Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Mar 2025

Back Warriors to Run Their Opponents Close

The Warriors look a great play at +2.5 on the spread. They could beat the Bucks and the -110 about this selection makes lots of appeal.

Warriors Won 125-111 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Milwaukee Bucks lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Oklahoma City Thunder 121-105 at Fiserv Forum. Giannis Antetokounmpo shone on the court with a triple-double performance that featured 21 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists.

Golden State Warriors were beaten 114-105 at Chase Center in their last game, being turned over at home to Denver Nuggets. On the points front, Jimmy Butler recorded 23, Stephen Curry 20 and Gary Payton II 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Warriors have won the last two meetings against the Bucks. They triumphed 125-90 at Chase Center and then 125-111 at Fiserv Forum. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L

View Full Standings

The Bucks have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 119.7 points, 46.5 rebounds, 25.9 assists, 7.4 steals and 4.3 blocks while shooting 49.7% from the field and 81.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 114.1 points and 40.1 rebounds per contest.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.0 points, 12.6 rebounds and 7.0 assists, while Damian Lillard averages 3.1 (37.3%) 3-pointers made.

The Warriors have won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 117.1 points, 44.2 rebounds, 29.8 assists, 9.4 steals and 5.5 blocks per game while shooting 47.1% from the field and 81.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 110.5 points and 42.6 rebounds.

Stephen Curry is averaging 28.9 points, 6.3 assists and 5.1 (42.1%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green has an average of 7.3 rebounds.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks lineup: Damian Lillard, Brook Lopez, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma, Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler, Quinten Post, Draymond Green.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

We’re expecting a spirited performance from Warriors which leads us to backing the underdogs against the spread for this NBA matchup. They should be able to cover the +2.5 line where -110 can be found.

Our NBA picks are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.

Key Bucks vs Warriors stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by Warriors in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Warriors in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bucks in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bucks in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bucks in 2 consecutive games against Warriors.

Warriors +2.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your selection exceeds expectations.

Best Bet

Warriors +2.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brook Lopez Over 4.5 Rebounds -159

Brook Lopez (Bucks) has covered the 4.5 rebounds total in 5 straight road games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll wager him to cover the line which is available at odds of -159.

Latest Brook Lopez Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+116

Under 5.5

-154

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Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 6.5 Assists -103

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) has had Over 6.5 assists in 4 of the past 5 games. The line for him on the Overs has plenty of appeal, with bettors currently able to get odds of -103 for this happening.

Latest Giannis Antetokounmpo Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 27.5

-125

Under 27.5

-108

Assists

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-120

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Correct Score Prediction

Bucks 111 - 113 Warriors

The Warriors are available at huge odds to register a 113-111 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close contest and there won’t be much between the teams.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Affair Likely According to the Books

Sportsbooks’ favorites Milwaukee Bucks are regarded as likeliest victors for this NBA game and the -143 about them triumphing means a 59% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Golden State Warriors are trading at +120.

The spread is calculated to be 2.5, while total points comes in at 225.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you fancy Under 225.5, then the odds are -110.

The Bucks are -125 should you want to back the betting favorites in the Race to 20 points. The Warriors can be wagered at -105 to get to the 20-point mark first.

The betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Bucks

-143

Warriors

+120

Point Spread

Bucks -2.5

-110

Warriors +2.5

-110

Total Points

Under 225.5

-110

Over 225.5

-110

Giannis Antetokounmpo Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Giannis Antetokounmpo is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -125 that he scores Over 27.5 points or -108 that he goes Under.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)

Over 27.5

-125

Under 27.5

-108

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 24.5

-119

Under 24.5

-109

Damian Lillard (Bucks)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-120

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 20.5

-112

Under 20.5

-120

Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)

Over 16.5

-125

Under 16.5

-106

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 12.5

-125

Under 12.5

-106

Kyle Kuzma (Bucks)

Over 12.5

-125

Under 12.5

-106

Brook Lopez (Bucks)

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-114

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-100

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-100

Gary Trent Jr (Bucks)

Over 10.5

-127

Under 10.5

-106

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

+102

Kevin Porter Jr. (Bucks)

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-119

Taurean Prince (Bucks)

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-110

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-110

Damian Lillard (Bucks)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-123

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-123

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+118

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+114

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-137

Kevin Porter Jr. (Bucks)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-172

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-120

Kyle Kuzma (Bucks)

Over 6.5

+108

Under 6.5

-143

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-112

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-118

Brook Lopez (Bucks)

Over 5.5

+116

Under 5.5

-154

Damian Lillard (Bucks)

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-118

Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-106

Under 4.5

-125

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+106

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

+107

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-135

Kevin Porter Jr. (Bucks)

Over 3.5

+122

Under 3.5

-159

Taurean Prince (Bucks)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-109

Gary Trent Jr (Bucks)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-123

Micro Betting

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Milwaukee Bucks Stats

Golden State Warriors Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 233.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 225.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 231: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 231 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 119.70 pts and allowed 114.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 111.30 pts and allowed 114.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 227.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 223.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 231: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 231 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 117.10 pts and allowed 110.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 115.60 pts and allowed 107.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.40 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.30 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.00 (81.71%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.5, Offensive 8.60, Defensive 37.90
• Assists: 25.90
• Blocks: 4.30
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 13.50
• Personal Fouls: 16.40

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.50 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.30 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.40 (77.36%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.7, Offensive 8.60, Defensive 36.10
• Assists: 26.10
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 7.30
• Turnovers : 12.60
• Personal Fouls: 16.70

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.40 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.00 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.30 (80.99%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.2, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 32.60
• Assists: 29.80
• Blocks: 5.50
• Steals: 9.40
• Turnovers : 13.90
• Personal Fouls: 19.10

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.10 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.40 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.20 (76.81%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.2, Offensive 11.40, Defensive 33.80
• Assists: 29.60
• Blocks: 5.30
• Steals: 11.10
• Turnovers : 13.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.40

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup

2 Brandin Podziemski

4 Moses Moody

10 Jimmy Butler

21 Quinten Post

23 Draymond Green

Milwaukee Bucks Confirmed Lineup

0 Damian Lillard

11 Brook Lopez

12 Taurean Prince

18 Kyle Kuzma

34 Giannis Antetokounmpo

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	5	0	1	122.8	114	8.8	4-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	5-0	5W
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
76ers	4	1	0.8	125	120.8	4.2	2-1	2-0	1-1	4-1	4-1	1L
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	4	2	0.667	117.5	116.3	1.2	1-2	3-0	1-1	4-2	4-2	2W
Trail Blazers	4	2	0.667	121.2	116.7	4.5	2-1	2-1	2-1	4-2	4-2	3W
Nuggets	3	2	0.6	124	111.8	12.2	2-0	1-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Clippers	3	2	0.6	111.2	112	-0.8	3-0	0-2	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hawks	3	3	0.5	116.2	118.3	-2.1	0-2	3-1	1-0	3-2	3-3	2W
Celtics	3	3	0.5	113.3	107.3	6	1-1	2-2	1-2	2-3	3-3	3W
Cavaliers	3	3	0.5	113.7	114.7	-1	1-1	2-2	2-0	3-3	3-3	2L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Grizzlies	3	3	0.5	119	122	-3	2-2	1-1	1-0	2-2	3-3	1L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Knicks	2	3	0.4	113.4	115.4	-2	2-0	0-3	1-0	2-3	2-3	3L
Jazz	2	3	0.4	120.2	120.2	0	2-1	0-2	0-1	2-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Suns	2	4	0.333	116.3	121	-4.7	2-1	0-3	1-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Raptors	2	4	0.333	119.8	123.3	-3.5	0-2	2-2	0-0	2-1	2-4	1W
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L
Pacers	0	5	0	112.2	123.6	-11.4	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-1	0-5	5L
Pelicans	0	5	0	108	123.6	-15.6	0-2	0-3	0-2	0-4	0-5	5L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak