New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Aug 2025
WNBA Betting Preview: Liberty vs Mercury
The Liberty square off against the Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Saturday, August 30, 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.
Find Out Why Mercury Can Seal Victory
We are having a wager on the Mercury to beat the Liberty. You can back our prediction at -123 on the Moneyline and we think this offers great value.
Betting on Mercury to deliver? Be sure to read our expert review of BetMGM, then grab the latest promo code ahead of making your move.
Liberty Came Out on Top in Previous H2H
New York Liberty won their previous game which was at home. It was a 89-63 triumph at Barclays Center against Washington Mystics.
Phoenix Mercury won their last game which was at home. It was a 83-79 triumph at PHX Arena against Chicago Sky.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Liberty beat the Mercury when the teams last met. It was a 89-76 scoreline at Barclays Center. We’ve seen six Liberty wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
Mercury
|
24 | 14 | 3160 | 3042 | 118 | 13-6 | 11-8 | 3W |
5
Liberty
|
24 | 15 | 3342 | 3160 | 182 | 16-5 | 8-10 | 2W |
New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
Our New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.
Game Prediction
It’s time to side with Mercury to record a victory in this WNBA contest. They should have the upper hand and the -123 for our pick on the Moneyline looks a good price.
Our basketball picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each WNBA franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.
Key Liberty vs Mercury stats:
Mercury Moneyline Probability
The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 55.2% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this WNBA wager.
There’s a chance to back the Mercury at bigger odds against the spread. The sportbooks will create a series of lines and you can choose the one that makes the most appeal.
Stop! Before you bet, grab a top welcome bonus. Check out our guide for the latest betting offers available now.
Best Bet
Mercury Moneyline @ -123
Player Prop Picks
Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be backed to record Over 3.5 assists at +174. With some confidence, we can shoot for her to cover the generous Player Assists total.
Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at -114 to rack up Over 15.5 points. We have a strong conviction that she is able to cover the total when it comes to betting on Player Points.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
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Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Mercury on the moneyline, Under 166 on the total and Satou Sabally (Mercury) to have Over 3.5 assists.
There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
80
-
82
Mercury
Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Mercury to land a 82-80 win. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.
New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Moneyline Odds Suggest a Close Contest
You can choose Phoenix Mercury at -132 or alternatively New York Liberty who have betting odds of +108. The hosts have a 57% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular WNBA sportsbooks.
The spread currently stands at 1.5 and the total points line is 166.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to bet Under 166.5, there are odds of -112.
No matter if you're betting before the tip-off or during the live women's hoops action, the top basketball sportsbooks have you covered with countless game lines and team props. It’s a major advantage to have such a deep pool of options at your fingertips.
Kahleah Copper Favorite to Score the Most Baskets
Kahleah Copper is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -116 to score Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -111.
Micro Betting
Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on basketball. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.
Last 5 & H2H
- WNBA: 26/07 2025 Mercury 76 Liberty 89
- WNBA: 28/06 2025 Liberty 91 Mercury 106
- WNBA: 20/06 2025 Mercury 89 Liberty 81
- WNBA: 27/08 2024 Liberty 84 Mercury 70
- WNBA: 19/06 2024 Liberty 93 Mercury 99
- WNBA: 30/05 2024 Mercury 78 Liberty 81
- WNBA: 19/08 2023 Liberty 85 Mercury 63
- WNBA: 06/07 2023 Mercury 95 Liberty 99
- WNBA: 18/06 2023 Mercury 71 Liberty 89
- WNBA: 07/08 2022 Liberty 62 Mercury 76
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
New York Liberty Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 163.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 166: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 166 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 81.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 160.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 158.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 166: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 166 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.60 pts and allowed 77.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 75.40 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
30 | 8 | 3288 | 2927 | 361 | 18-2 | 12-6 | 1L |
2
Aces
|
26 | 14 | 3308 | 3263 | 45 | 14-5 | 12-9 | 12W |
3
Dream
|
24 | 14 | 3154 | 2930 | 224 | 12-6 | 12-8 | 1L |
|
4
Mercury
|
24 | 14 | 3160 | 3042 | 118 | 13-6 | 11-8 | 3W |
|
5
Liberty
|
24 | 15 | 3342 | 3160 | 182 | 16-5 | 8-10 | 2W |
6
Fever
|
20 | 18 | 3242 | 3137 | 105 | 11-9 | 9-9 | 1W |
7
Storm
|
21 | 19 | 3300 | 3207 | 93 | 8-10 | 13-9 | 1W |
8
Valkyries
|
19 | 18 | 2898 | 2872 | 26 | 10-7 | 9-11 | 1W |
9
Sparks
|
17 | 19 | 3108 | 3190 | -82 | 7-11 | 10-8 | 1L |
10
Mystics
|
16 | 23 | 3054 | 3165 | -111 | 10-10 | 6-13 | 5L |
11
Sun
|
10 | 28 | 2906 | 3248 | -342 | 6-12 | 4-16 | 1W |
12
Sky
|
9 | 29 | 2888 | 3274 | -386 | 5-15 | 4-14 | 3L |
13
Wings
|
9 | 30 | 3191 | 3424 | -233 | 5-16 | 4-14 | 6L |
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