Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2025

Pacers to Dominate Heat

Our best betting prediction is to snap up the -112 that the Pacers are able to cover the spread. They are -3.5 against the Heat and the margin of victory could be a good deal more significant.

Teams’ Last Matchup Saw 128-115 Pacers Win

Indiana Pacers previous game saw them claim a 111-91 home win over Toronto Raptors at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Tyrese Haliburton scored 33 points, with Myles Turner getting 18 and Pascal Siakam 15.

Miami Heat won their last game, beating Atlanta Hawks at home. It was a 131-109 win at Kaseya Center. Duncan Robinson scored 24 points, Tyler Herro had 24 points and 10 assists, while Bam Adebayo bagged 20 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Pacers have claimed victories in the last two matchups against the Heat. At Gainbridge Fieldhouse, the scoreline was 119-110 and then we saw 128-115 at Kaseya Center. The Pacers have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Pacers are averaging 116.9 points, 40.3 rebounds, 30.2 assists, 9.6 steals and 5.6 blocks while shooting 47.7% from the field and 83.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 115.7 points and 46.3 rebounds per matchup.

Pascal Siakam is averaging 19.5 points and 7.2 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton averages 9.1 assist and 3.5 (44.3%) 3-pointers.

The Heat have won 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 106.7 points, 44.5 rebounds, 24.4 assists, 6.3 steals and 3.5 blocks per game while shooting 44.4% from the field and 80.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 111.0 points and 44.1 rebounds.

Tyler Herro is averaging 22.5 points, 6.2 assists and 2.5 (27.5%) 3-pointers made, while Kel'el Ware has an average of 10.2 rebounds.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers lineup: Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam.

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Don’t miss out on the chance to side with Pacers at -3.5 on the spread. On the face of it, this seems a more than generous betting line and -112 can be backed.

The expert basketball handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our NBA predictions along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Pacers vs Heat stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Pacers in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Pacers in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Pacers in 2 consecutive games against Heat.

Pacers -3.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine the Pacers on the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

Best Bet

Pacers -3.5 @ -112 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tyrese Haliburton Over 18.5 Points -105

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) has scored an average of 24.6 points in the past 5 games. He looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and you’re able to back this pick at odds of -105.

Latest Tyrese Haliburton Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-109

Under 18.5

-122

Assists

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-141

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-120

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Tyrese Haliburton Over 9.5 Assists +106

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) has had Over 9.5 assists in 3 of the past 5 games. We’re happy to take him to cover the line at +106, with bettors able to make this Player Assists bet with confidence.

Latest Tyrese Haliburton Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-109

Under 18.5

-122

Assists

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-141

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-120

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Pacers 118 - 111 Heat

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Pacers to achieve a 118-111 win should give bettors a good run for their money.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Pacers Moneyline Favorites

With a 62% chance of securing victory, Indiana Pacers are favorites for this NBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -161. The market suggests that Miami Heat are least likely to win at +136.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 223.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you fancy Over 223.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

If you’re keen on the Pacers reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -135 to oblige. Conversely, the Heat can be backed at +105 to make this total first.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The betting sites have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Pacers

-161

Heat

+136

Point Spread

Pacers -3.5

-108

Heat +3.5

-112

Total Points

Under 223.5

-110

Over 223.5

-110

Tyler Herro Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Tyler Herro is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -105 to score Over 26.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -127.

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 26.5

-105

Under 26.5

-127

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 20.5

-118

Under 20.5

-114

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 19.5

-115

Under 19.5

-115

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 19.5

-110

Under 19.5

-120

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 18.5

-109

Under 18.5

-122

Myles Turner (Pacers)

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-123

Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)

Over 13.5

-106

Under 13.5

-125

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-118

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 10.5

-118

Under 10.5

-112

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-118

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-110

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-141

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 6.5

+108

Under 6.5

-143

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-152

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+108

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+106

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 3.5

+139

Under 3.5

-182

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+114

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-100

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-127

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-120

Myles Turner (Pacers)

Over 6.5

-147

Under 6.5

+112

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-120

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+120

Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)

Over 4.5

+116

Under 4.5

-154

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-123

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-120

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-159

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Micro Betting

There are some exciting basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana Pacers Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 232.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 226.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 225.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 225.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 116.90 pts and allowed 115.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 116.70 pts and allowed 109.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 217.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 231.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 225.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 225.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 106.70 pts and allowed 111.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 112.90 pts and allowed 118.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.20 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.30 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.60 (83.4%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.3, Offensive 9.10, Defensive 31.20
• Assists: 30.20
• Blocks: 5.60
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 12.00
• Personal Fouls: 18.30

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.90 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.60 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.10 (81.43%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.6, Offensive 9.90, Defensive 31.70
• Assists: 30.00
• Blocks: 5.90
• Steals: 10.90
• Turnovers : 9.70
• Personal Fouls: 18.20

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.60 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.70 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.40 (80.93%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.5, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 33.20
• Assists: 24.40
• Blocks: 3.50
• Steals: 6.30
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 15.60

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.20 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.90 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.80 (82.68%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.8, Offensive 7.60, Defensive 33.20
• Assists: 30.50
• Blocks: 3.30
• Steals: 5.80
• Turnovers : 11.20
• Personal Fouls: 13.30

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

11 Jaime Jaquez Jr.

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

45 Davion Mitchell

Indiana Pacers Confirmed Lineup

0 Tyrese Haliburton

2 Andrew Nembhard

23 Aaron Nesmith

33 Myles Turner

43 Pascal Siakam

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak