North Carolina vs Duke Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Mar 2025

Duke Against the Spread Look the Value Bet

Our prediction is for Duke to cover the attractive -7.5 line when they face North Carolina. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -118 is available on the spread.

82-69 Win for Duke in Last H2H Clash

North Carolina Tar Heels got the win in their previous game. A 68-59 triumph occurred on the road when playing Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

Duke Blue Devils were winners last time out. It was a 78-70 home victory against Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Duke have landed back-to-back victories against North Carolina. A home matchup saw them triumph 87-70 and they won 82-69 on the road. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
North Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

View Full Standings

North Carolina vs Duke Prediction & Picks

The best betting angle could be Duke against the spread. You can land -118 that the market leaders are able to cover the -7.5 line and they are more than capable in this college contest.

The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing college basketball predictions. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we can make the best picks.

Key North Carolina vs Duke stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Duke in all of their last 10 games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Duke in all of their last 5 games.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Duke in 13 consecutive games at home.
• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by UNC in 2 consecutive games against Duke.

Duke -7.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your spread pick exceeds expectations.

Best Bet

Duke -7.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tyrese Proctor Over 15.5 Points -122

Tyrese Proctor (Duke) can be backed to rack up Over 15.5 points at -122. We think that the line looks really appealing for this Player Points bet as we’re expecting him to cover this total.

Latest Tyrese Proctor Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-115

Assists

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-116

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+126

Under 4.5

-164

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Isaiah Evans Over 12.5 Points -109

Isaiah Evans (Duke) is available at -109 to total Over 12.5 points. We have a strong conviction that he is able to cover the total when it comes to betting on Player Points.

Latest Isaiah Evans Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-115

Under 12.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

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Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina 76 - 86 Duke

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on Duke to record a 86-76 victory. There’s a huge return if we get this right.

North Carolina vs Duke Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Duke Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Books

Duke have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 76% probability due to their -313 Moneyline betting odds. North Carolina are the underdogs at +245 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

6.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 152.5 right now. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 152.5 at -110.

If you think Duke can reach 20 points first, then odds of -200 are available for the favorites to win. On the flip side, UNC are +150 to reach this total before their opponents.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The betting sites have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

UNC

+245

Duke

-313

Point Spread

UNC +6.5

-102

Duke -6.5

-120

Total Points

Under 152.5

-110

Over 152.5

-110

Kon Knueppel Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Kon Knueppel is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -105 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -123.

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 19.5

-105

Under 19.5

-123

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 16.5

-115

Under 16.5

-112

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-115

Isaiah Evans (Duke)

Over 12.5

-115

Under 12.5

-112

Sion James (Duke)

Over 10.5

-115

Under 10.5

-112

Jae'Lyn Withers (UNC)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-118

Khaman Maluach (Duke)

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-116

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-110

Ian Jackson (UNC)

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-143

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-125

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 3.5

-172

Under 3.5

+132

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 3.5

+103

Under 3.5

-133

Sion James (Duke)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+109

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-116

Khaman Maluach (Duke)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-115

Jae'Lyn Withers (UNC)

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-130

Sion James (Duke)

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-139

Kon Knueppel (Duke)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+108

Tyrese Proctor (Duke)

Over 4.5

+126

Under 4.5

-164

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-143

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-110

Isaiah Evans (Duke)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-169

Ian Jackson (UNC)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-167

Micro Betting

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Stats

Duke Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 147.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 72.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.60 pts and allowed 73.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.50 pts and allowed 65.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.70 pts and allowed 63.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Boston College	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Notre Dame	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia Tech	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Syracuse	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Stanford	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
SMU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Pittsburgh	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
North Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
California	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
NC State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Miami	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Louisville	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Duke	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Clemson	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Wake Forest	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak