Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 May 2025

Thunder Worthy Favorites

No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 24-17 Away) play No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 35-6 at Home) in game 1 of this Western Conference finals matchup at Paycom Center.

The Thunder should secure a comfortable victory and a wager on the spread could be the best way forward. Back this selection off -7.5 to cover the line against the Wolves at -110.

Wolves Overtime Victory in Last H2H

Minnesota Timberwolves made it four consecutive wins after a 121-110 home success over Golden State Warriors at Target Center. Julius Randle scored 29 points, with Anthony Edwards getting 22 and Rudy Gobert 17.

Oklahoma City Thunder have enjoyed three consecutive home wins at Paycom Center. Last time out, Denver Nuggets were beaten 125-93. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had 35 points, Jalen Williams scored 24, while Chet Holmgren racked up 13 points and 11 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Wolves beat the Thunder in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 131-128 (OT) scoreline at Paycom Center. We’ve seen six Wolves wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Wolves have 8 wins and 2 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 108.2 points, 40.1 rebounds, 23.5 assists, 7.8 steals and 4.1 blocks while shooting 46.4% from the field and 76.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 101.1 points and 38.1 rebounds per contest.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 24.3 points, 5.9 assists and 3.5 (39.3%) 3-pointers made, while Rudy Gobert averages 9.1 rebounds.

The Thunder have won 7 and lost 3 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 115.7 points, 45.4 rebounds, 24.5 assists, 10.5 steals and 5.9 blocks per game while shooting 44.9% from the field and 76.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 106.6 points and 48.1 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.4 points and 6.5 assists, while Chet Holmgren has an average of 9.7 rebounds and Alex Caruso 2.0 (41.7%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

We are confident that the favorites will cover the spread in this NBA contest. -7.5 seems a generous line and you can get -110 that Thunder will win by a bigger margin.

The NBA predictions are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant stats to get the full picture.

Key Timberwolves vs Thunder stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 7 of their last 10 games at home.

Thunder -7.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your selection exceeds expectations.

Best Bet

Thunder -7.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 Points -106

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder) has scored Over 9.5 points in 4 straight home games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of -106 that he is able to cover the line when it comes to wagering on Player Points.

Latest Isaiah Hartenstein Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-120

Assists

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-106

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-108

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Anthony Edwards Under 26.5 Points -123

Anthony Edwards (Wolves) has totaled an average of 21.8 points in the past 5 games. It’s anticipated that he might once again fall short of the mark and this Player Points wager is available at -123.

Latest Anthony Edwards Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 26.5

-108

Under 26.5

-123

Assists

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+118

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

+102

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Correct Score Prediction

Timberwolves 105 - 116 Thunder

The Thunder might be able to claim a win and we’re siding with a 116-105 scoreline in their favor. A small stake can provide a big return and there are tasty odds available.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Have Thunder as Favorites

Oklahoma City Thunder are regarded as having a 75% chance of winning this NBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -294. At +235, Minnesota Timberwolves are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

7 is the spread and 219 is the total points line. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you’re going for Over 219, then the odds are -110.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the hundreds of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Timberwolves

+235

Thunder

-294

Point Spread

Timberwolves +7

-110

Thunder -7

-110

Total Points

Under 219

-110

Over 219

-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -127 that he scores Over 31.5 points or -105 that he goes Under.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 31.5

-127

Under 31.5

-105

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 26.5

-108

Under 26.5

-123

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

-108

Under 20.5

-125

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 19.5

-120

Under 19.5

-110

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 14.5

-123

Under 14.5

-108

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 13.5

-108

Under 13.5

-123

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-110

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-114

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-120

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-120

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-123

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-130

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-103

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-132

Under 5.5

-100

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-115

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-125

Under 6.5

-106

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+118

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+115

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+118

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-120

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+128

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-106

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-108

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

+144

Under 1.5

-189

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-130

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-145

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

+139

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Timberwolves)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

+120

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

+110

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-118

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-108

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-133

Under 8.5

+102

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 7.5

+108

Under 7.5

-143

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

+102

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-106

Under 5.5

-127

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+114

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+112

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-104

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-159

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+114

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

+120

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+107

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Timberwolves)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+105

Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Timberwolves Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 217.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 214.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 220.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 220.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 110.80 pts and allowed 106.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 107.30 pts and allowed 106.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 226.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 220.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 220.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 115.00 pts and allowed 108.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 122.10 pts and allowed 104.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.20 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.40 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.20 (76.06%)
• Rebounds: Total 41, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 29.40
• Assists: 24.70
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 6.70
• Turnovers : 15.10
• Personal Fouls: 19.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 24.80 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.20 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.10 (79.39%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.7, Offensive 11.40, Defensive 31.30
• Assists: 23.20
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 5.70
• Turnovers : 14.40
• Personal Fouls: 21.40

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.10 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.00 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.80 (79.32%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.5, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 24.90
• Blocks: 4.30
• Steals: 10.30
• Turnovers : 11.40
• Personal Fouls: 22.00

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.50 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.70 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (80.36%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.9, Offensive 11.40, Defensive 33.50
• Assists: 27.00
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 10.70
• Turnovers : 9.50
• Personal Fouls: 20.50

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup

3 Jaden McDaniels

5 Anthony Edwards

10 Mike Conley

27 Rudy Gobert

30 Julius Randle

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak