Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 May 2025

Wolves to Put Up a Fight Against Thunder

No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 32-8 Away) play No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 25-16 at Home) in game 3 of this Western Conference finals matchup at Target Center. The Thunder lead the series 2-0.

Our prediction is that the Wolves will be able to cover the spread against the Thunder, with +2.5 looking favorable for our bet. Take the -110 that is currently available.

118-103 Victory for Thunder in Pair’s Last Battle

Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves clashed at Paycom Center two nights ago, with the Thunder triumphing 118-103.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander bagged 38 points for the Thunder, Jalen Williams registered 26 points and 10 rebounds, while Chet Holmgren scored 22 points. For the Wolves, Anthony Edwards finished with 32 points, while Jaden McDaniels and Nickeil Alexander-Walker got 22 and 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Thunder are averaging 115.7 points, 44.4 rebounds, 25.7 assists, 10.9 steals and 5.3 blocks while shooting 46.0% from the field and 78.1% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 105.0 points and 48.1 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.5 points and 6.9 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 8.9 rebounds and Alex Caruso 2.0 (44.4%) 3-pointers made.

The Wolves have won 7 and lost 3 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 107.1 points, 40.6 rebounds, 23.0 assists, 7.1 steals and 4.9 blocks per game while shooting 45.0% from the field and 75.7% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 105.4 points and 39.0 rebounds.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 24.6 points, 5.9 assists and 3.3 (37.1%) 3-pointers made, while Rudy Gobert has an average of 9.1 rebounds.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks

With Wolves capable of remaining close to the favorites, backing them on the spread could be the way forward. Odds of -110 is available that the +2.5 is covered in this NBA showdown.

Our NBA picks are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.

Key Thunder vs Timberwolves stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Wolves +2.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Best Bet

Wolves +2.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Julius Randle Over 17.5 Points -118

Julius Randle (Wolves) has recorded an average of 23.6 points in the past 5 games. We will therefore place a bet that he is able to cover the line for this Player Points wager which is available at odds of -118.

Latest Julius Randle Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-120

Under 18.5

-112

Assists

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-133

Under 6.5

-100

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Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 Rebounds -118

Chet Holmgren (Thunder) has racked up Over 8.5 rebounds in 3 straight games on the road. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this line making appeal at odds of -118.

Latest Chet Holmgren Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-123

Assists

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-127

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-114

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 105 - 107 Timberwolves

We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Wolves to win 107-105. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Expecting Tight Affair

With a 61% chance of securing victory, Oklahoma City Thunder are favorites for this NBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -154. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +130 about Minnesota Timberwolves.

The current spread is 3 and the total points line is 217.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 217.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Thunder

-154

Timberwolves

+130

Point Spread

Thunder -3

-110

Timberwolves +3

-110

Total Points

Under 217.5

-110

Over 217.5

-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get Most Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -112 that he gets Over 31.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -120.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 31.5

-112

Under 31.5

-120

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 28.5

-112

Under 28.5

-120

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

-122

Under 20.5

-109

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 18.5

-120

Under 18.5

-112

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-123

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-120

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 12.5

-104

Under 12.5

-128

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-125

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Timberwolves)

Over 8.5

-106

Under 8.5

-125

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 8.5

+104

Under 8.5

-139

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-112

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-115

Under 7.5

-115

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-104

Under 7.5

-128

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-109

Under 6.5

-122

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-105

Under 6.5

-127

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-132

Under 6.5

-100

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+114

Under 5.5

-152

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+108

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-112

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-132

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+120

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

+144

Under 2.5

-189

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-154

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-152

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-103

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-127

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-105

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-104

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 1.5

+182

Under 1.5

-244

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-114

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 8.5

-132

Under 8.5

-100

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 7.5

-105

Under 7.5

-127

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-108

Under 7.5

-122

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-133

Under 6.5

-100

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-132

Under 5.5

-100

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+115

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+106

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+115

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-167

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-156

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+108

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-122

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-135

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+116

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Minnesota Timberwolves Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 221.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 226.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 218.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 218.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.10 pts and allowed 107.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 113.10 pts and allowed 113.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 214.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 221.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 218.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 218.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 109.80 pts and allowed 105.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 118.10 pts and allowed 102.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.60 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.90 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.20 (78.69%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.2, Offensive 10.70, Defensive 33.50
• Assists: 25.40
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 10.10
• Turnovers : 10.90
• Personal Fouls: 22.50

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.20 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.20 (31%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.10 (77.68%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.2, Offensive 10.60, Defensive 32.60
• Assists: 23.90
• Blocks: 4.20
• Steals: 9.30
• Turnovers : 11.40
• Personal Fouls: 21.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.10 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.00 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.60 (76.15%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.8, Offensive 11.50, Defensive 30.30
• Assists: 23.60
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 6.70
• Turnovers : 13.90
• Personal Fouls: 19.80

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.20 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.60 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.90 (74.13%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.1, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 32.80
• Assists: 25.20
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 7.80
• Turnovers : 11.30
• Personal Fouls: 17.90

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup

3 Jaden McDaniels

5 Anthony Edwards

10 Mike Conley

27 Rudy Gobert

30 Julius Randle

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

6 Jaylin Williams

7 Chet Holmgren

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak