Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

NBL Betting Preview: Sydney vs New Zealand

Sydney Kings host New Zealand Breakers in this NBL game, with tip-off set for 03:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Find Out Our Best Point Spread Bet

We are confident that Sydney will cover the spread. -8.5 seems a more than generous line and you can get -111 that they will win by a bigger margin against New Zealand.

Feeling our spread angle? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site to get the best value.

Kings 92-84 Winners in Last H2H Matchup

Sydney Kings lost their last game, being beaten 77-74 at home to Cairns Taipans.

New Zealand Breakers lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 89-78 at home to Perth Wildcats.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sydney have won back-to-back meetings against New Zealand. Both victories were on the road by 98-83 and 92-84 scorelines. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Sydney wins.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
8  Sydney Kings	0	1	74	77	-3	0-1	0-0	1L
10  NZ Breakers	0	3	255	307	-52	0-2	0-1	3L

View Full Standings

Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a fully loaded bet builder.

Game Prediction

Sydney really stand out in this NBL matchup. Back the betting favorites at -8.5 on the spread with the confidence that they cover the line at -111.

We take note of any injuries affecting each team before going ahead with our basketball picks. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the NBL action.

Key Sydney vs New Zealand league stats:

• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by NZ Breakers in 4 consecutive games.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by NZ Breakers in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by NZ Breakers in 13 of their last 20 games.

Kings -8.5 Probability

The top basketball betting sites make it a 52.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this basketball bet.

If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

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Best Bet

Sydney -8.5 @ -111 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sydney Kings 99 - 87 NZ Breakers

There’s the chance to back Sydney Kings in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 99-87 win in their favor.

Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Kings Win on the Cards According to the Books

The sportsbooks have Sydney Kings at -370 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 79% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. New Zealand Breakers are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +275.

The current spread is 8.5 and total points is 179.5. The Total lines offer basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you're keen on Over 179.5, this selection is available at -111.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every NBL contest. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Sydney

-370

NZ Breakers

+275

Point Spread

Sydney -8.5

-111

NZ Breakers +8.5

-111

Total Points

Under 179.5

-111

Over 179.5

-111

Player Props & Micro Betting

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

There are some exciting NBL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Sydney Kings Stats

New Zealand Breakers Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 179.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 189.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 178.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 178.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.10 pts and allowed 90.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 93.60 pts and allowed 95.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 181.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 188.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 178.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 178.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.40 pts and allowed 95.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 87.40 pts and allowed 100.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Live Streaming

You can watch and bet on NBL games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

It’s great to watch live sports and you’ll find a wide range of choice with the leading betting apps.

Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Melbourne United	3	0	305	249	56	2-0	1-0	3W
2  Adelaide 36ers	2	0	197	159	38	1-0	1-0	2W
3  Perth Wildcats	2	1	253	237	16	1-1	1-0	2W
4  JackJumpers	2	1	250	246	4	0-1	2-0	2W
5  SEM Phoenix	1	1	197	180	17	1-0	0-1	1L
6  Cairns Taipans	2	2	316	380	-64	1-1	1-1	1L
7  Brisbane Bullets	1	2	266	265	1	0-0	1-2	2L
8  Sydney Kings	0	1	74	77	-3	0-1	0-0	1L
9  Illawarra Hawks	0	2	170	183	-13	0-1	0-1	2L
10  NZ Breakers	0	3	255	307	-52	0-2	0-1	3L