Louisville vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Jan 2025
Expect Points Between Louisville and Virginia
We’re expecting Over 128.5 points to be scored by Louisville and Virginia combined. There’s a juicy -115 for our prediction and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over.
9 Virginia Victories in Previous 10 H2H Clashes
Louisville Cardinals won their previous game, beating North Carolina Tar Heels at home. It was a 83-70 win.
Virginia Cavaliers last game saw them claim a 70-67 home win over NC State Wolfpack.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last matchup between Virginia and Louisville saw the former win. It was a 69-52 scoreline. Virginia have enjoyed nine consecutive wins against Louisville. They’ve landed 9 victories from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.
Louisville vs Virginia Prediction & Picks
We think the best betting angle can be found with the totals for this college contest. Our pick is that there will be Over 128.5 points and that is available at -115.
The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.
Key Louisville vs Virginia stats:
Over 128.5 Probability
The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 53.5% prospect of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you’re wanting bigger odds when wagering on the Totals, then the good news is that you can be in control of the line. Get more juice by betting Over a certain number.
Best Bet
Over 128.5 Points @ -115
Player Prop Picks
Elijah Saunders (Virginia) can be wagered to record Over 5.5 rebounds at -112. We think that the value can be found by betting on Player Rebounds and we’re expecting him to go over the line.
Latest Elijah Saunders Player Prop Odds
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Isaac McKneely (Virginia) can be wagered to score Over 11.5 points at -106. We are going to choose a Player Points prop bet which will hopefully see him cover the line.
Latest Isaac McKneely Player Prop Odds
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Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Over 128.5 on the total, Virginia to cover the +5.5 spread and Elijah Saunders (Virginia) to get Over 5.5 rebounds.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a fantastic way of wagering on a single event. Many basketball bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
68
-
67
Virginia
There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Louisville enjoying a 68-67 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.
Louisville vs Virginia Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Books Think Louisville Likeliest to Win
With the sportsbooks giving them a 70% probability of winning this college game, Louisville might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -233 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Virginia are least likely to win at +190.
The current spread is 5.5 and total points is 130.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 130.5 at -115.
There’s a chance to back Louisville at -180 to reach the 20-point total before their opponents. Should you want to go against the favorites, Virginia are available at +130.
The good news is that you can access a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball contests. The betting sites have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.
Terrence Edwards Jr. Favorite to Score the Most Baskets
In terms of scoring most points, favorite Terrence Edwards Jr. is available at -112 to rack up Over 14.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -115 is available.
Last 5 & H2H
- NCAAB: 27/01 2024 Virginia 69 Louisville 52
- NCAAB: 04/01 2024 Louisville 53 Virginia 77
- NCAAB: 04/03 2023 Louisville 60 Virginia 75
- NCAAB: 16/02 2023 Virginia 61 Louisville 58
- NCAAB: 10/03 2022 Louisville 50 Virginia 51
- NCAAB: 05/03 2022 Virginia 71 Louisville 61
- NCAAB: 25/01 2022 Louisville 52 Virginia 64
- NCAAB: 06/03 2021 Virginia 68 Louisville 58
- NCAAB: 07/03 2020 Louisville 54 Virginia 57
- NCAAB: 08/02 2020 Virginia 73 Louisville 80
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Louisville Stats
Virginia Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 152.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 159.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 128.5: Covered in the previous 10 games
- Over 128.5 on the Road: Covered in the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.30 pts and allowed 75.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 81.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 124.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 120.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 128.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 128.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 61.20 pts and allowed 63.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 61.90 pts and allowed 58.40 pts in the last 10 home games
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