New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Jun 2025

Liberty to Come Out on Top

The wager we really like is the Liberty on the Moneyline. Our betting prediction is trading at -130 for them to beat the Mercury and this looks great value.

89-81 Victory for Mercury in Pair’s Last Matchup

New York Liberty triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Golden State Valkyries were beaten 81-78 at Chase Center.

Phoenix Mercury won last time out by a 107-86 scoreline. It was on the road against Chicago Sky at Wintrust Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury triumphed 89-81 when they last played the Liberty. This head-to-head was played at Barclays Center. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Liberty win six times.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W
5  Liberty	24	16	3405	3240	165	16-5	8-11	1L

View Full Standings

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Liberty are available at -130 when it comes to winning this WNBA contest. Our pick is that they’ll outscore the home team and there’s value available when it comes to these odds.

Sportsgambler.com boast basketball expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our WNBA predictions and we make sure that the most important stats are on hand.

Key Liberty vs Mercury stats:

• Liberty have won 15 of their last 20 games.
• Liberty have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Mercury have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Liberty.

Liberty Moneyline Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

We’d recommend taking a look at the Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score lines if you’re interested in siding with the Liberty but want bigger odds.

Best Bet

Liberty Moneyline @ -130 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Satou Sabally Under 18.5 Points -125

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be wagered to record Under 18.5 points at -125. It’s anticipated that her Player Points are going to fall below the total, with this bet offering plenty of appeal.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

+103

Under 18.5

-133

Assists

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-125

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Sabrina Ionescu Under 18.5 Points -105

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) can be backed to register Under 18.5 points at -105. Should you agree with our verdict that she doesn’t reach this total, you can go under the line.

Latest Sabrina Ionescu Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-130

Under 18.5

-100

Assists

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+120

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+109

Under 4.5

-141

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 82 - 80 Mercury

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Liberty landing a 82-80 win. This correct score prediction is available at tasty odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Anticipating a Tight Affair

Phoenix Mercury are on offer at -128 on the Moneyline if you want to back this franchise, with New York Liberty available at +104. The probability of the home team winning this WNBA game is 56% according to the sportsbooks.

The spread is calculated to be 1.5, while total points comes in at 168. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. There’s the chance to back Under 168 at -110.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Liberty

+104

Mercury

-128

Point Spread

Liberty +1.5

-112

Mercury -1.5

-108

Total Points

Under 168

-110

Over 168

-110

Breanna Stewart Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Breanna Stewart is the market leader to land the most baskets. She is priced at -102 to score Over 21.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -127.

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 21.5

-102

Under 21.5

-127

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 18.5

-130

Under 18.5

-100

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 18.5

+103

Under 18.5

-133

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-120

Under 15.5

-108

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 13.5

+103

Under 13.5

-133

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-105

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+107

Under 8.5

-139

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 6.5

+113

Under 6.5

-147

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+120

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-110

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-110

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-125

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 6.5

-156

Under 6.5

+120

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-172

Under 6.5

+132

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

+109

Under 4.5

-141

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-104

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-110

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+125

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Liberty Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 166: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 81.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 158.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 166: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.60 pts and allowed 77.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 75.40 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3382	2997	385	18-2	13-6	1W
2  Dream	26	14	3347	3084	263	13-6	13-8	2W
3  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W
5  Liberty	24	16	3405	3240	165	16-5	8-11	1L
6  Valkyries	21	18	3072	2997	75	12-7	9-11	3W
7  Storm	22	19	3379	3276	103	9-10	13-9	2W
8  Fever	21	19	3381	3287	94	11-9	10-10	1L
9  Sparks	18	20	3264	3344	-80	8-12	10-8	1W
10  Mystics	16	25	3194	3345	-151	10-10	6-15	7L
11  Sun	10	30	3052	3435	-383	6-14	4-16	2L
12  Sky	9	30	2957	3353	-396	5-15	4-15	4L
13  Wings	9	31	3269	3524	-255	5-16	4-15	7L