LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Mar 2025

Mississippi State Against The Spread Look the Value Pick

There’s a generous line of -9.5 when it comes to Mississippi State in their meeting with LSU. The -105 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

Mississippi State 81-69 Winners in Last H2H Battle

LSU Tigers lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Texas A&M Aggies 66-52.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost on the road in their last game. Arkansas Razorbacks won 93-92.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 81-69 win for Mississippi State when they last played LSU. Mississippi State have won four on the spin against LSU. They’ve also claimed 5 wins in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Mississippi State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
LSU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

View Full Standings

LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Don’t miss out on the chance to side with Mississippi State on the spread at -9.5. On the face of it, this seems a generous line and odds of -105 can be backed for this college contest.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our college basketball predictions.

Key LSU vs Mississippi State stats:

• The +9.5 line hasn’t been covered by LSU in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +9.5 line hasn’t been covered by LSU in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +9.5 line hasn’t been covered by LSU in 3 consecutive games.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by MS State in 4 consecutive games against LSU.

Mississippi State -9.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

Best Bet

Mississippi State -9.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cam Carter Under 16.5 Points -125

Cam Carter (LSU) is available at -125 to record Under 16.5 points. We’re happy to take this selection when it comes to him failing to cover the total on Player Points.

Latest Cam Carter Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-106

Under 16.5

-122

Assists

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-172

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+113

Under 4.5

-147

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Josh Hubbard Under 2.5 Rebounds +120

Josh Hubbard (Mississippi State) can be backed to finish with Under 2.5 rebounds at +120. We’re pretty confident that this Player Rebounds wager will end up falling short of the line.

Latest Josh Hubbard Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-102

Under 19.5

-127

Assists

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-127

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+123

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Correct Score Prediction

LSU 69 - 82 Mississippi State

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then Mississippi State to enjoy a 82-69 win could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

LSU vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mississippi State Big Favorites on the Moneyline

The favorites are 82% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds, with Mississippi State priced at -455 to triumph in this college game. LSU are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +340.

The spread is currently 9.5, with the total points line at 145.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 145.5 at -110.

In the Race to 20 Points betting, Mississippi State are favorites and they can be backed at -230 to attain this total first. If you want to back LSU, then odds of +165 can be found.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball bets. The betting sites offer a nice selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

LSU

+340

MS State

-455

Point Spread

LSU +9.5

-115

MS State -9.5

-105

Total Points

Under 145.5

-110

Over 145.5

-110

Josh Hubbard Favorite to Score the Most Points

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Josh Hubbard is available at -102 to rack up Over 19.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -127 is available.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 19.5

-102

Under 19.5

-127

Cam Carter (LSU)

Over 16.5

-106

Under 16.5

-122

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 14.5

+117

Under 14.5

-152

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 10.5

-111

Under 10.5

-116

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-122

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 7.5

-111

Under 7.5

-116

Dji Bailey (LSU)

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-108

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-127

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

Cam Carter (LSU)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-172

Dji Bailey (LSU)

Over 2.5

+141

Under 2.5

-185

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-167

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 7.5

-118

Under 7.5

-110

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 6.5

-141

Under 6.5

+108

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 5.5

+103

Under 5.5

-133

Cam Carter (LSU)

Over 4.5

+113

Under 4.5

-147

Dji Bailey (LSU)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-130

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+123

Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

LSU Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 144.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 146.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 66.20 pts and allowed 75.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 66.10 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.10 pts and allowed 82.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.20 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Alabama	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Arkansas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Auburn	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Georgia	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Kentucky	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
LSU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Ole Miss	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Mississippi State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Missouri	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oklahoma	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
South Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Tennessee	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas A&M	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Vanderbilt	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak