Mississippi State vs Arkansas Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Mar 2025

We Could See Lots of Points Scored

Mississippi State and Arkansas are capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 149.5 as a great pick at odds of -110.

7 Wins for Mississippi State in Past 9 H2H Matchups

Mississippi State Bulldogs were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Texas Longhorns by a 87-82 (OT) scoreline.

Arkansas Razorbacks triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Vanderbilt Commodores were beaten 90-77.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Mississippi State have beaten Arkansas in their last two matchups. On the road, they won 70-64 and followed up with a 71-67 home win. The previous 9 H2H meetings have involved Mississippi State winning seven times.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arkansas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Mississippi State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

View Full Standings

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Prediction & Picks

We’re forecasting that the two teams will produce a significant combined points total in this college game. Therefore, our pick is to take the -110 that there are Over 149.5 points.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making college basketball predictions. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Mississippi State vs Arkansas stats:

• The 149.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 MS State games.
• The 149.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 MS State games.
• The 149.5 line has been covered in the last 4 MS State games.
• The 149.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Arkansas games at home.
• The 149.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Arkansas games at home.

Over 149.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball bet.

Want more juice from your Over bet on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier wager. You can choose from a range of options.

Best Bet

Over 149.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Riley Kugel Over 3.5 Rebounds -135

Riley Kugel (Mississippi State) can be backed to total Over 3.5 rebounds at -135. The best bet could be to go for a Player Rebounds wager as we think he’ll cover the total.

Latest Riley Kugel Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-119

Assists

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-123

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

RJ Melendez Over 8.5 Points -125

RJ Melendez (Mississippi State) is available at -125 to register Over 8.5 points. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.

Latest RJ Melendez Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-115

Under 8.5

-112

Assists

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+120

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-100

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Mississippi State 74 - 79 Arkansas

Rather than betting on Arkansas to win, there’s the option to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 79-74 triumph in their favor.

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Little Between the Two Teams According to the Books

You can choose Arkansas at -114 or alternatively Mississippi State who have betting odds of -105. In the eyes of the leading sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 53% likely to claim a victory.

The spread currently stands at 1.5 and the total points line is 149.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re going for Over 149.5, then the odds are -105.

There’s a chance to back Arkansas at -130 to reach the 20-point total before their opponents. Should you want to go against the favorites, Mississippi State are available at -110.

If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

MS State

-105

Arkansas

-114

Point Spread

MS State +1.5

-120

Arkansas -1.5

-102

Total Points

Under 149.5

-115

Over 149.5

-105

Josh Hubbard Favorite to Get Most Points

Josh Hubbard is favorite when it comes to landing the most baskets. You can get -112 that he goes Over 18.5 points and -115 when it comes to Under.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-115

Johnell Davis (Arkansas)

Over 16.5

-110

Under 16.5

-118

Zvonimir Ivisic (Arkansas)

Over 13.5

-116

Under 13.5

-111

D.J. Wagner (Arkansas)

Over 13.5

-111

Under 13.5

-116

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 12.5

-120

Under 12.5

-108

Karter Knox (Arkansas)

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-127

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-119

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 8.5

-115

Under 8.5

-112

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 6.5

-105

Under 6.5

-123

D.J. Wagner (Arkansas)

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-127

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

-192

Under 2.5

+145

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 2.5

-172

Under 2.5

+133

Johnell Davis (Arkansas)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+152

Zvonimir Ivisic (Arkansas)

Over 1.5

+141

Under 1.5

-185

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-172

Karter Knox (Arkansas)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-118

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-123

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+120

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 7.5

+109

Under 7.5

-141

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 6.5

-105

Under 6.5

-123

Zvonimir Ivisic (Arkansas)

Over 5.5

-119

Under 5.5

-109

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-100

Johnell Davis (Arkansas)

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+123

Karter Knox (Arkansas)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-108

D.J. Wagner (Arkansas)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-123

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Stats

Arkansas Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 148.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 149.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.30 pts and allowed 81.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 72.50 pts and allowed 75.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 148.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 149.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.00 pts and allowed 74.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.50 pts and allowed 71.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Alabama	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Arkansas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Auburn	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Georgia	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Kentucky	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
LSU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Ole Miss	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Mississippi State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Missouri	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oklahoma	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
South Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Tennessee	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas A&M	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Vanderbilt	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak