Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 May 2025

Wolves to Make Short Work of Warriors

No. 7 Golden State Warriors (48-34, 24-17 Away) play No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 25-16 at Home) in game 1 of this NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinal matchup at Target Center.

We’re very excited to see the Wolves at -7 on the spread and think it’s a good number for the favorites to cover against the Warriors at odds of -114.

Warriors 116-115 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

Golden State Warriors triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Houston Rockets were beaten 103-89 at Toyota Center. Buddy Hield scored 33 points, with Stephen Curry getting 22 and Jimmy Butler 20.

Minnesota Timberwolves have now achieved seven straight home wins. In their last game, they won on the road at Crypto.com Arena when beating LA Lakers 103-96. Rudy Gobert racked up 27 points and 24 rebounds, Julius Randle scored 23 points, with Anthony Edwards getting 15 points and 11 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Warriors beat the Wolves when the teams last met. It was a 116-115 scoreline at Target Center. The Warriors have three straight wins against the Wolves. However, they have lost 6 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Warriors have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 107.1 points, 38.6 rebounds, 25.6 assists, 9.8 steals and 5.0 blocks while shooting 44.3% from the field and 78.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 105.4 points and 47.2 rebounds per matchup.

Stephen Curry is averaging 25.5 points, 5.7 rebounds, 5.5 assists and 4.4 (41.5%) 3-pointers made.

The Wolves have won 8 and lost 2 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 112.8 points, 45.1 rebounds, 23.7 assists, 6.9 steals and 4.5 blocks per game while shooting 47.3% from the field and 77.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 104.2 points and 38.6 rebounds.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.2 points, 5.0 assists and 3.9 (36.1%) 3-pointers made, while Rudy Gobert has an average of 11.4 rebounds.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors lineup: Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry.

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks

Get with Wolves with a -7 spread. We like this pick and are backing the favorites at odds of -114 to enjoy a solid victory in this NBA showdown.

Team news plays a valuable role and we’re always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with lots of data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Warriors vs Timberwolves stats:

• The -7 line has been covered by Wolves in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -7 line has been covered by Wolves in 7 of their last 10 games at home.

Wolves -7 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.2% likelihood of this pick winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

Best Bet

Wolves -7 @ -114 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Stephen Curry Under 26.5 Points -112

Stephen Curry (Warriors) has recorded an average of 20 points in the past 5 games on the road. There could once again be a failure on his part to cover the line and the Player Points bet can be backed at -112.

Latest Stephen Curry Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

-123

Under 25.5

-108

Assists

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-122

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-154

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Julius Randle Over 20.5 Points -110

Julius Randle (Wolves) has totaled Over 20.5 points in 4 straight games. On this basis, we are happy to back Overs at -110 when it comes to his Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.

Latest Julius Randle Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-118

Assists

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-120

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-127

Under 6.5

-105

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Warriors 104 - 113 Timberwolves

Should you want a bet that can land a monster return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Back the Timberwolves to win 113-104 and leverage a huge payout if this happens.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Wolves Could Have the Edge Say the Books

The Minnesota Timberwolves odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -238 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 70% chance of winning. Golden State Warriors are the underdogs at +198 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is 6 and the total points line is currently 210.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you want to wager Over 210.5, there are odds of -110.

If you’re planning to place a basketball wager, visit the betting sites and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Warriors

+198

Timberwolves

-238

Point Spread

Warriors +6

-108

Timberwolves -6

-112

Total Points

Under 210.5

-110

Over 210.5

-110

Anthony Edwards Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

The favorite to land the most baskets is Anthony Edwards. Odds of -115 can be found for him scoring Over 27.5 points and there are the same odds for him to go Under.

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 27.5

-115

Under 27.5

-115

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 25.5

-123

Under 25.5

-108

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 21.5

-120

Under 21.5

-112

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-118

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 13.5

-105

Under 13.5

-127

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 11.5

-125

Under 11.5

-106

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 10.5

-127

Under 10.5

-105

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-112

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-120

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-118

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-130

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 7.5

-109

Under 7.5

-119

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-104

Under 6.5

-128

Gary Payton II (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-105

Under 5.5

-127

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-139

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-122

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-118

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-120

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

+105

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-161

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-141

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-135

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-110

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-127

Under 6.5

-105

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-132

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-127

Under 6.5

-105

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-105

Under 6.5

-127

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-154

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-147

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-143

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+116

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-130

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-175

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-120

Gary Payton II (Warriors)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

+102

Micro Betting

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Warriors Stats

Minnesota Timberwolves Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 209.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 213.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 204: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 204 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 103.20 pts and allowed 106.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 109.30 pts and allowed 104.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 208.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 219.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 204: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 204 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 107.70 pts and allowed 100.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 116.60 pts and allowed 103.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 21.70 (49%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.30 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.70 (76.96%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.7, Offensive 11.20, Defensive 27.50
• Assists: 22.60
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 7.50
• Turnovers : 12.30
• Personal Fouls: 20.20

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 21.00 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.10 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.80 (78.87%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.5, Offensive 11.50, Defensive 31.00
• Assists: 24.40
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 12.40
• Personal Fouls: 17.00

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.30 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.30 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.20 (76.78%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.6, Offensive 11.90, Defensive 29.70
• Assists: 22.20
• Blocks: 4.60
• Steals: 7.60
• Turnovers : 12.00
• Personal Fouls: 19.70

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.90 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.80 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.40 (77.33%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.8, Offensive 11.50, Defensive 31.30
• Assists: 24.70
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 8.20
• Turnovers : 11.00
• Personal Fouls: 17.80

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup

3 Jaden McDaniels

5 Anthony Edwards

10 Mike Conley

27 Rudy Gobert

30 Julius Randle

Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup

2 Brandin Podziemski

7 Buddy Hield

10 Jimmy Butler

23 Draymond Green

30 Stephen Curry

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak