North Carolina vs Louisville Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Jan 2025

Under 163.5 the Most Likely Outcome

The Unders looks the way to go when North Carolina and Louisville take to the court. The line looks too high at 163.5 and odds of -110 could favor bettors who go below that total.

North Carolina Have 8 Wins in Last 10 H2H Battles

North Carolina Tar Heels won their previous game, beating Campbell Fighting Camels at home. It was a 97-81 win.

Louisville Cardinals won their last game which was at home. It was a 78-76 triumph against Eastern Kentucky Colonels.

Head-to-Head Statistics

North Carolina had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 86-70 win over Louisville. It’s been five wins on the bounce for North Carolina when playing Louisville. On the head-to-head front, they have won 8 of the past 10.

North Carolina vs Louisville Prediction & Picks

We’re not convinced these college opponents are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 163.5 at -110.

Team news plays a valuable role and we’re always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key North Carolina vs Louisville stats:

• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 17 UNC games on the road.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 UNC games on the road.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Louisville games at home.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Louisville games at home.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Louisville games at home.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Under 163.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Match Result & Total lines provide a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

Best Bet

Under 163.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

RJ Davis Under 3.5 Assists -175

RJ Davis (North Carolina) is available at -175 to record Under 3.5 assists. There are a number of reasons that suggest he will fall short of the total when it comes to Player Assists.

Latest RJ Davis Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-118

Under 20.5

-110

Assists

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-169

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-196

Under 3.5

+150

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Elliot Cadeau Over 2.5 Rebounds -164

Elliot Cadeau (North Carolina) is available at -164 to register Over 2.5 rebounds. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering a generous Player Rebounds line.

Latest Elliot Cadeau Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

+109

Under 11.5

-141

Assists

Over 4.5

-185

Under 4.5

+140

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+135

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Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina 80 - 78 Louisville

There are massive odds on offer when it comes to North Carolina landing a 80-78 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

North Carolina vs Louisville Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest a Close Contest

Louisville are -120 to win against North Carolina who are priced at betting odds of -100. This means the top sportsbooks give the road team a 50% chance of winning.

1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 164.5 right now. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you’re going for Under 164.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

There’s a chance to back Louisville at -125 to reach the 20-point total before their opponents. Should you want to go against the favorites, UNC are available at -115.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for every college basketball contest, with the betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

UNC

-100

Louisville

-120

Point Spread

UNC +1.5

-110

Louisville -1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 164.5

-110

Over 164.5

-110

RJ Davis Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

The favorite to hit the most buckets is RJ Davis. Odds of -118 can be found for him scoring Over 20.5 points and there is -110 for him to go Under.

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 20.5

-118

Under 20.5

-110

Terrence Edwards Jr. (Louisville)

Over 18.5

-110

Under 18.5

-118

Chucky Hepburn (Louisville)

Over 17.5

-111

Under 17.5

-116

J'Vonne Hadley (Louisville)

Over 12.5

-108

Under 12.5

-120

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 11.5

+109

Under 11.5

-141

Chucky Hepburn (Louisville)

Over 4.5

-164

Under 4.5

+125

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 4.5

-185

Under 4.5

+140

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-169

Terrence Edwards Jr. (Louisville)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-154

J'Vonne Hadley (Louisville)

Over 1.5

+126

Under 1.5

-164

J'Vonne Hadley (Louisville)

Over 7.5

-143

Under 7.5

+110

Terrence Edwards Jr. (Louisville)

Over 4.5

-103

Under 4.5

-125

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 3.5

-196

Under 3.5

+150

Chucky Hepburn (Louisville)

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+127

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+135

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Stats

Louisville Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 152.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 163.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 163.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 80.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.60 pts and allowed 74.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 143.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 163.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 163.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.60 pts and allowed 74.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 73.20 pts and allowed 69.90 pts in the last 10 home games