Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Sep 2024

We Think Under 163.5 is the Value Bet

We’ve identified a betting angle for Aces vs Liberty on the totals. Our prediction is Under 163.5 points which is currently available at odds of -110.

Liberty 75-71 Winners in Previous H2H

Las Vegas Aces claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 83-76 win occurred against Seattle Storm at Michelob Ultra Arena.

New York Liberty last game saw them claim a 91-82 home win over Atlanta Dream at Barclays Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Liberty claim a 75-71 win over the Aces at Barclays Center. The Liberty have enjoyed three consecutive victories against the Aces. They’ve landed 6 wins from the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W

View Full Standings

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 163.5, so we’re prepared to take the -110 that the pair go under the line in this WNBA matchup.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making WNBA picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Aces vs Liberty stats:

• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Aces games on the road.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Aces games.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Aces games on the road.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Liberty games at home.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Liberty games.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 163.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

More juice from your Unders bet can be found by combining this selection on the Match Result & Total lines. Choose the odds which match your prediction.

Best Bet

Under 163.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Breanna Stewart Under 2.5 Assists +120

Breanna Stewart (Liberty) can be wagered to record Under 2.5 assists at +120. It stands to reason that she might fall short when it comes to Player Assists and the line is appealing.

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A'ja Wilson Over 10.5 Rebounds -139

A'ja Wilson (Aces) can be wagered to total Over 10.5 rebounds at -139. The Player Rebounds line looks really attractive when it comes to having an Overs bet.

Correct Score Prediction

Aces 78 - 79 Liberty

We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Liberty to win 79-78. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Liberty Betting Favorites on the Moneyline

For this WNBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean New York Liberty are -200 favorites to win and that means a 67% chance of landing a victory. At +160, Las Vegas Aces are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 4 and the total points line is 163. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you fancy Under 163, then the odds are -109.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on hundreds of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

Aces

+160

Liberty

-200

Point Spread

Aces +4

-108

Liberty -4

-115

Total Points

Under 163

-109

Over 163

-114

A'ja Wilson Favorite to Score the Most Points

In terms of scoring most points, favorite A'ja Wilson is available at -111 to rack up Over 24.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -118 is available.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 24.5

-111

Under 24.5

-118

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 19.5

-115

Under 19.5

-115

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 17.5

-100

Under 17.5

-132

Kelsey Plum (Aces)

Over 16.5

-125

Under 16.5

-105

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 14.5

+105

Under 14.5

-139

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-120

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 10.5

-125

Under 10.5

-105

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-120

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+105

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+110

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-154

Kelsey Plum (Aces)

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-100

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-115

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

+120

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 10.5

-139

Under 10.5

+105

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 9.5

+105

Under 9.5

-139

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+110

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-115

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

+130

Under 4.5

-175

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+110

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+115

Kelsey Plum (Aces)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-100

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.40 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.00 pts and allowed 81.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	30	8	3288	2927	361	18-2	12-6	1L
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
3  Dream	24	14	3154	2930	224	12-6	12-8	1L
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W
6  Fever	20	18	3242	3137	105	11-9	9-9	1W
7  Storm	21	19	3300	3207	93	8-10	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	19	18	2898	2872	26	10-7	9-11	1W
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	23	3054	3165	-111	10-10	6-13	5L
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W
12  Sky	9	29	2888	3274	-386	5-15	4-14	3L
13  Wings	9	30	3191	3424	-233	5-16	4-14	6L