Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Mar 2025

Thunder ATS Stand Out as a Great Wager

We’re confident of backing the Thunder to cover the -8 spread when they play the Grizzlies. This is a generous line and the favorites look a great bet at -110.

7 Thunder Wins in Previous 10 H2H Encounters

Oklahoma City Thunder have claimed five straight road wins. Their latest game was a 137-128 home triumph at Paycom Center against Houston Rockets. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 51 points, with Jalen Williams getting 24 and Cason Wallace 14.

Memphis Grizzlies were defeated last time, making it three losses on the spin. FedExForum saw them beaten 132-130 at home to Atlanta Hawks. Desmond Bane delivered a dominant triple-double performance, recording 35 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Thunder claim a 125-112 win over the Grizzlies at FedExForum. The Thunder have enjoyed seven consecutive victories against the Grizzlies. They’ve landed 7 wins from the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

8 wins and 2 losses in the past 10 games. The Thunder are averaging 128.8 points, 45.8 rebounds, 30.2 assists, 9.6 steals and 6.1 blocks while shooting 49.5% from the field and 82.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 117.9 points and 45.8 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.4 points, 6.9 assists and 2.8 (48.3%) 3-pointers made, while Isaiah Hartenstein averages 8.8 rebounds.

The Grizzlies have won 3 and lost 7 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 120.8 points, 45.6 rebounds, 27.4 assists, 6.7 steals and 5.4 blocks per game while shooting 46.8% from the field and 80.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 124.9 points and 45.1 rebounds.

Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 19.3 points, Zach Edey 7.5 rebounds and Desmond Bane 5.3 assists, while Jaylen Wells has an average of 2.2 (39.3%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Memphis Grizzlies lineup: Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Ja Morant, Zach Edey, Desmond Bane.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Picks

Thunder should claim a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this NBA showdown. Back this pick off -8 to cover the line at -110.

We use the latest injury information to come up with the best possible NBA picks. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Thunder vs Grizzlies stats:

• The -8 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -8 line has been covered by Thunder in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -8 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 consecutive games.
• The -8 line has been covered by Thunder in 2 consecutive games against Grizzlies.

Thunder -8 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are several alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Best Bet

Thunder -8 @ -110 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Jaylen Wells Over 1.5 Assists -154

Jaylen Wells (Grizzlies) has had Over 1.5 assists in 4 of the past 5 games. On the basis of this stat, we can shoot for him to once again cover the Player Assists line and this is on offer at -154.

Latest Jaylen Wells Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-127

Under 11.5

-105

Assists

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

+119

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-118

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Jalen Williams Over 22.5 Points -106

Jalen Williams (Thunder) has recorded an average of 26.8 points in the past 5 games. We will therefore place a bet that he is able to cover the line for this Player Points wager which is available at odds of -106.

Latest Jalen Williams Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 22.5

-128

Under 22.5

-104

Assists

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-143

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-159

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 128 - 116 Grizzlies

A 128-116 win for the Thunder is clearly a risky wager although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder are regarded as having a 73% chance of winning this NBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -270. Memphis Grizzlies are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +220.

The spread is currently 7, with the total points line at 253.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those that want to back Under 253.5 can find odds of -110 available.

If you’re keen on the Thunder reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -165 to oblige. Conversely, the Grizzlies can be backed at +135 to make this total first.

The betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Thunder

-270

Grizzlies

+220

Point Spread

Thunder -7

-112

Grizzlies +7

-108

Total Points

Under 253.5

-110

Over 253.5

-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is available at -122 to rack up Over 33.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -109 is available.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 33.5

-122

Under 33.5

-109

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 22.5

-128

Under 22.5

-104

Ja Morant (Grizzlies)

Over 22.5

-109

Under 22.5

-120

Desmond Bane (Grizzlies)

Over 22.5

-108

Under 22.5

-125

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 17.5

+103

Under 17.5

-133

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 13.5

-105

Under 13.5

-123

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 12.5

+102

Under 12.5

-133

Jaylen Wells (Grizzlies)

Over 11.5

-127

Under 11.5

-105

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-103

Zach Edey (Grizzlies)

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-127

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-127

Ja Morant (Grizzlies)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-149

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-133

Desmond Bane (Grizzlies)

Over 6.5

+108

Under 6.5

-143

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-143

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+116

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-111

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

+133

Jaylen Wells (Grizzlies)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

+119

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 11.5

-108

Under 11.5

-123

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

+107

Under 8.5

-139

Zach Edey (Grizzlies)

Over 8.5

-141

Under 8.5

+106

Desmond Bane (Grizzlies)

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-156

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+116

Under 5.5

-154

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-159

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-143

Ja Morant (Grizzlies)

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+125

Jaylen Wells (Grizzlies)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-118

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+106

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Memphis Grizzlies Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -15.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +15.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 229.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 227.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 223: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 223 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 121.30 pts and allowed 108.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 118.60 pts and allowed 108.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 227.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 239.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 223: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 223 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.20 pts and allowed 114.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 121.10 pts and allowed 118.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.90 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.30 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.60 (79.43%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.2, Offensive 11.40, Defensive 33.80
• Assists: 25.80
• Blocks: 5.50
• Steals: 9.80
• Turnovers : 10.20
• Personal Fouls: 19.70

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.80 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.50 (78.06%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.1, Offensive 9.40, Defensive 35.70
• Assists: 25.30
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 8.50
• Turnovers : 11.80
• Personal Fouls: 20.00

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.70 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.90 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.10 (80.5%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.9, Offensive 12.80, Defensive 34.10
• Assists: 23.50
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 7.30
• Turnovers : 15.10
• Personal Fouls: 19.10

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.20 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.60 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.90 (79.68%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.1, Offensive 10.00, Defensive 34.10
• Assists: 27.20
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 9.10
• Turnovers : 12.40
• Personal Fouls: 20.50

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies Confirmed Lineup

0 Jaylen Wells

5 Vince Williams Jr.

12 Ja Morant

14 Zach Edey

22 Desmond Bane

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

8 Jalen Williams

22 Cason Wallace

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak