Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | NCAAB, 18 Feb 2025

Purdue to Make Life Tough for Michigan State

We’re expecting a spirited performance from Purdue which leads us to backing them against the spread when meeting Michigan State. The underdogs should be able to cover the +3.5 line where -104 can be found.

9 Triumphs for Purdue in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Purdue Boilmakers were beaten 94-84 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Wisconsin Badgers.

Michigan State Spartans won their last game 79-65. This was a road victory against Illinois Fighting Illini.

It was a 67-62 win for Purdue when they last played Michigan State. Purdue have enjoyed five consecutive wins against Michigan State. They’ve landed 9 victories from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan State	27-6	2579	2219	360	18-4	9-2	1L
Purdue	22-11	2570	2346	224	16-4	6-7	1L

View Full Standings

Expert College Basketball Analysis

Our college basketball handicappers study the latest form, while injuries can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest stats.

Key Purdue vs Michigan State stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Purdue in all of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Purdue in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Purdue in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 10 consecutive games against Purdue.

Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction

There’s some great value on the spread for this college showdown and we like the underdogs at +3.5. We’re happy to take Purdue with this advantage at -104.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the selection you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Purdue +3.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51% likelihood of this pick winning. However, we have this number between 55-60% based on our in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Our Pick

Purdue +3.5 @ -104 Bet Now

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Player Props

Jase Richardson Over 2.5 Rebounds -147

Jase Richardson (Michigan State) can be backed to have Over 2.5 rebounds at -147. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this total making lots of appeal.

Latest Jase Richardson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Assists

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-145

Under 2.5

+112

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C.J. Cox Under 3.5 Rebounds +108

C.J. Cox (Purdue) can be backed to register Under 3.5 rebounds at +108. We think that he will fail to cover this total and this Player Rebounds bet can be taken with confidence.

Latest C.J. Cox Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-145

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+105

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Correct Score Prediction

Purdue 74 - 71 Michigan State

Purdue are available at massive odds to register a 74-71 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close game and there won’t be much between the teams.

Purdue vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Michigan State Could Have the Edge Say the Books

Michigan State are -154 favorites and that means a 61% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Purdue are trading at +128.

3.5 is the spread and 148.5 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 148.5 at -110.

You can back Michigan State to make a fast start and hit the 20-point mark first. The favorites are -150 to achieve this, with Purdue +110 to win the race to this total.

The betting sites offer stacks of team props and game lines when it comes to most college basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Purdue

+128

MSU

-154

Point Spread

Purdue +3.5

-115

MSU -3.5

-105

Total Points

Under 148.5

-110

Over 148.5

-110

Trey Kaufman-Renn Favorite to Score the Most Points

Trey Kaufman-Renn is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -120 that he scores Over 19.5 points or -108 that he goes Under.

Player Points

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue)

Over 19.5

-120

Under 19.5

-108

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 16.5

-105

Under 16.5

-123

Fletcher Loyer (Purdue)

Over 13.5

-108

Under 13.5

-120

Jaden Akins (MSU)

Over 13.5

-105

Under 13.5

-123

Jase Richardson (MSU)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 7.5

-108

Under 7.5

-120

C.J. Cox (Purdue)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-145

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 6.5

-141

Under 6.5

+108

Caleb Furst (Purdue)

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

Player Assists

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+108

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue)

Over 2.5

+139

Under 2.5

-182

Fletcher Loyer (Purdue)

Over 1.5

+171

Under 1.5

-227

Jaden Akins (MSU)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-127

Jase Richardson (MSU)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-112

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 1.5

+164

Under 1.5

-217

Player Rebounds

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 6.5

-118

Under 6.5

-110

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue)

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+110

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-118

Caleb Furst (Purdue)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+108

Jaden Akins (MSU)

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-135

C.J. Cox (Purdue)

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+105

Fletcher Loyer (Purdue)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-123

Jase Richardson (MSU)

Over 2.5

-145

Under 2.5

+112

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Micro Betting

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

NCAAB Table Select Season 2024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan State	27-6	2579	2219	360	18-4	9-2	1L
Maryland	25-8	2695	2211	484	20-3	5-5	1L
Wisconsin	26-9	2790	2465	325	16-3	10-6	1L
Michigan	25-9	2661	2422	239	16-5	9-4	3W
Oregon	24-9	2515	2341	174	13-4	11-5	1L
UCLA	22-10	2392	2103	289	15-5	7-5	1L
Purdue	22-11	2570	2346	224	16-4	6-7	1L
Illinois	21-12	2766	2462	304	15-6	6-6	1L
Indiana	19-13	2389	2305	84	14-5	5-8	1L
Nebraska	17-14	2337	2259	78	11-7	6-7	5L
Ohio State	17-15	2522	2353	169	12-8	5-7	2L
Penn State	16-15	2452	2270	182	13-6	3-9	1W
Iowa	17-16	2722	2630	92	14-7	3-9	1L
Northwestern	17-16	2390	2282	108	13-5	4-11	1L
USC	16-17	2537	2491	46	12-8	4-9	1L
Rutgers	15-17	2465	2482	-17	11-9	4-8	1L
Minnesota	15-17	2178	2231	-53	10-11	5-6	3L
Washington	12-18	2142	2277	-135	10-9	2-9	6L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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