LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Mar 2025

LSU Betting Line Looks Too Generous

We’ve smashed into LSU +11.5 and this spread wager at -102 means we need the underdogs to avoid a heavy defeat against Mississippi State.

Mississippi State Won 70-60 When Teams Last Met

LSU Tigers lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Tennessee Volunteers 65-59.

Mississippi State Bulldogs were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 111-73 reverse against Alabama Crimson Tide.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Mississippi State had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 70-60 win over LSU. Mississippi State have beaten LSU on three consecutive occasions. Going back over 9 matchups, they have lost 5 of the past 9 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Mississippi State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
LSU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

View Full Standings

LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Our pick is that LSU might not be beaten heavily by the big favorites in this college matchup. The underdogs have been afforded a generous +11.5 and we recommend backing them at -102.

In order to come up with the best college basketball picks, we like to know the team news and study the latest form. There are also lots of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key LSU vs Mississippi State stats:

• The +11.5 line has been covered by LSU in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by LSU in 11 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 2 consecutive games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 8 of their last 9 games against LSU.

LSU +11.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 50.5% prospect of winning. Based on our analysts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If the odds on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure a bigger price by moving the line for your point spread pick. It’s a case of taking a betting view which you are happy with.

Best Bet

LSU +11.5 @ -102 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dji Bailey Over 1.5 Assists -185

Dji Bailey (LSU) can be wagered to register Over 1.5 assists at -185. The total for him on the Overs has lots of appeal, with bettors able to get plenty of juice.

Latest Dji Bailey Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 6.5

-119

Under 6.5

-109

Assists

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-119

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Cam Carter Over 15.5 Points -123

Cam Carter (LSU) can be wagered to rack up Over 15.5 points at -123. He should be capable of going over the total which looks attractive when it comes to having a bet on Player Points.

Latest Cam Carter Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-143

Under 15.5

+110

Assists

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-139

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

LSU 67 - 74 Mississippi State

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on Mississippi State to record a 74-67 victory. There’s a huge return if we get this right.

LSU vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mississippi State Heavy Favorites to Win

With an estimated 89% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -833 betting odds about Mississippi State triumphing in this college game. LSU are the underdogs at +540 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is currently 11.5, with the total points line at 149.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 149.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

You can back Mississippi State to make a fast start and hit the 20-point mark first. The favorites are -311 to achieve this, with LSU +215 to win the race to this total.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

LSU

+540

MS State

-833

Point Spread

LSU +11.5

-102

MS State -11.5

-120

Total Points

Under 149.5

-105

Over 149.5

-115

Josh Hubbard Favorite to Score the Most Points

Josh Hubbard is the favorite to score most points. He is priced at -112 to score Over 18.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -115.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-115

Cam Carter (LSU)

Over 15.5

-143

Under 15.5

+110

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 14.5

-122

Under 14.5

-106

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 10.5

-109

Under 10.5

-119

Claudell Harris Jr. (MS State)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-115

Daimion Collins (LSU)

Over 7.5

-116

Under 7.5

-111

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 6.5

-122

Under 6.5

-106

Dji Bailey (LSU)

Over 6.5

-119

Under 6.5

-109

Robert Miller III (LSU)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-115

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 3.5

-116

Under 3.5

-111

Cam Carter (LSU)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-139

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-105

Dji Bailey (LSU)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 6.5

-154

Under 6.5

+118

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 5.5

-116

Under 5.5

-111

Daimion Collins (LSU)

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-127

Cam Carter (LSU)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Claudell Harris Jr. (MS State)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

Dji Bailey (LSU)

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-119

Robert Miller III (LSU)

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+104

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

+108

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

LSU Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 144.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 146.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 66.20 pts and allowed 75.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 66.10 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.10 pts and allowed 82.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.20 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Alabama	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Arkansas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Auburn	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Georgia	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Kentucky	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
LSU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Ole Miss	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Mississippi State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Missouri	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oklahoma	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
South Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Tennessee	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas A&M	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Vanderbilt	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak