Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 May 2025

Go For Under 168 With Confidence

The two most recent league champs battle it out at Barclays Center. The Aces won titles in 2022 and 2023 before the Liberty knocked them out in the 2024 semifinals.

Under 168 points looks like an attractive total bet. The Aces and the Liberty might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this selection at -110.

Liberty Have Won 7 Out of 10 on the H2H

Las Vegas Aces lost 76-62 at home to New York Liberty in their last game. This was game 4 of the WNBA semifinals matchup, with the Liberty winning the series 3-1.

The New York Liberty became WNBA champions with a 67-62 (OT) win at home against Minnesota Lynx in their last game. This was their first-ever WNBA Championship in 28 seasons.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking back at the previous 10 H2H meetings, the Liberty have won seven.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Aces	28	14	3485	3416	69	16-5	12-9	14W
5  Liberty	25	17	3547	3382	165	16-5	9-12	1W

View Full Standings

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -110 that there are Under 168 points in this WNBA game.

Our WNBA picks are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.

Key Aces vs Liberty stats:

• The 168 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Aces games on the road.
• The 168 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Aces games.
• The 168 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Liberty games.
• The 168 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Liberty games at home.
• The 168 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Liberty games at home.

Under 168 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are different ways to maximise a potential profit on the Total lines. Moving the line for your Under wager means the chance to secure bigger odds.

Best Bet

Under 168 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Breanna Stewart Under 3.5 Assists -172

Breanna Stewart (Liberty) can be wagered to register Under 3.5 assists at -172. There are a number of reasons that suggest she will fall short of the total when it comes to Player Assists.

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Jackie Young Over 3.5 Rebounds -167

Jackie Young (Aces) can be backed to have Over 3.5 rebounds at -167. She should be capable of covering the rebounds total when it comes to this player prop.

Correct Score Prediction

Aces 81 - 80 Liberty

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Aces to land a 81-80 win. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Liberty Could Have the Edge Say the Books

The New York Liberty odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -164 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 62% chance of winning. At +134, Las Vegas Aces are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 3.5, while total points comes in at 169. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. There’s the chance to back Under 169 at -110.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The betting sites offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Aces

+134

Liberty

-164

Point Spread

Aces +3.5

-110

Liberty -3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 169

-110

Over 169

-110

A'ja Wilson Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

A'ja Wilson is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -114 that she gets Over 25.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -119.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-119

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 20.5

-110

Under 20.5

-122

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-119

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-120

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 15.5

-110

Under 15.5

-123

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 13.5

-120

Under 13.5

-112

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-103

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-111

Under 10.5

-122

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-123

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+102

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-141

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+108

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+104

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-161

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-175

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 11.5

-100

Under 11.5

-133

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-130

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-132

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-118

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-159

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+104

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-118

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+106

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.40 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.00 pts and allowed 81.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	9	3643	3237	406	19-2	14-7	1W
2  Dream	29	14	3624	3306	318	16-6	13-8	5W
3  Aces	28	14	3485	3416	69	16-5	12-9	14W
4  Mercury	27	15	3484	3340	144	15-6	12-9	1L
5  Liberty	25	17	3547	3382	165	16-5	9-12	1W
6  Valkyries	23	19	3294	3213	81	14-8	9-11	1L
7  Fever	23	20	3651	3514	137	12-9	11-11	2W
8  Storm	22	21	3540	3451	89	9-12	13-9	2L
9  Sparks	20	22	3606	3696	-90	9-12	11-10	1W
10  Mystics	16	27	3328	3514	-186	10-12	6-15	9L
11  Sun	11	32	3265	3694	-429	7-14	4-18	1L
12  Sky	10	32	3188	3594	-406	6-15	4-17	2L
13  Wings	9	34	3497	3795	-298	5-16	4-18	10L