Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Picks & Odds | 16 Jul 2025

Mercury Good Value vs Lynx

Our best bet is the Mercury against the spread. +8.5 at odds of -110 look generous and we’re happy to back the underdogs with this advantage against the Lynx.

8 Lynx Victories in Last 10 H2H Battles

Phoenix Mercury won their previous game by a 78-77 scoreline. It was on the road against Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center.

Minnesota Lynx triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Chicago Sky were beaten 91-78 at Wintrust Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury triumphed 79-71 when they last played the Lynx. This head-to-head was played at Footprint Center. It’s been eight Lynx wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3382	2995	387	18-2	13-6	1W
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks

Our pick is that Mercury will be able to cover the spread in this WNBA contest, with +8.5 looking favorable for our wager. Take the -110 that is currently available.

Injuries can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Mercury vs Lynx stats:

• The +8.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 3 consecutive games.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Lynx in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Lynx in 11 of their last 20 games at home.

Mercury +8.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine the Mercury against the spread with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Best Bet

Mercury +8.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sami Whitcomb Under 3.5 Assists -135

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury) is available at -135 to have Under 3.5 assists. We’re happy to take her to fall short of the Player Assists total and go for the Unders option.

Latest Sami Whitcomb Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-118

Assists

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-135

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-127

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Alanna Smith Over 5.5 Rebounds -115

Alanna Smith (Lynx) can be wagered to register Over 5.5 rebounds at -115. The Player Rebounds line looks really attractive when it comes to having an Overs bet.

Latest Alanna Smith Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-109

Under 8.5

-119

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-120

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 80 - 86 Lynx

We’re going for the Lynx to win by a 86-80 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Lynx Big Favorites

Minnesota Lynx are -455 favorites and that means a 82% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Phoenix Mercury are the underdogs at +330 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread currently stands at 10 and the total points line is 158. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Over 158, this outcome can be backed at -110.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the hundreds of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Mercury

+330

Lynx

-455

Point Spread

Mercury +10

-106

Lynx -10

-114

Total Points

Under 158

-110

Over 158

-110

Napheesa Collier Favorite to Get Most Points

Napheesa Collier is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -125 that she goes Over 20.5 points and -103 when it comes to Under.

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 20.5

-125

Under 20.5

-103

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 15.5

-110

Under 15.5

-118

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-105

Under 15.5

-123

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 13.5

-130

Under 13.5

-100

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-118

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 8.5

-109

Under 8.5

-119

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-110

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-130

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+103

Under 3.5

-133

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-135

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+122

Under 8.5

-159

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 7.5

-110

Under 7.5

-118

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-116

Under 5.5

-111

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-120

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-127

Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Minnesota Lynx Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 166.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 160.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 160.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.00 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.00 pts and allowed 83.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 160.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 160.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.50 pts and allowed 77.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.40 pts and allowed 70.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3382	2995	387	18-2	13-6	1W
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
3  Dream	25	14	3254	3008	246	13-6	12-8	1W
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W
5  Liberty	24	16	3405	3240	165	16-5	8-11	1L
6  Fever	21	18	3318	3212	106	11-9	10-9	2W
7  Storm	22	19	3379	3276	103	9-10	13-9	2W
8  Valkyries	20	18	2997	2934	63	11-7	9-11	2W
9  Sparks	17	20	3183	3266	-83	7-12	10-8	2L
10  Mystics	16	24	3116	3264	-148	10-10	6-14	6L
11  Sun	10	29	2974	3342	-368	6-13	4-16	1L
12  Sky	9	30	2957	3353	-396	5-15	4-15	4L
13  Wings	9	31	3269	3524	-255	5-16	4-15	7L