Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Jun 2025

Pacers Should Put Up a Fight

Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 32-8 Away) square off against Indiana Pacers (50-32, 29-11 at Home) in Game 6 of this NBA Finals matchup at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Thunder lead the series 3-2.

There’s a great opportunity to back the Pacers against the spread considering they should perform well against the Thunder. Snap up the -112 when it comes to them covering the +6.5.

Thunder Won Last H2H Matchup

When Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers went head-to-head on Monday night, the Thunder claimed a 120-109 win at Paycom Center.

Jalen Williams bagged 40 points for the Thunder, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registered 31 points and 10 assists, while Aaron Wiggins scored 14 points. For the Pacers, Pascal Siakam finished with 28 points, T.J. McConnell racked up 18 and Aaron Nesmith 14.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Both teams have five wins on the board when we look at the 10-game H2H record.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Thunder are averaging 115.6 points, 41.3 rebounds, 21.3 assists, 11.2 steals and 5.1 blocks while shooting 46.8% from the field and 83.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 110.1 points and 42.3 rebounds per contest.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.9 points and 6.6 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 7.8 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 2.4 (47.1%) 3-pointers made.

The Pacers have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 111.0 points, 38.9 rebounds, 24.5 assists, 8.9 steals and 5.8 blocks per game while shooting 47.6% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 112.6 points and 41.7 rebounds.

Pascal Siakam is averaging 23.5 points, while Tyrese Haliburton has an average of 6.3 rebounds, 8.8 assists and 2.2 (31.0%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Indiana Pacers lineup: Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Picks

We’re confident that Pacers can push for a victory in this NBA contest and the +6.5 about them on the spread makes lots of appeal. Take -112 that the underdogs cover the line.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the NBA betting lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while some key stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Thunder vs Pacers stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Pacers in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Pacers in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Pacers in 6 of their last 10 games against Thunder.

Pacers +6.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential return.

Best Bet

Pacers +6.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Tyrese Haliburton Over 13.5 Points -104

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) has averaged 22.6 points in the past 5 games at home. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -104 to cover the line.

Latest Tyrese Haliburton Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-130

Under 12.5

-103

Assists

Over 6.5

-122

Under 6.5

-109

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+120

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 33.5 Points -108

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has averaged 29 points in the past 5 games on the road. We can use this stat to our advantage and back him to fall short of the Player Points line at -108.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 33.5

-118

Under 33.5

-114

Assists

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-147

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-147

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 115 - 113 Pacers

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Thunder to enjoy a 115-113 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Thunder Moneyline Favorites

Oklahoma City Thunder have the shortest price to win this NBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 68% probability due to their -208 Moneyline betting odds. Indiana Pacers are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +176.

The spread currently stands at 6 and the total points line is 223. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you want to back Over 223, it’s -112.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Thunder

-208

Pacers

+176

Point Spread

Thunder -6

-106

Pacers +6

-114

Total Points

Under 223

-108

Over 223

-112

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -118 can be found for him scoring Over 33.5 points and there is -114 for him to go Under.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 33.5

-118

Under 33.5

-114

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 23.5

-106

Under 23.5

-125

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-118

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

-118

Under 15.5

-112

Myles Turner (Pacers)

Over 13.5

-108

Under 13.5

-123

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 12.5

-130

Under 12.5

-103

Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-118

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 11.5

-104

Under 11.5

-128

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-130

T.J. McConnell (Pacers)

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-123

Obi Toppin (Pacers)

Over 10.5

-106

Under 10.5

-127

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-127

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

+102

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-122

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-125

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-135

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-147

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 6.5

-122

Under 6.5

-109

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-108

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-120

T.J. McConnell (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-108

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-118

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-167

Myles Turner (Pacers)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-200

Obi Toppin (Pacers)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-147

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 1.5

+178

Under 1.5

-238

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 1.5

+199

Under 1.5

-270

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+138

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-120

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-118

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 6.5

-133

Under 6.5

-100

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-123

Under 6.5

-108

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-147

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-118

Myles Turner (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+118

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+112

Obi Toppin (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

+105

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+120

Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-143

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-147

T.J. McConnell (Pacers)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-156

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+112

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-110

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-137

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-167

Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Indiana Pacers Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 225.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 222.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 221.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 221.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 115.60 pts and allowed 110.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 109.60 pts and allowed 113.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 228.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 221.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 221.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.00 pts and allowed 112.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 116.70 pts and allowed 111.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.20 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.60 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.40 (83.58%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.3, Offensive 11.00, Defensive 30.30
• Assists: 21.30
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 11.20
• Turnovers : 12.00
• Personal Fouls: 21.50

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.00 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.20 (29%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.00 (78.65%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.9, Offensive 12.60, Defensive 30.30
• Assists: 19.90
• Blocks: 4.20
• Steals: 9.50
• Turnovers : 12.30
• Personal Fouls: 23.10

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.80 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.10 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.10 (79.32%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.9, Offensive 8.40, Defensive 30.50
• Assists: 24.50
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 8.90
• Turnovers : 15.40
• Personal Fouls: 24.50

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.60 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.00 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.50 (80.83%)
• Rebounds: Total 37.6, Offensive 6.40, Defensive 31.20
• Assists: 27.00
• Blocks: 5.40
• Steals: 9.00
• Turnovers : 11.10
• Personal Fouls: 24.40

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers Confirmed Lineup

0 Tyrese Haliburton

2 Andrew Nembhard

23 Aaron Nesmith

33 Myles Turner

43 Pascal Siakam

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak