Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 13 May 2025

Back Thunder Against The Spread

No. 4 Denver Nuggets (50-32, 24-17 Away) face No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 35-6 at Home) in game 5 of this NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinal matchup at Paycom Center, with the series being tied 2-2.

Our wager is the Thunder against the spread. Back the favorites off -10.5 at odds of -106 and be confident they can cover the line against the Nuggets.

Thunder Overcame Nuggets in Previous Clash

Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder went head-to-head two days ago, with the Thunder claiming a 92-87 victory at Ball Arena.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way for the Thunder with 25 points, while Aaron Wiggins and Cason Wallace both scored 11. For the Nuggets, Nikola Jokic totaled 27 points and 13 rebounds, with Christian Braun recording 17 points and Jamal Murray 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We’ve seen six Thunder wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Nuggets have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 106.9 points, 45.7 rebounds, 22.6 assists, 7.1 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 45.4% from the field and 74.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 111.2 points and 42.8 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.5 points, 13.1 rebounds and 8.0 assists, while Jamal Murray averages 2.5 (40.3%) 3-pointers made.

The Thunder have won 8 and lost 2 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 120.4 points, 48.0 rebounds, 26.3 assists, 10.3 steals and 6.2 blocks per game while shooting 45.3% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 104.0 points and 48.0 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 22.1 points and 5.3 assists, while Chet Holmgren has an average of 7.7 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.4 (42.9%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Betting Tips

We strongly fancy the chances of Thunder beating the underdogs handsomely in this NBA contest. That is why we’re betting the market leaders at -10.5 on the spread at -106.

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making NBA predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Nuggets vs Thunder stats:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -10.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games at home.

Thunder -10.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 51.5% prospect of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine the Thunder on the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

Our Pick

Thunder -10.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 Points -109

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has recorded Under 27.5 points in 8 of the past 10 games. It therefore follows that he might fall short on Player Points and you can get -109 that he doesn’t cover the line.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-118

Assists

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-132

Rebounds

Over 13.5

-128

Under 13.5

-103

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Chet Holmgren Over 9.5 Rebounds -125

Chet Holmgren (Thunder) has recorded Over 9.5 rebounds in 3 straight games. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the line again, then you can land odds of -125 that this happens.

Latest Chet Holmgren Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-109

Under 15.5

-122

Assists

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-122

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-108

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 106 - 121 Thunder

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a monster return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Thunder to claim a 121-106 victory and hopefully this goes close.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Win on the Cards According to the Books

Oklahoma City Thunder have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -455 favorites for this NBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 82% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Denver Nuggets, you will find +350 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 10 and the total points line is 221.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. The Over 221.5 selection is available to back at -112.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Nuggets

+350

Thunder

-455

Point Spread

Nuggets +10

-110

Thunder -10

-110

Total Points

Under 221.5

-108

Over 221.5

-112

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -120 that he goes Over 30.5 points and -112 when it comes to Under.

Player Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 30.5

-120

Under 30.5

-112

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-118

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 21.5

-109

Under 21.5

-122

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 19.5

-108

Under 19.5

-123

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 15.5

-122

Under 15.5

-109

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

-109

Under 15.5

-122

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-106

Under 12.5

-127

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 11.5

-105

Under 11.5

-127

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-103

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-120

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-105

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-128

Under 7.5

-104

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-120

Player Assists

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-132

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-100

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-152

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-133

Under 5.5

-100

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-149

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-130

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+125

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-185

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-114

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-122

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

+120

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+135

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+130

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

+125

Player Rebounds

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

-128

Under 13.5

-103

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-108

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-137

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 7.5

+102

Under 7.5

-137

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+110

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+108

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-114

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-159

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-147

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+125

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+120

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+110

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+109

Under 2.5

-141

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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