Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 05 Jan 2025

We’re Backing JackJumpers on the Spread

Our prediction is to snap up the -111 that Tasmania are able to cover the spread. The favorites are -3.5 when they play South East Melbourne and the margin of victory could be a good deal more significant.

7 Victories for Phoenix in Previous 10 H2H Games

Tasmania JackJumpers last game saw them register a 95-86 home win over Brisbane Bullets.

South East Melbourne Phoenix lost on the road in their previous game. Sydney Kings won 110-101.

Head-to-Head Statistics

South East Melbourne won the most recent encounter between these sides. A 79-77 victory was registered against Tasmania. The past 10 games between the teams have seen South East Melbourne win seven times.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  SEM Phoenix	6	2	786	695	91	4-0	2-2	4W
5  JackJumpers	5	5	817	837	-20	1-3	4-2	2L

View Full Standings

Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s a strong case for backing Tasmania on the spread in this NBL showdown. The line looks appealing considering you can get -111 when it comes to the favorites at -3.5.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our NBL predictions.

Key Tasmania vs South East Melbourne league stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Tasmania in all of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Tasmania in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Tasmania in 6 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by SEM Phoenix in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by SEM Phoenix in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.

JackJumpers -3.5 Probability

According to the betting sites, our pick has a 52.6% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

Best Bet

Tasmania -3.5 @ -111 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Derrick Walton Jr. Under 16.5 Points -100

Derrick Walton Jr. (South East Melbourne) can be wagered to total Under 16.5 points at -100. We’re expecting him to fall short when it comes to Player Points as the line looks high enough.

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Matthew Hurt Under 6.5 Rebounds -105

Matthew Hurt (South East Melbourne) can be backed to register Under 6.5 rebounds at -105. There is plenty of juice when it comes to going under the Player Rebounds line and it looks a bet worth having.

Correct Score Prediction

Tasmania JackJumpers 95 - 89 SEM Phoenix

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score bet. A play on Tasmania JackJumpers to achieve a 95-89 win should give bettors a good run for their money.

Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest JackJumpers Win

The Tasmania JackJumpers odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -167 betting favorites to land victory in this NBL game which means a 63% chance of winning. For those wanting to back South East Melbourne Phoenix, you will find +133 about the underdogs.

The spread is 3.5 and the total points line is currently 185. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Under 185, then the odds are -109.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of game lines and team props for most National Basketball League contests. The betting sites have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Tasmania

-167

SEM Phoenix

+133

Point Spread

Tasmania -3.5

-111

SEM Phoenix +3.5

-111

Total Points

Under 185

-109

Over 185

-114

Matthew Hurt Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Matthew Hurt is available at -105 to rack up Over 19.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -125 is available.

Matthew Hurt (SEM Phoenix)

Over 19.5

-105

Under 19.5

-125

Nathan Sobey (SEM Phoenix)

Over 18.5

-125

Under 18.5

-105

Derrick Walton Jr. (SEM Phoenix)

Over 16.5

-133

Under 16.5

-100

Jordan Crawford (Tasmania)

Over 16.5

-105

Under 16.5

-125

Milton Doyle (Tasmania)

Over 15.5

-133

Under 15.5

-100

Majok Deng (Tasmania)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-111

Derrick Walton Jr. (SEM Phoenix)

Over 5.5

-133

Under 5.5

-100

Jordan Crawford (Tasmania)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-115

Matthew Hurt (SEM Phoenix)

Over 6.5

-125

Under 6.5

-105

Majok Deng (Tasmania)

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-145

Last 5 & H2H

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Tasmania JackJumpers Stats

SEM Phoenix Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 168.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 188.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 188.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.50 pts and allowed 83.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.80 pts and allowed 81.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 193.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 179.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 188.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 188.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 98.60 pts and allowed 95.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 89.40 pts and allowed 89.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Melbourne United	9	0	881	723	158	5-0	4-0	9W
2  SEM Phoenix	6	2	786	695	91	4-0	2-2	4W
3  Adelaide 36ers	6	2	723	677	46	4-1	2-1	1W
4  Perth Wildcats	5	5	876	859	17	1-3	4-2	1L
5  JackJumpers	5	5	817	837	-20	1-3	4-2	2L
6  Sydney Kings	4	5	831	777	54	2-3	2-2	1W
7  Brisbane Bullets	4	7	995	1046	-51	1-4	3-3	1L
8  NZ Breakers	3	7	883	892	-9	2-4	1-3	1W
9  Cairns Taipans	3	8	844	1032	-188	1-5	2-3	1W
10  Illawarra Hawks	2	6	683	781	-98	1-2	1-4	2L