Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Jul 2025

Will Wings Keep the Scoreline Respectable?

The Wings might not be a complete pushover against the Mercury and we fancy them against the spread. You can get +11 and the underdogs are available at odds of -108.

93-80 Win for Mercury in Last H2H Clash

Phoenix Mercury were beaten 84-81 at Footprint Center in their previous game, being turned over at home to Las Vegas Aces.

Dallas Wings won their last game which was at home. It was a 79-71 triumph at College Park Center against Washington Mystics.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Footprint Center, with the Mercury claiming the win. Beating the Wings by a 93-80 scoreline. The Mercury have racked up four straight victories over the Wings. On the head-to-head front, they have won 5 of the past 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
13  Wings	9	30	3191	3424	-233	5-16	4-14	6L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction & Picks

The best pick could be Wings at -108 against the spread. They’ve been given a +11 points start and should be able to stay relatively close to their opponents in this WNBA matchup.

The expert basketball handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our WNBA predictions along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Mercury vs Wings stats:

• The +11 line has been covered by Wings in 7 consecutive games.
• The +11 line has been covered by Wings in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -11 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -11 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 18 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +11 line has been covered by Wings in 7 of their last 10 games against Mercury.

Wings +11 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 51.8% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

Best Bet

Wings +11 @ -108 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Paige Bueckers Over 19.5 Points -116

Paige Bueckers (Wings) can be backed to rack up Over 19.5 points at -116. It makes sense to bet on her to cover the line when it comes to this Player Points wager.

Latest Paige Bueckers Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-108

Under 19.5

-120

Assists

Over 5.5

-156

Under 5.5

+120

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Arike Ogunbowale Over 3.5 Assists +112

Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) is available at +112 to record Over 3.5 assists. We think it makes sense to stick with her when it comes to Overs and bettors can be confident with this Player Assists pick.

Latest Arike Ogunbowale Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-130

Under 16.5

-100

Assists

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 83 - 77 Wings

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. The Mercury to claim a 83-77 victory is available at huge odds.

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Taking No Chances With Mercury

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -714 about Phoenix Mercury which reflects they have a 88% chance of winning this WNBA game. The market suggests that Dallas Wings are least likely to win at +470.

11.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 165.5 right now. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Under 165.5, then the odds are -112.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the wide range of game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Mercury

-714

Wings

+470

Point Spread

Mercury -11.5

-110

Wings +11.5

-110

Total Points

Under 165.5

-112

Over 165.5

-108

Paige Bueckers Favorite to Get Most Points

Paige Bueckers is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -108 that she scores Over 19.5 points or -120 that she goes Under.

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 19.5

-108

Under 19.5

-120

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 17.5

-130

Under 17.5

-100

Arike Ogunbowale (Wings)

Over 16.5

-130

Under 16.5

-100

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-120

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 13.5

+103

Under 13.5

-133

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-120

Kitija Laksa (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-120

Li Yueru (Wings)

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-125

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-125

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 5.5

-156

Under 5.5

+120

Arike Ogunbowale (Wings)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+110

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+107

Under 7.5

-139

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-143

Under 6.5

+110

Li Yueru (Wings)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-123

Micro Betting

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on basketball. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Dallas Wings Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -11 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -11 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +11 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +11 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 168.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.30 pts and allowed 82.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 84.30 pts and allowed 84.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 82.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.60 pts and allowed 82.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	30	8	3288	2927	361	18-2	12-6	1L
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
3  Dream	24	14	3154	2930	224	12-6	12-8	1L
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W
6  Fever	20	18	3242	3137	105	11-9	9-9	1W
7  Storm	21	19	3300	3207	93	8-10	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	19	18	2898	2872	26	10-7	9-11	1W
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	23	3054	3165	-111	10-10	6-13	5L
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W
12  Sky	9	29	2888	3274	-386	5-15	4-14	3L
13  Wings	9	30	3191	3424	-233	5-16	4-14	6L