Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | WNBA, 16 Jul 2025

Mercury Good Value vs Lynx

Our best bet is the Mercury against the spread. +8.5 at odds of -110 look generous and we’re happy to back the underdogs with this advantage against the Lynx.

8 Lynx Victories in Last 10 H2H Battles

Phoenix Mercury won their previous game by a 78-77 scoreline. It was on the road against Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center.

Minnesota Lynx triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Chicago Sky were beaten 91-78 at Wintrust Arena.

The Mercury triumphed 79-71 when they last played the Lynx. This head-to-head was played at Footprint Center. It’s been eight Lynx wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	19	4	1953	1733	220	11-0	8-4	1W
2  Mercury	15	6	1769	1666	103	9-3	6-3	3W

View Full Standings

Expert WNBA Analysis

Injuries can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Mercury vs Lynx stats:

• The +8.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 3 consecutive games.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Lynx in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Lynx in 11 of their last 20 games at home.

Mercury vs Lynx Prediction

Our pick is that Phoenix Mercury will be able to cover the spread in this WNBA contest, with +8.5 looking favorable for our wager. Take the -110 that is currently available.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine the Mercury against the spread with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Mercury +8.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Our Pick

Mercury +8.5 @ -110 Bet Now

bet365 Promo Get $150 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Props

Sami Whitcomb Under 3.5 Assists -135

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury) is available at -135 to have Under 3.5 assists. We’re happy to take her to fall short of the Player Assists total and go for the Unders option.

Latest Sami Whitcomb Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-115

Under 12.5

-112

Assists

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-135

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-132

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Alanna Smith Over 5.5 Rebounds -115

Alanna Smith (Lynx) can be wagered to register Over 5.5 rebounds at -115. The Player Rebounds line looks really attractive when it comes to having an Overs bet.

Latest Alanna Smith Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-120

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-101

Under 5.5

-128

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 80 - 86 Lynx

We’re going for the Lynx to win by a 86-80 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Lynx Big Favorites

Minnesota Lynx are -588 favorites and that means a 85% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Phoenix Mercury are the underdogs at +410 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread currently stands at 11 and the total points line is 159. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Over 159, this outcome can be backed at -108.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the hundreds of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Mercury

+410

Lynx

-588

Point Spread

Mercury +11

-110

Lynx -11

-110

Total Points

Under 159

-112

Over 159

-108

Napheesa Collier Favorite to Get Most Points

Napheesa Collier is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -132 that she goes Over 20.5 points and +102 when it comes to Under.

Player Points

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 20.5

-132

Under 20.5

+102

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-115

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-100

Under 15.5

-130

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 13.5

-130

Under 13.5

+101

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 12.5

-115

Under 12.5

-112

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-120

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+102

Under 8.5

-132

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 6.5

+120

Under 6.5

-156

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-112

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-135

Player Rebounds

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+120

Under 8.5

-156

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 7.5

-109

Under 7.5

-119

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-116

Under 5.5

-111

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-101

Under 5.5

-128

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-132

Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	19	4	1953	1733	220	11-0	8-4	1W
2  Mercury	15	6	1769	1666	103	9-3	6-3	3W
3  Liberty	14	6	1726	1586	140	9-2	5-4	2W
4  Storm	13	9	1794	1738	56	7-4	6-5	1L
5  Dream	12	9	1757	1673	84	8-3	4-6	2L
6  Fever	12	10	1860	1746	114	7-6	5-4	3W
7  Mystics	11	11	1726	1768	-42	7-3	4-8	1L
8  Valkyries	10	11	1683	1650	33	7-4	3-7	2L
9  Aces	10	11	1684	1720	-36	6-4	4-7	1W
10  Sparks	8	14	1831	1911	-80	3-8	5-6	2W
11  Sky	7	14	1667	1812	-145	4-5	3-9	1L
12  Wings	6	16	1796	1907	-111	4-6	2-10	3L
13  Sun	3	19	1599	1935	-336	2-8	1-11	3L

WNBA Predictions

12:00 - Wed 16 Jul WNBA Atlanta Dream Chicago Sky Betting Tips 15:00 - Wed 16 Jul WNBA Golden State Valkyries Seattle Storm Betting Tips 19:30 - Wed 16 Jul WNBA Indiana Fever New York Liberty Betting Tips 20:00 - Wed 16 Jul WNBA Las Vegas Aces Dallas Wings Betting Tips

Next Predictions

12:00 - Wed 16 Jul Eliteserien Fredrikstad Bodo/Glimt Betting Tips 18:00 - Wed 16 Jul Brazil Série A Palmeiras Mirassol Betting Tips 18:00 - Wed 16 Jul Copa Sudamericana Bolivar Palestino Betting Tips 18:30 - Wed 16 Jul Brazil Série A Ceará Corinthians Betting Tips 19:00 - Wed 16 Jul Brazil Série A Santos Flamengo Betting Tips 19:30 - Wed 16 Jul MLS Philadelphia Union CF Montréal Betting Tips