Mount St. Mary's vs Duke Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025

Side With Mount St. Mary's and Take a Big Line

No. 16 Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (23-12, 15-8 MAAC) play No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (31-3, 22-1 ACC) in this East Region first round game at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina.

Our prediction is that Mount St. Mary's might not be beaten heavily by Duke. The underdogs have been afforded a generous +32.5 and we recommend backing them at -115.

Both Teams Victorious in Last Game

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers won 83-72 against American Eagles in their previous game.

Duke Blue Devils won their last game which was at home. It was a 73-62 triumph against Louisville Cardinals.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Mount St. Mary's	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

View Full Standings

Mount St. Mary's vs Duke Prediction & Picks

We’ve smashed into the underdogs +32.5 and this spread wager at -115 means we need Mount St. Mary's to avoid a heavy defeat in this college contest.

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making college basketball predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Mount St. Mary's vs Duke stats:

• The +32.5 line has been covered by St. Mary's in all of their last 10 games.
• The +32.5 line has been covered by St. Mary's in all of their last 5 games.
• The +32.5 line has been covered by St. Mary's in 17 consecutive games.
• The -32.5 line hasn’t been covered by Duke in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -32.5 line hasn’t been covered by Duke in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -32.5 line hasn’t been covered by Duke in 4 consecutive games.

Mount St. Mary's +32.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier wager.

Best Bet

Mount St. Mary's +32.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dallas Hobbs Over 9.5 Points -120

Dallas Hobbs (Mount St. Mary's) is available at -120 to record Over 9.5 points. We think that the line looks really appealing for this Player Points bet as we’re expecting him to cover this total.

Latest Dallas Hobbs Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-116

Under 10.5

-111

Assists

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+117

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+125

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Kon Knueppel Under 3.5 Assists -159

Kon Knueppel (Duke) is available at -159 to rack up Under 3.5 assists. He might fall short when it comes to covering the Player Assists line and we’re confident when it comes to this prop bet.

Latest Kon Knueppel Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

+110

Under 16.5

-143

Assists

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-152

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

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Correct Score Prediction

Mount St. Mary's 53 - 81 Duke

Should you want a bet that can land a monster return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Back Duke to win 81-53 and leverage a huge payout if this happens.

Mount St. Mary's vs Duke Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Not Prepared to Lay Duke

It’s no surprise to find the Moneyline either uncompetitive or not available with many sportsbooks. However, there is a spread where favorites Duke and their opponents feature and bettors can work out where the value lies.

The current spread is 32.5 and the total points line is 140.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 140.5 can find odds of -105 available.

Those wanting to back Duke to win the Race to 20 betting can get odds of -5000 that the favorites oblige. If you want to back Mount St. Mary's, then odds of +1000 can be found.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The betting sites have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

St. Mary's

-

Duke

-

Point Spread

St. Mary's +32.5

-115

Duke -32.5

-105

Total Points

Under 140.5

-105

Over 140.5

-115

Cooper Flagg Favorite to Score the Most Points

Cooper Flagg is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back +118 that he gets Over 17.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -154.

Cooper Flagg (Duke)

Over 17.5

+118

Under 17.5

-154

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 16.5

+110

Under 16.5

-143

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 12.5

+118

Under 12.5

-154

Dola Adebayo (St. Mary's)

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-110

Dallas Hobbs (St. Mary's)

Over 10.5

-116

Under 10.5

-111

Khaman Maluach (Duke)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-105

Sion James (Duke)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Jedy Cordilia (St. Mary's)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Cooper Flagg (Duke)

Over 4.5

-101

Under 4.5

-128

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-152

Sion James (Duke)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-116

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-116

Dallas Hobbs (St. Mary's)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+117

Khaman Maluach (Duke)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-130

Khaman Maluach (Duke)

Over 8.5

+120

Under 8.5

-156

Cooper Flagg (Duke)

Over 7.5

+113

Under 7.5

-147

Dola Adebayo (St. Mary's)

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-143

Jedy Cordilia (St. Mary's)

Over 5.5

-137

Under 5.5

+106

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

Sion James (Duke)

Over 3.5

-175

Under 3.5

+135

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

+106

Dallas Hobbs (St. Mary's)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+125

Micro Betting

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mount St. Mary's Stats

Duke Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +32.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -32.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 133.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 140.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.20 pts and allowed 64.30 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 140.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.30 pts and allowed 65.60 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Boston College	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Notre Dame	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia Tech	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Syracuse	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Stanford	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
SMU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Pittsburgh	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
North Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
California	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
NC State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Miami	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Louisville	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Duke	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Clemson	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Wake Forest	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

Metro Atlantic Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Canisius	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Fairfield	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Iona	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Manhattan	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Marist	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Merrimack	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Mount St. Mary's	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Niagara	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Quinnipiac	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Rider	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Sacred Heart	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Siena	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Saint Peter's	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak