Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 May 2025

Mercury Should Put Up a Fight

The Mercury look a great play at +3.5 on the spread. They could beat the Lynx and the -108 about this selection makes lots of appeal.

8 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Games for Lynx

Minnesota Lynx won their previous game, beating Seattle Storm at home. It was a 82-77 win at Target Center.

Phoenix Mercury won their last game which was at home. It was a 94-89 triumph at Footprint Center against Chicago Sky.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 101-88 win for the Lynx at Target Center when they last played the Mercury. The Lynx have enjoyed four consecutive victories against the Mercury. They’ve landed 8 wins from the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	30	8	3288	2927	361	18-2	12-6	1L
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W

View Full Standings

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

A spread of +3.5 looks an awesome number for Mercury in this WNBA matchup. Take the betting odds of -108 that this attractive line gets covered.

The basketball predictions are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the WNBA action might play out.

Key Lynx vs Mercury stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Lynx in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Mercury +3.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There’s the opportunity to sell points and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the bet. It means a riskier wager but a bigger return on the odds available.

Best Bet

Mercury +3.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Alanna Smith Under 11.5 Points -116

Alanna Smith (Lynx) can be backed to record Under 11.5 points at -116. We’re expecting her to fall short of the Player Points line which makes an Unders bet really appealing.

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Kayla McBride Over 14.5 Points -116

Kayla McBride (Lynx) is available at -116 to score Over 14.5 points. We’re happy to take this Player Points prop bet as she is capable of a big performance.

Correct Score Prediction

Lynx 80 - 83 Mercury

We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Mercury to win 83-80. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Lynx Could Have the Edge Say the Books

Sportsbooks’ favorites Minnesota Lynx are regarded as likeliest victors for this WNBA game and the -213 about them triumphing means a 68% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Phoenix Mercury are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +172.

The spread is 5 and the total points line is currently 156.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. The Over 156.5 selection is available to back at -112.

The good news is that you can access a huge selection of game lines and team props for most basketball contests. The betting sites have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Lynx

-213

Mercury

+172

Point Spread

Lynx -5

-110

Mercury +5

-110

Total Points

Under 156.5

-108

Over 156.5

-112

Satou Sabally Favorite to Get Most Points

Satou Sabally is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -118 that she gets Over 21.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -115.

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 21.5

-118

Under 21.5

-115

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 15.5

-111

Under 15.5

-122

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 14.5

-119

Under 14.5

-114

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-125

Under 13.5

-109

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 11.5

-105

Under 11.5

-128

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+108

Under 7.5

-147

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+110

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-104

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-102

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-137

Under 7.5

-100

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-147

Under 7.5

+108

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+104

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+114

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Lynx Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 162.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.40 pts and allowed 72.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.10 pts and allowed 77.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 172.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 167.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 162.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 90.30 pts and allowed 82.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.70 pts and allowed 80.40 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	30	8	3288	2927	361	18-2	12-6	1L
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
3  Dream	24	14	3154	2930	224	12-6	12-8	1L
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W
6  Fever	20	18	3242	3137	105	11-9	9-9	1W
7  Storm	21	19	3300	3207	93	8-10	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	19	18	2898	2872	26	10-7	9-11	1W
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	23	3054	3165	-111	10-10	6-13	5L
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W
12  Sky	9	29	2888	3274	-386	5-15	4-14	3L
13  Wings	9	30	3191	3424	-233	5-16	4-14	6L