Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Sep 2024

Back Lynx to Get the Job Done

WNBA Playoffs - First Round: Phoenix Mercury (19-21, 10-10 Western Conference) at Minnesota Lynx (30-10, 14-6 Western Conference). This is the first matchup of the series.

There’s a generous line of -10 when it comes to the Lynx playing the Mercury. The -111 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

8 Lynx Victories in Last 10 H2H Battles

Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Seattle Storm by a 89-70 scoreline at Footprint Center.

Minnesota Lynx were beaten 68-51 at Target Center in their last game, being turned over at home to Los Angeles Sparks.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lynx have beaten the Mercury in the last two matchups. A 73-60 victory at Target Center was followed by a 89-76 win at Footprint Center. The Lynx have triumphed in eight of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3382	2997	385	18-2	13-6	1W
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks

There’s a strong case for backing Lynx on the spread in this WNBA matchup. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -111 when it comes to the favorites at -10.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each franchise. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our WNBA picks.

Key Mercury vs Lynx stats:

• The -10 line has been covered by Lynx in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -10 line has been covered by Lynx in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +10 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +10 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +10 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games against Lynx.

Lynx -10 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.6% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your selection exceeds expectations.

Best Bet

Lynx -10 @ -111 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Diana Taurasi Under 3.5 Assists +105

Diana Taurasi (Mercury) is available at +105 to finish with Under 3.5 assists. She might fall short when it comes to covering the Player Assists line and we’re confident when it comes to this prop bet.

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Brittney Griner Under 14.5 Points +116

Brittney Griner (Mercury) is available at +116 to record Under 14.5 points. When it comes to her Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident she will total below the line.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 69 - 82 Lynx

We’re going for the Lynx to achieve a 82-69 win and the good news is that there are massive odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Lynx Heavy Favorites to Win

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Minnesota Lynx are red-hot -556 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 85% chance of winning this WNBA game. At +400, Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

There is a spread of 10 and total points has a line of 158. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 158 can find odds of -111 available.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Mercury

+400

Lynx

-556

Point Spread

Mercury +10

-111

Lynx -10

-111

Total Points

Under 158

-111

Over 158

-111

Napheesa Collier Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Napheesa Collier is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -105 that she scores Over 19.5 points or -125 that she goes Under.

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 19.5

-105

Under 19.5

-125

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-132

Under 16.5

-100

Brittney Griner (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-115

Under 15.5

-115

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 14.5

+105

Under 14.5

-139

Diana Taurasi (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-132

Under 13.5

-100

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-100

Natasha Cloud (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-100

Bridget Carleton (Lynx)

Over 8.5

-132

Under 8.5

-100

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 8.5

-115

Under 8.5

-115

Sophie Cunningham (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-132

Natasha Cloud (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+130

Under 7.5

-175

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-159

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-154

Diana Taurasi (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

+105

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-132

Brittney Griner (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+105

Under 7.5

-139

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-115

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

+105

Natasha Cloud (Mercury)

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-147

Sophie Cunningham (Mercury)

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-114

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+120

Diana Taurasi (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-115

Bridget Carleton (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-139

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Minnesota Lynx Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 166.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 160.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 160.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.00 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.00 pts and allowed 83.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 160.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 160.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.50 pts and allowed 77.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.40 pts and allowed 70.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3382	2997	385	18-2	13-6	1W
2  Dream	26	14	3347	3084	263	13-6	13-8	2W
3  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W
5  Liberty	24	16	3405	3240	165	16-5	8-11	1L
6  Valkyries	21	18	3072	2997	75	12-7	9-11	3W
7  Storm	22	19	3379	3276	103	9-10	13-9	2W
8  Fever	21	19	3381	3287	94	11-9	10-10	1L
9  Sparks	18	20	3264	3344	-80	8-12	10-8	1W
10  Mystics	16	25	3194	3345	-151	10-10	6-15	7L
11  Sun	10	30	3052	3435	-383	6-14	4-16	2L
12  Sky	9	30	2957	3353	-396	5-15	4-15	4L
13  Wings	9	31	3269	3524	-255	5-16	4-15	7L