Northern Iowa vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Mar 2025

Don’t Expect Fireworks

No. 1 SMU Mustangs (23-10, 13-7 ACC) host Northern Iowa Panthers (20-12, 14-6 MVC) in this NIT Tournament first round game at Moody Coliseum.

Don’t expect fireworks in this matchup. Northern Iowa and SMU might not score a huge combined total and our prediction is to back Under 145.5 points at odds of -105.

Both Teams Lost Last Time Out

Northern Iowa Panthers were beaten 64-63 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Valparaiso Beacons.

SMU Mustangs were beaten last game and this was on the road. Clemson Tigers claimed a 57-54 win.

Northern Iowa vs SMU Prediction & Picks

We’re going for a modest total for this upcoming college contest. Under 145.5 points could be on the money and our pick is currently available at -105.

Injuries can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Northern Iowa vs SMU stats:

• The 145.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 UNI games on the road.
• The 145.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 UNI games.
• The 145.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 UNI games.
• The 145.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 SMU games.
• The 145.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 SMU games.

Under 145.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Bigger odds are always a good thing and bettors can regularly move the line when it comes to wagering Under on the Totals. Choose the option which suits you best.

Best Bet

Under 145.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Northern Iowa 66 - 73 SMU

A 73-66 win for the Mustangs is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

Northern Iowa vs SMU Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

SMU Win on the Cards According to the Books

SMU are massive -526 favorites. They are regarded as 84% likely to win this college game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. Northern Iowa are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +390.

The spread is 9.5 and the total points line is currently 147.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. There’s the chance to back Under 147.5 at -105.

College basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

UNI

+390

SMU

-526

Point Spread

UNI +9.5

-104

SMU -9.5

-118

Total Points

Under 147.5

-105

Over 147.5

-115

Player Props & Micro Betting

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Northern Iowa Stats

SMU Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 137.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 138.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 145.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 145.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.20 pts and allowed 66.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 69.40 pts and allowed 69.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 144.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 148.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 145.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 145.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.70 pts and allowed 70.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.70 pts and allowed 73.10 pts in the last 10 home games