Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Mar 2025

We Can’t Resist Backing Thunder ATS

There’s a case to be made for the Thunder on the spread against the Pacers. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -10.5 line at odds of -110 considering they should be superior.

7 of Last 10 Matchups Have Been Pacers Wins

Indiana Pacers have won back-to-back road games, triumphing 162-109 in their previous appearance. This was against Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena. Tyrese Haliburton scored 29 points, with Myles Turner getting 17 and Jarace Walker 16.

Oklahoma City Thunder have enjoyed eight straight wins, most recently beating Memphis Grizzlies 125-104. It was a home success at Paycom Center. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander managed 37 points, Jalen Williams scored 20, while Isaiah Hartenstein had 18 points and 11 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 120-114 in favor of the Thunder when they last played the Pacers, with the matchup taking place at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Pacers land seven wins.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

8 wins and 2 losses in the past 10 games. The Pacers are averaging 122.6 points, 43.4 rebounds, 30.6 assists, 7.8 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 50.7% from the field and 83.1% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 113.5 points and 43.1 rebounds per contest.

Pascal Siakam is averaging 18.1 points, Myles Turner 6.7 rebounds and Tyrese Haliburton 8.2 assists, while Aaron Nesmith averages 2.6 (56.5%) 3-pointers made.

The Thunder have won 9 and lost 1 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 122.9 points, 46.8 rebounds, 27.1 assists, 8.0 steals and 6.3 blocks per game while shooting 49.6% from the field and 79.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 108.3 points and 39.5 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.3 points and 6.1 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein has an average of 8.7 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.7 (42.9%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers lineup: Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

We’re predicting that Thunder will be superior in this NBA matchup and that’s why we’re backing them at -10.5 on the spread. Take the -110 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.

Our team of expert NBA handicappers monitor the current injuries. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Pacers vs Thunder stats:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -10.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -10.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 3 consecutive games at home.

Thunder -10.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. This allows you to shoot for a franchise to perform better than expected by the sportsbooks.

Best Bet

Thunder -10.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pascal Siakam Under 20.5 Points -114

Pascal Siakam (Pacers) has scored an average of 14.8 points in the past 5 games. This gives us confidence that he might not cover the line and you can wager on Player Points at betting odds of -114.

Latest Pascal Siakam Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-118

Assists

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-139

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-122

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Isaiah Hartenstein Under 11.5 Rebounds -108

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder) has totaled Under 11.5 rebounds in 8 of the past 9 games. This could happen again and there is odds of -108 when it comes to this Player Rebounds bet.

Latest Isaiah Hartenstein Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-114

Assists

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 11.5

-122

Under 11.5

-109

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Correct Score Prediction

Pacers 111 - 125 Thunder

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Thunder to achieve a 125-111 victory at huge odds.

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Heavy Favorites to Win

With an estimated 80% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -400 betting odds about Oklahoma City Thunder triumphing in this NBA game. At +315, Indiana Pacers are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

9 is the spread and 235.5 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those who wager Under 235.5 can get -108.

Wagering on the Race to 20 Points allows bettors to back favorites Thunder at -200. On the flip side, the Pacers are +160 should you think they’ll get to this total first.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball bets. The betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Pacers

+315

Thunder

-400

Point Spread

Pacers +9

-108

Thunder -9

-112

Total Points

Under 235.5

-108

Over 235.5

-112

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to score most points. He is priced at -114 to score Over 33.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -118.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-118

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

-127

Under 20.5

-105

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-118

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 16.5

-118

Under 16.5

-114

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

-127

Under 15.5

-105

Myles Turner (Pacers)

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-123

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-114

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 12.5

-108

Under 12.5

-123

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 10.5

-109

Under 10.5

-120

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-106

Under 10.5

-125

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-115

Obi Toppin (Pacers)

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-122

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-120

T.J. McConnell (Pacers)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-123

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

+105

Under 6.5

-139

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

+104

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

+104

T.J. McConnell (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

+102

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-139

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-112

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 11.5

-122

Under 11.5

-109

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-109

Under 8.5

-122

Myles Turner (Pacers)

Over 7.5

+107

Under 7.5

-143

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-122

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-139

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-164

Under 4.5

+123

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-161

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-164

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-114

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-175

Under 3.5

+130

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-120

Obi Toppin (Pacers)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+120

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-125

T.J. McConnell (Pacers)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-111

Micro Betting

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on basketball. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana Pacers Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 221.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 230.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 214.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 214.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 110.40 pts and allowed 110.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 115.70 pts and allowed 114.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 225.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 225.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 214.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 214.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.30 pts and allowed 112.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 121.40 pts and allowed 103.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.10 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.30 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.30 (78.89%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.3, Offensive 8.80, Defensive 31.50
• Assists: 24.20
• Blocks: 6.00
• Steals: 9.90
• Turnovers : 15.40
• Personal Fouls: 23.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.20 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.40 (42%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.10 (77.35%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.7, Offensive 9.20, Defensive 33.50
• Assists: 26.60
• Blocks: 6.30
• Steals: 6.50
• Turnovers : 15.50
• Personal Fouls: 23.00

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.50 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.30 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.40 (83.58%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.8, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 30.30
• Assists: 20.00
• Blocks: 5.20
• Steals: 10.30
• Turnovers : 12.90
• Personal Fouls: 21.30

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.30 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.80 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.40 (82.66%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.5, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 32.60
• Assists: 25.40
• Blocks: 6.40
• Steals: 12.20
• Turnovers : 10.30
• Personal Fouls: 21.30

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

8 Jalen Williams

22 Cason Wallace

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Indiana Pacers Confirmed Lineup

0 Tyrese Haliburton

2 Andrew Nembhard

23 Aaron Nesmith

33 Myles Turner

43 Pascal Siakam

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak