Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | WNBA, 07 Aug 2025

Fever Can Trouble Mercury

With the Fever capable of remaining close to the Mercury, backing them on the spread could be the best way forward. -110 is available that the +4 is covered.

Fever Beat Mercury in their Last Matchup

Indiana Fever suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 100-91 scoreline occurred on the road at Crypto.com Arena against Los Angeles Sparks.

Phoenix Mercury won their last game, beating Connecticut Sun at home. It was a 82-66 win at Footprint Center.

The Fever won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 107-101 triumph when facing the Mercury at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Fever have triumphed in their previous six meetings against the Mercury. On the head-to-head front, it has been 6 wins out of 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	18	11	2416	2331	85	10-4	8-7	2W
5  Fever	17	13	2558	2443	115	9-6	8-7	1L

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Expert WNBA Analysis

We only publish basketball predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest WNBA form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Key Fever vs Mercury stats:

• The +4 line has been covered by Fever in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +4 line has been covered by Fever in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -4 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -4 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 6 consecutive games against Fever.

Fever vs Mercury Prediction

We are happy to get with Indiana Fever against the spread in this WNBA matchup. -110 is available that the underdogs are able to cover +4 and that looks very reasonable.

There’s always the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential payout. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky bet but smaller odds.

Fever +4 Probability

If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Our Pick

Fever +4 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Props

Aliyah Boston Under 9.5 Rebounds -133

Aliyah Boston (Fever) is available at -133 to register Under 9.5 rebounds. We think that she will fail to cover this total and this Player Rebounds bet can be taken with confidence.

Latest Aliyah Boston Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-105

Under 15.5

-123

Assists

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+114

Rebounds

Over 9.5

+103

Under 9.5

-133

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Aari McDonald Over 10.5 Points -110

Aari McDonald (Fever) can be wagered to score Over 10.5 points at -110. We are going to choose a Player Points prop bet which will hopefully see her cover the line.

Latest Aari McDonald Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Assists

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-156

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Correct Score Prediction

Fever 86 - 83 Mercury

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Fever to win by a 86-83 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Favorites to Win According to the Books

Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a 67% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -200. At +160, Indiana Fever are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is 4 and the total points line is currently 172.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you’re going for Under 172.5, this outcome can be backed at -112.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Fever

+160

Mercury

-200

Point Spread

Fever +4

-108

Mercury -4

-112

Total Points

Under 172.5

-112

Over 172.5

-108

Kelsey Mitchell Favorite to Score the Most Points

Kelsey Mitchell is the market leader to land the most baskets. She is priced at -108 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -120.

Player Points

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 19.5

-108

Under 19.5

-120

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-132

Under 15.5

+102

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-130

Under 15.5

-100

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 15.5

-105

Under 15.5

-123

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Natasha Howard (Fever)

Over 11.5

-123

Under 11.5

-105

Aari McDonald (Fever)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Monique Akoa Makani (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+195

Under 9.5

-263

Sophie Cunningham (Fever)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-120

Aari McDonald (Fever)

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-156

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-172

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+114

Player Rebounds

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 9.5

+103

Under 9.5

-133

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+112

Under 9.5

-145

Natasha Howard (Fever)

Over 7.5

+107

Under 7.5

-139

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-118

Sophie Cunningham (Fever)

Over 3.5

-145

Under 3.5

+111

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+115

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	25	5	2620	2273	347	15-1	10-4	3W
2  Liberty	19	10	2519	2348	171	13-3	6-7	2W
3  Dream	18	11	2452	2291	161	10-4	8-7	3W
4  Mercury	18	11	2416	2331	85	10-4	8-7	2W
5  Fever	17	13	2558	2443	115	9-6	8-7	1L
6  Storm	16	14	2445	2371	74	8-8	8-6	3L
7  Aces	16	14	2441	2481	-40	8-5	8-9	2W
8  Valkyries	14	15	2258	2275	-17	8-5	6-10	2L
9  Sparks	13	15	2408	2468	-60	4-9	9-6	2W
10  Mystics	13	16	2270	2338	-68	9-6	4-10	3L
11  Sky	8	21	2216	2500	-284	5-10	3-11	1W
12  Wings	8	22	2456	2595	-139	5-10	3-12	3L
13  Sun	5	23	2087	2432	-345	4-11	1-12	2L

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