Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Mar 2025

Don’t Write Off Heat For This Contest

Our betting prediction is that the Heat will be able to cover the spread against the Grizzlies, with +8 looking favorable for our wager. Take the -108 that is currently available.

105-96 Victory for Grizzlies in Pair’s Previous H2H

Miami Heat suffered a sixth consecutive defeat when losing 103-91 in their previous game. This was at home to Boston Celtics at Kaseya Center. Andrew Wiggins scored 23 points, with Tyler Herro getting 19 and Jaime Jaquez Jr. 13.

Memphis Grizzlies lost when they last took to the court. At FedExForum, they were turned over 133-124 at home to Cleveland Cavaliers. Ja Morant was able to score 44 points, with Brandon Clarke getting 13 and Jaren Jackson Jr. 13.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Grizzlies beat the Heat when the teams last met. It was a 105-96 scoreline at Kaseya Center. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Grizzlies victories.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L

View Full Standings

3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 109.1 points, 39.6 rebounds, 28.5 assists, 8.4 steals and 3.5 blocks while shooting 48.6% from the field and 76.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 109.4 points and 41.5 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.0 points and 9.9 rebounds, Tyler Herro 5.8 assists and Duncan Robinson 3.5 (44.3%) 3-pointers.

The Grizzlies have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 122.0 points, 46.8 rebounds, 28.3 assists, 9.0 steals and 5.4 blocks per game while shooting 47.4% from the field and 85.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 122.5 points and 42.7 rebounds.

Ja Morant is averaging 24.2 points and 6.1 assists, while Desmond Bane has an average of 7.4 rebounds and Jaylen Wells 1.7 (30.4%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Duncan Robinson.

Memphis Grizzlies lineup: Jaylen Wells, Luke Kennard, Jaren Jackson Jr., Zach Edey, Desmond Bane.

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Picks

There’s a great opportunity to back Heat against the spread here. The underdogs should be able to produce a solid performance in this NBA matchup, with +8 making lots appeal at -108.

We use the latest injury information to come up with the best possible NBA picks. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Heat vs Grizzlies stats:

• The +8 line has been covered by Heat in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +8 line has been covered by Heat in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Grizzlies in any of their last 5 games at home.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Grizzlies in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Grizzlies in 9 consecutive games at home.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Grizzlies in 6 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Heat +8 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 51.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

Best Bet

Heat +8 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tyler Herro Over 22.5 Points -110

Tyler Herro (Heat) has averaged 29.75 points in the past 4 games on the road. We think that the line looks really appealing at -110 for this Player Points wager as we’re expecting him to cover this total.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 22.5

-127

Under 22.5

-106

Assists

Over 6.5

+120

Under 6.5

-161

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-167

Under 4.5

+125

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Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 Rebounds +106

Duncan Robinson (Heat) has secured Over 2.5 rebounds in 4 straight games on the road. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this line making appeal at odds of +106.

Latest Duncan Robinson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

+102

Under 11.5

-135

Assists

Over 2.5

+139

Under 2.5

-182

Rebounds

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-137

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Correct Score Prediction

Heat 115 - 118 Grizzlies

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Grizzlies landing a 118-115 win. This correct score prediction is available at tasty odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Grizzlies Win on the Cards According to the Books

With a 70% chance of securing victory, Memphis Grizzlies are favorites for this NBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -238. At +195, Miami Heat are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 6 and the total points line is 224.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you want to wager Over 224.5, there are odds of -112.

If you’re keen on the Grizzlies reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -155 to oblige. Conversely, the Heat can be backed at +125 to make this total first.

The betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Heat

+195

Grizzlies

-238

Point Spread

Heat +6

-110

Grizzlies -6

-110

Total Points

Under 224.5

-108

Over 224.5

-112

Ja Morant Favorite to Get Most Points

Ja Morant is favorite when it comes to landing the most baskets. You can get -118 that he goes Over 23.5 points and -114 when it comes to Under.

Ja Morant (Grizzlies)

Over 23.5

-118

Under 23.5

-114

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 22.5

-127

Under 22.5

-106

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 20.5

-118

Under 20.5

-114

Jaren Jackson Jr (Grizzlies)

Over 20.5

-108

Under 20.5

-123

Desmond Bane (Grizzlies)

Over 19.5

-118

Under 19.5

-114

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 16.5

-130

Under 16.5

-103

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 11.5

+102

Under 11.5

-135

Jaylen Wells (Grizzlies)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-133

Zach Edey (Grizzlies)

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-110

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-133

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 6.5

-109

Under 6.5

-120

Ja Morant (Grizzlies)

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-130

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 6.5

+120

Under 6.5

-161

Desmond Bane (Grizzlies)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-120

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-143

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+116

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+116

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 2.5

+139

Under 2.5

-182

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

+107

Zach Edey (Grizzlies)

Over 7.5

-106

Under 7.5

-125

Desmond Bane (Grizzlies)

Over 6.5

+114

Under 6.5

-152

Jaren Jackson Jr (Grizzlies)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-118

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-147

Ja Morant (Grizzlies)

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-118

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 4.5

-167

Under 4.5

+125

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-100

Jaylen Wells (Grizzlies)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-123

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-137

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Memphis Grizzlies Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 229.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 227.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 233.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 233.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.70 pts and allowed 117.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 119.10 pts and allowed 108.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 231.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 238.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 233.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 233.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.20 pts and allowed 118.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 120.80 pts and allowed 117.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.70 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.20 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 12.30 (69.89%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.6, Offensive 11.80, Defensive 33.80
• Assists: 26.50
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 7.00
• Turnovers : 13.80
• Personal Fouls: 16.40

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.50 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.50 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.60 (73.74%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.3, Offensive 12.10, Defensive 34.20
• Assists: 29.30
• Blocks: 4.30
• Steals: 8.70
• Turnovers : 12.20
• Personal Fouls: 15.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.80 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.50 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.10 (83.03%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.3, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 33.00
• Assists: 23.70
• Blocks: 5.70
• Steals: 6.60
• Turnovers : 16.30
• Personal Fouls: 21.60

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.70 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.80 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (82.57%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.7, Offensive 10.10, Defensive 34.60
• Assists: 26.10
• Blocks: 6.10
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 14.00
• Personal Fouls: 22.00

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies Confirmed Lineup

0 Jaylen Wells

10 Luke Kennard

13 Jaren Jackson Jr.

14 Zach Edey

22 Desmond Bane

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

22 Andrew Wiggins

55 Duncan Robinson

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak