Duke vs North Carolina Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Mar 2025

Side With Duke Against the Spread

If you agree with our prediction that Duke can be superior to North Carolina, you can get -115 for this pick against the spread. The favorites should be capable of covering the -10.5 betting line.

Teams’ Previous H2H Saw 87-70 Duke Victory

Duke Blue Devils won their previous game, beating Wake Forest Demon Deacons at home. It was a 93-60 win.

North Carolina Tar Heels triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Virginia Tech were beaten 91-59.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Duke won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 87-70 victory was registered against North Carolina. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six North Carolina victories.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
North Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Duke	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

View Full Standings

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction & Picks

We’d be very surprised if Duke don’t exceed a -10.5 spread in this college contest. That is why the wager has to be for them to cover the line at -115.

In order to come up with the best college basketball picks, we like to know the team news and study the latest form. There are also lots of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Duke vs North Carolina stats:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Duke in all of their last 5 games.
• The -10.5 line has been covered by Duke in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -10.5 line has been covered by Duke in 7 consecutive games.

Duke -10.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

Best Bet

Duke -10.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kon Knueppel Under 1.5 Assists +140

Kon Knueppel (Duke) is available at +140 to register Under 1.5 assists. There’s no reason to oppose our instinct, so we’ll bet on him failing to cover the Player Assists total here.

Latest Kon Knueppel Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-128

Under 14.5

-101

Assists

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-127

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Ian Jackson Under 1.5 Rebounds +140

Ian Jackson (North Carolina) can be backed to total Under 1.5 rebounds at +140. When it comes to Player Rebounds, we’re expecting him to make a total that falls below the line.

Latest Ian Jackson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-109

Under 10.5

-119

Rebounds

Over 1.5

-169

Under 1.5

+130

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Correct Score Prediction

Duke 83 - 68 North Carolina

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on Duke. Backing them to win 83-68 means you can land a potential monster return.

Duke vs North Carolina Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Have Duke as Heavy Favorites

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Duke are red-hot -455 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 82% chance of winning this college game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, North Carolina are trading at +350.

9.5 is the spread and 158.5 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re going for Under 158.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

In the Race to 20 Points betting, Duke are favorites and they can be backed at -240 to attain this total first. If you want to back UNC, then odds of +170 can be found.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for every college basketball contest, with the betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Duke

-455

UNC

+350

Point Spread

Duke -9.5

-110

UNC +9.5

-110

Total Points

Under 158.5

-105

Over 158.5

-115

Cooper Flagg Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

The favorite to score most points is Cooper Flagg. You can get -108 that he scores Over 22.5 points or -120 that he goes Under.

Cooper Flagg (Duke)

Over 22.5

-108

Under 22.5

-120

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 16.5

-100

Under 16.5

-130

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 14.5

-128

Under 14.5

-101

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 12.5

-111

Under 12.5

-116

Ian Jackson (UNC)

Over 10.5

-109

Under 10.5

-119

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-111

Khaman Maluach (Duke)

Over 8.5

+112

Under 8.5

-145

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

-100

Cooper Flagg (Duke)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-145

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

+106

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-169

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Cooper Flagg (Duke)

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-125

Khaman Maluach (Duke)

Over 6.5

+128

Under 6.5

-167

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-127

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+115

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

+140

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

+108

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 2.5

+146

Under 2.5

-192

Ian Jackson (UNC)

Over 1.5

-169

Under 1.5

+130

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Duke Stats

North Carolina Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 146.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 157.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 90.50 pts and allowed 64.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 62.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 157.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.20 pts and allowed 74.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.10 pts and allowed 71.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Boston College	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Notre Dame	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia Tech	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Syracuse	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Stanford	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
SMU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Pittsburgh	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
North Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
California	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
NC State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Miami	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Louisville	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Duke	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Clemson	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Wake Forest	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak