Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Feb 2025

Big Win on the Cards for Thunder?

Our prediction is that the Thunder will get the better of the Heat by a significant margin. With this in mind, let’s go for them on the spread at -12.5 which is currently available at odds of -110.

Thunder Beat Heat When Teams Last Met

Miami Heat have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Boston Celtics by a 103-85 scoreline at Kaseya Center. Bam Adebayo scored 22 points, with Alec Burks getting 13 and Andrew Wiggins 11.

Oklahoma City Thunder have enjoyed six straight wins, most recently beating New Orleans Pelicans 137-101. It was a home success at Paycom Center. On the points front, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 31, Aaron Wiggins 24 and Jalen Williams 16.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 104-97 triumph when facing the Heat at Kaseya Center. The Thunder have beaten the Heat on three consecutive occasions. Going back over 10 meetings, they have lost 6 of the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 104.8 points, 46.4 rebounds, 26.3 assists, 5.2 steals and 3.7 blocks while shooting 43.4% from the field and 80.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 112.5 points and 47.0 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.8 points and 11.2 rebounds, Tyler Herro 6.5 assists and Nikola Jovic 2.6 (41.3%) 3-pointers.

The Thunder have won 8 and lost 2 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 125.7 points, 48.0 rebounds, 26.4 assists, 9.8 steals and 4.9 blocks per game while shooting 48.3% from the field and 81.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 109.6 points and 41.4 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 37.3 points and 5.3 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein has an average of 9.4 rebounds and Aaron Wiggins 2.3 (37.7%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

Thunder should enjoy a big win in this NBA contest and that’s why we’re taking the -12.5 about them on the spread. We expect the big favorites to cover the line at -110.

We take note of any injuries affecting each franchise before going ahead with our NBA predictions. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the basketball action.

Key Heat vs Thunder stats:

• The -12.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -12.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -12.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 2 consecutive games.
• The +12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 2 consecutive games.

Thunder -12.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Best Bet

Thunder -12.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aaron Wiggins Over 12.5 Points -109

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder) has scored an average of 22.6 points in the past 5 games at home. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -109 to cover the line.

Latest Aaron Wiggins Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-118

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

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Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Assists -149

Tyler Herro (Heat) has covered the 5.5 assists total in 5 straight games on the road. We think it makes sense to stick with him when it comes to Overs and bettors are able to get odds of -149.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-105

Under 21.5

-127

Assists

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+114

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+112

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Correct Score Prediction

Heat 104 - 121 Thunder

The Thunder are capable of landing a victory and we’re going for a correct score line of 121-104 at huge odds. There’s a big return that can be achieved with this wager.

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Thunder Big Favorites

The favorites are 89% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds, with Oklahoma City Thunder priced at -833 to triumph in this NBA game. The market suggests that Miami Heat are least likely to win at +570.

The spread is 14 and the total points line is currently 223. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re wanting to back Over 223, the odds are -110.

If you’re keen on the Thunder reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -280 to oblige. Conversely, the Heat can be backed at +215 to make this total first.

You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every contest, with the betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Heat

+570

Thunder

-833

Point Spread

Heat +14

-110

Thunder -14

-110

Total Points

Under 223

-110

Over 223

-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -112 that he gets Over 32.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -118.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 32.5

-112

Under 32.5

-118

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 21.5

-105

Under 21.5

-127

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-118

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-120

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 15.5

-128

Under 15.5

-104

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-118

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 11.5

-105

Under 11.5

-123

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 10.5

-127

Under 10.5

-105

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-127

Under 10.5

-105

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-125

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 7.5

-116

Under 7.5

-111

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-125

Under 6.5

-108

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+116

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+114

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+123

Under 5.5

-164

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-175

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-143

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-120

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-118

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+110

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

+102

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+112

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-108

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-120

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-110

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 217.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 212.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 218: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 218 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 104.80 pts and allowed 112.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 104.70 pts and allowed 107.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 235.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 233.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 218: Covered in the previous 10 games
• Over 218 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 125.70 pts and allowed 109.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 127.10 pts and allowed 106.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 24.70 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.60 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.60 (80.66%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.4, Offensive 10.70, Defensive 35.70
• Assists: 26.30
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 5.20
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 15.50

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 22.90 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.70 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.80 (80.43%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.8, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 36.30
• Assists: 25.90
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 6.80
• Turnovers : 15.20
• Personal Fouls: 15.50

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.80 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.70 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (81.82%)
• Rebounds: Total 48, Offensive 14.50, Defensive 33.50
• Assists: 26.40
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 9.80
• Turnovers : 10.30
• Personal Fouls: 21.00

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.50 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 16.30 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 15.20 (83.52%)
• Rebounds: Total 46, Offensive 11.80, Defensive 34.20
• Assists: 27.40
• Blocks: 5.40
• Steals: 10.90
• Turnovers : 10.90
• Personal Fouls: 20.00

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

8 Jalen Williams

21 Aaron Wiggins

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

22 Andrew Wiggins

45 Davion Mitchell

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak