen Sengun has an average of 10.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., DeAndre Jordan, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Houston Rockets lineup: Amen Thompson, Jalen Green, Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Alperen Sengun.

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Picks

Our pick is for Rockets to cover the attractive -7 line in this NBA matchup. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -108 is available.

The NBA handicappers at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Nuggets vs Rockets stats:

• The -7 line has been covered by Rockets in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -7 line has been covered by Rockets in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 2 consecutive games.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 2 consecutive games against Rockets.

Rockets -7 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 51.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

You have the choice to buy or sell points depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.

Best Bet

Rockets -7 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jalen Green Over 4.5 Rebounds -110

Jalen Green (Rockets) has totaled Over 4.5 rebounds in 5 straight games at home. There is odds of -110 available when it comes to this Player Rebounds bet and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Jalen Green Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-122

Under 21.5

-109

Assists

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-106

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-108

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Dillon Brooks Over 2.5 Assists +146

Dillon Brooks (Rockets) has recorded Over 2.5 assists in 4 straight games at home. We’re happy to take him to cover the line at +146, with bettors able to make this Player Assists bet with confidence.

Latest Dillon Brooks Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-110

Under 14.5

-120

Assists

Over 2.5

+146

Under 2.5

-192

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-152

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 112 - 122 Rockets

Should you wish to go for a speculative wager, try the Rockets to win 122-112 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun bet which could potentially yield a big return.

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest Rockets Victory

The sportsbooks have Houston Rockets at -263 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 72% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Denver Nuggets are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +215.

The spread is currently 7, with the total points line at 224.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 224.5 at -110.

You can back the Rockets to make a fast start and hit the 20-point mark first. The favorites are -165 to achieve this, with the Nuggets +135 to win the race to this total.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Nuggets

+215

Rockets

-263

Point Spread

Nuggets +7

-110

Rockets -7

-110

Total Points

Under 224.5

-110

Over 224.5

-110

Jalen Green Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

In terms of scoring most points, favorite Jalen Green is available at -122 to rack up Over 21.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -109 is available.

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 21.5

-122

Under 21.5

-109

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 19.5

-123

Under 19.5

-108

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-120

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 17.5

-108

Under 17.5

-123

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 16.5

-109

Under 16.5

-122

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 16.5

-106

Under 16.5

-125

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 14.5

-110

Under 14.5

-120

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 14.5

-109

Under 14.5

-122

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 13.5

-127

Under 13.5

-106

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-114

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 11.5

-122

Under 11.5

-106

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-123

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-122

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

+108

Under 6.5

-143

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-147

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-147

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+108

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-149

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-106

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-167

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 2.5

+146

Under 2.5

-192

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+113

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-132

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-118

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-123

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-152

Under 6.5

+115

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-132

Under 5.5

-100

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 5.5

+103

Under 5.5

-133

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-108

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

+105

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-103

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+112

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-152

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-159

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-101

Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets Stats

Houston Rockets Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 237.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 233.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 232.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 120.10 pts and allowed 117.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 115.50 pts and allowed 118.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 233.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 234.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 232.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 119.90 pts and allowed 113.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 124.80 pts and allowed 109.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 33.80 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.10 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.20 (73.28%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.1, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 36.60
• Assists: 31.60
• Blocks: 5.90
• Steals: 6.80
• Turnovers : 13.30
• Personal Fouls: 16.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.90 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.00 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.70 (75.57%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.4, Offensive 11.20, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 27.60
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 7.50
• Turnovers : 14.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.50

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.10 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.20 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 15.10 (72.95%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.6, Offensive 13.30, Defensive 34.30
• Assists: 25.70
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 8.00
• Turnovers : 12.10
• Personal Fouls: 16.10

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.10 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.00 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.60 (75.21%)
• Rebounds: Total 53.5, Offensive 16.40, Defensive 37.10
• Assists: 25.90
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 6.70
• Turnovers : 11.60
• Personal Fouls: 17.40

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup

1 Amen Thompson

4 Jalen Green

5 Fred VanVleet

9 Dillon Brooks

28 Alperen Sengun

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

6 DeAndre Jordan

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak