Tarleton State vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Tarleton State vs SMU

The Tarleton State Texans battle the SMU Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Monday, November 3. Our betting preview features expert NCAAB predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Is the Total Too High or Too Low?

The -105 for Under 142.5 points to be scored by the two teams looks like really good value. Our prediction is that Tarleton State and SMU might not collectively reach this total.

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Teams’ Previous H2H Saw 96-62 SMU Victory

Tarleton State Texans were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. California Baptist Lancers claimed a 55-51 win.

SMU Mustangs were beaten 85-83 in their last game, being turned over at home to Oklahoma State Cowboys.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 96-62 win for SMU when they last played Tarleton State.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
SMU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Tarleton State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

View Full Standings

Tarleton State vs SMU Prediction & Picks

Prepare for Tarleton State vs SMU with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, a correct score recommendation and a well-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

Under 142.5 points looks like an attractive total wager. The teams might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this college pick at -105.

The basketball picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every college hoops pick.

Key Tarleton State vs SMU stats:

• The 142.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 Tarleton State games.
• The 142.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Tarleton State games.
• The 142.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Tarleton State games.
• The 142.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 SMU games.

Under 142.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

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Best Bet

Under 142.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tarleton State 56 - 80 SMU

There are lots of different ways to back the Mustangs on the correct score betting and something like 80-56 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.

Tarleton State vs SMU Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make SMU Big Favorites

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -10000 about SMU which reflects they have a 99% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that Tarleton State are least likely to win at +1800.

The spread currently stands at 19.5 and the total points line is 143.5. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those who wager Under 143.5 can get -116.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of team props and game lines at the top basketball sportsbooks. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

Tarleton State

+1800

SMU

-10000

Point Spread

Tarleton State +19.5

-105

SMU -19.5

-115

Total Points

Under 143.5

-116

Over 143.5

-110

Player Props & Micro Betting

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tarleton State Stats

SMU Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +19.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +19.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -19.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -19.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 127.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 128.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 142.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 142.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 60.10 pts and allowed 67.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 57.50 pts and allowed 70.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 147.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 142.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 142.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.40 pts and allowed 71.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.80 pts and allowed 71.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Boston College	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Notre Dame	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia Tech	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Syracuse	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Stanford	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
SMU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Pittsburgh	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
North Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
California	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
NC State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Miami	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Louisville	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Duke	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Clemson	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Wake Forest	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

Western Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Abilene Christian	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Cal Baptist	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Seattle	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Southern Utah	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Tarleton State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
UT Arlington	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Utah Tech	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Utah Valley	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak