Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Mar 2025

The Value Lies With Under 152.5

We’re not sure that Michigan State and Iowa will reach a certain points threshold. Our prediction is to take the -110 that there are Under 152.5 points.

Iowa 78-71 Winners in Most Recent H2H

Michigan State Spartans claimed a victory in their previous game. A 71-62 home win occurred against Wisconsin Badgers.

Iowa Hawkeyes were beaten last game and this was on the road. Northwestern Wildcats claimed a 68-57 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Iowa have claimed victory in the last two matchups against Michigan State. They won 112-106 (OT) at home and 78-71 on the road. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction & Picks

Play the Unders at -110 when these college teams take to the court. The 152.5 points line looks plenty big enough and we’re not sure the pair will combine to get this total.

The college basketball forecasts are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant stats to get the full picture.

Key Michigan State vs Iowa stats:

• The 152.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 MSU games.
• The 152.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 MSU games.
• The 152.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 MSU games.
• The 152.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Iowa games.

Under 152.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

The top sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under wager. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.

Best Bet

Under 152.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Dix Under 14.5 Points -122

Josh Dix (Iowa) can be wagered to record Under 14.5 points at -122. It’s anticipated that his Player Points are going to fall below the total, with this bet offering plenty of appeal.

Latest Josh Dix Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

+108

Under 14.5

-141

Assists

Over 2.5

+141

Under 2.5

-185

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-122

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Jase Richardson Under 14.5 Points -118

Jase Richardson (Michigan State) is available at -118 to record Under 14.5 points. There could well be a failure on his part to cover the total and this looks pretty generous to us.

Latest Jase Richardson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-115

Assists

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-172

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Correct Score Prediction

Michigan State 80 - 69 Iowa

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then Michigan State to enjoy a 80-69 win could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

Michigan State vs Iowa Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Have Michigan State as Favorites

Michigan State have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 74% probability due to their -286 Moneyline betting odds. Iowa are the underdogs at +225 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 154.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 154.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Favorites Michigan State are available at odds of -190 when it comes to beating the opposition to 20 points. Iowa are chalked up at +140 to reach this total first.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball contest, visit the betting sites and check out the wide range of team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

MSU

-286

Iowa

+225

Point Spread

MSU -6.5

-118

Iowa +6.5

-104

Total Points

Under 154.5

-110

Over 154.5

-110

Payton Sandfort Favorite to Score the Most Points

Payton Sandfort is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -111 that he gets Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -116.

Payton Sandfort (Iowa)

Over 16.5

-111

Under 16.5

-116

Jase Richardson (MSU)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-115

Josh Dix (Iowa)

Over 14.5

+108

Under 14.5

-141

Jaden Akins (MSU)

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-118

Drew Thelwell (Iowa)

Over 10.5

-115

Under 10.5

-112

Tre Holloman (MSU)

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-132

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 8.5

-115

Under 8.5

-112

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 6.5

+106

Under 6.5

-137

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 4.5

-167

Under 4.5

+127

Tre Holloman (MSU)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-112

Payton Sandfort (Iowa)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-119

Jase Richardson (MSU)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Josh Dix (Iowa)

Over 2.5

+141

Under 2.5

-185

Drew Thelwell (Iowa)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-116

Jaden Akins (MSU)

Over 1.5

+124

Under 1.5

-161

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-120

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+113

Payton Sandfort (Iowa)

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-143

Jase Richardson (MSU)

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-172

Jaden Akins (MSU)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-106

Josh Dix (Iowa)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-122

Drew Thelwell (Iowa)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-127

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan State Stats

Iowa Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 143.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 152.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.90 pts and allowed 63.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.90 pts and allowed 68.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 161.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 152.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.50 pts and allowed 80.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 77.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Indiana	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Iowa	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Maryland	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Michigan	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Minnesota	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Nebraska	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Northwestern	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oregon	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Penn State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Purdue	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Rutgers	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
USC	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
UCLA	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Washington	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Wisconsin	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak