Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Mar 2025

Going Over the Total Points Makes Sense

Over 224.5 points are expected to be scored when the Rockets and the Thunder meet, with this prediction available at -110 and this looks like a value wager.

111-96 Triumph for Thunder in Last H2H

Houston Rockets have been defeated in six straight road games. Their previous contest was a 113-103 home defeat against Sacramento Kings at Toyota Center. Alperen Sengun scored 30 points, with Jalen Green getting 24 and Tari Eason 14.

Oklahoma City Thunder won their last game 146-132, making it three on the bounce. This was a road victory at Frost Bank Center against San Antonio Spurs. On the points front, Jalen Williams recorded 41, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31 and Cason Wallace 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at T-Mobile Arena, with the Thunder claiming the win. Beating the Rockets by a 111-96 scoreline. The Thunder have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Rockets have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 108.7 points, 48.9 rebounds, 22.9 assists, 6.4 steals and 4.8 blocks while shooting 43.8% from the field and 70.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 110.1 points and 44.0 rebounds per matchup.

Jalen Green is averaging 23.1 points and 3.7 (40.2%) 3-pointers made. Alperen Sengun averages 10.4 rebounds and Amen Thompson 5.3 assists.

The Thunder have won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 127.6 points, 46.4 rebounds, 30.0 assists, 9.0 steals and 6.0 blocks per game while shooting 48.8% from the field and 81.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 116.3 points and 44.9 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.5 points and 7.0 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein has an average of 9.7 rebounds and Aaron Wiggins 3.2 (50.0%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets lineup: Jock Landale, Jalen Green, Cam Whitmore, Jabari Smith, Reed Sheppard.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

Over 224.5 points seems like a realistic outcome for this NBA matchup. We’re taking odds of -110 considering that the total line looks to be too low here.

We use the latest injury information to come up with the best possible NBA picks. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Rockets vs Thunder stats:

• The 224.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Rockets games on the road.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Rockets games on the road.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in all of the last 5 Thunder games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Thunder games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Thunder games.

Over 224.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Want more juice from your Over wager on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier bet. You can choose from a range of options.

Best Bet

Over 224.5 Points @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Amen Thompson Over 8.5 Rebounds -120

Amen Thompson (Rockets) has covered the 8.5 rebounds total in 8 straight games. We recommend backing the -120 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.

Latest Amen Thompson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-120

Under 14.5

-112

Assists

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-161

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-110

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Jalen Green Over 3.5 Assists -149

Jalen Green (Rockets) has recorded Over 3.5 assists in 5 straight road games. On the basis of this stat, we can shoot for him to once again cover the Player Assists line and this is on offer at -149.

Latest Jalen Green Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-125

Under 20.5

-106

Assists

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+112

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-154

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Correct Score Prediction

Rockets 108 - 123 Thunder

The Thunder to win by a 123-108 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Win on the Cards According to the Books

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Oklahoma City Thunder a 83% chance of winning this NBA game which means they’re overwhelming -500 favorites with the sportsbooks. The market suggests that Houston Rockets are least likely to win at +390.

The spread is currently 11, with the total points line at 228. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you're keen on Over 228, this selection is available at -112.

Wagering on the Race to 20 Points allows bettors to back favorites Thunder at -210. On the flip side, the Rockets are +165 should you think they’ll get to this total first.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Rockets

+390

Thunder

-500

Point Spread

Rockets +11

-114

Thunder -11

-106

Total Points

Under 228

-108

Over 228

-112

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to score most points. He is priced at -120 to score Over 29.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -112.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 29.5

-120

Under 29.5

-112

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 20.5

-125

Under 20.5

-106

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

-109

Under 20.5

-122

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 18.5

-122

Under 18.5

-109

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

-105

Under 15.5

-127

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 14.5

-120

Under 14.5

-112

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 12.5

-103

Under 12.5

-130

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 11.5

-123

Under 11.5

-108

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-108

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-122

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-130

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-161

Under 5.5

+120

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-161

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+120

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+115

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+112

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-167

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-127

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

+102

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-110

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-100

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-132

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-103

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-154

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

+105

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-114

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-120

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-141

Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Rockets Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +7 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 219.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 222.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 227.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 227.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 106.50 pts and allowed 112.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 111.50 pts and allowed 111.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 222.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 220.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 227.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 227.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.80 pts and allowed 110.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 119.80 pts and allowed 100.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.40 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.40 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.50 (69.92%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.6, Offensive 12.40, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 21.50
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 7.50
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 17.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.10 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.60 (41%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.50 (65.61%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.3, Offensive 12.50, Defensive 32.80
• Assists: 23.50
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 9.40
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 16.50

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.30 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.50 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.70 (82.55%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.6, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 29.70
• Assists: 19.00
• Blocks: 5.70
• Steals: 10.80
• Turnovers : 13.00
• Personal Fouls: 21.40

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.00 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.40 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.60 (82.48%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.2, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 32.30
• Assists: 24.70
• Blocks: 6.10
• Steals: 12.40
• Turnovers : 10.10
• Personal Fouls: 20.90

Live Streaming

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

0 Chet Holmgren

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup

2 Jock Landale

4 Jalen Green

7 Cam Whitmore

10 Jabari Smith

15 Reed Sheppard

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak